Trump vs. Biden - Election 2020

BBC News: Reports " Trump and Biden exchange personal insults..Dismissed as a "dummy" and "loser", how did the former vice-president hit back at the president?   "

Lets Get Real:

From watching the video footage on the BBC you would think that Trump is running in the Democratic race to be President and VP Biden thinks that Trump is his main challenger in the Democratic race.   It seems that POTUS can not allow the Democratic race to go on without taking part himself.   This is risky for both Trump and Biden, for POTUS the problem is that it elevates Biden to be his main challenge, while for Biden he faces numerous Democratic candidates who are taking free pot shots at him from the left.   If the Trump Campaign really think that Biden will be the main challenge then they are following the 1996 strategy of Bill Clinton who framed Senator Bob Dole before the General Election.   The problem is what if Biden does not get through the primaries and the Trump campaign is faced with a extreme liberal, they have to reset their campaign strategy and frame the election for a new candidate.  And it only June 2019 folks. 

President Trump vs. Vice President Joe Biden - Election 2020

BBC News: Reports " Biden team says Trump's taunts 'beneath dignity of the office' "

Lets Get Real:

POTUS is trying to define former VP Joe Biden well before the 2020 General Election, this is the same method used by President Clinton in 1996 against Senator Robert Dole, while Biden has not faced any debates yet, and has to get through the Democratic Primary before he becomes the Democratic Nominee.   Thus the Trump Campaign will throw anything they can at the former VP, he has not helped himself by getting the nickname of Creepy Joe when it comes to WOMEN, also he supported the 1994 Crime Bill, this Act has affected more African - Americans than any other other ethnic group.  Also since 1970s Biden has taking positions that are out of sync with the present Democratic Party, from opposing busing, supporting the Iraq War resolution.   The Democratic Opposition candidates will start to throw Biden's past policy views back at him when CNN does the debate series.  If any of the other Democratic candidates want to shine they have to show they have claws that can be effected against Biden and Trump.   As noted on CNN there are over 500 + plus days  to go before the election.   Thus recall at the start of 2008 and 2016 HRC was meant to take the Crown, she failed twice. 

HRC is OUT for 2020 - Trump Era

BBC News: Reports " Hillary Clinton has ruled out a third US presidential run in 2020. "

Lets Get Real:

THIS is really the end of the Clinton Era for the Democrats, the Clintons have been the nominee or running since 1992.   Of course Bill Clinton become President in 1992, beating Bush 41, while in 1996 he beat the WW2 war hero, Senator Bob Dole.   In 2008 HRC was seen as the presumptive Democratic Nominee, but then Senator Barack Obama came along, he appointed HRC as his first Secretary of State, then HRC in 2016 won the Democratic Nomination beating Senator Bernie Sanders, it was expected that she would easily beat Donald Trump, her defeat was the most shocking since 1948, when President Truman was written off by the press.   One must ask why HRC is not running, it can be postulated that she has seen the Democratic Party go to the LEFT, and if she did run she might not get out of the Primary races, also former VP Biden expected to run in 2020.  Thus the ERA of the Clinton as a power within the Democratic Party has come to the end, one wonders what they will do to fill up their time, one would presume, write books, do speeches, support Democratic candidates, do charity work, that is a major LET DOWN from the Presidency.   HRC could blame Bill Clinton for defeat in 2016, when President Clinton was being impeached the Democrats argued that his personal actions did not hinder his official role, well that has made it easier for Donald Trump, a billionaire and TV reality star to become President, the voters had accepted that the personal life of political leaders did not matter, it is what they could do for them when it came their personal lives that mattered.  Thus Bill Clinton did not pay a legal cost for his impeachment, the political cost was paid by his Vice President Al Gore in 2000 and HRC in 2016. 

Bill vs. Hillary Clinton - The Election failure - Trump Era

Daily Mail: Reports " In the waning days of the presidential campaign, Bill and Hillary Clinton had a knock-down, drag-out fight about her effort to blame FBI Director James Comey for her slump in the polls and looming danger of defeat. "

Lets Get Real:

BILL CLINTON knows about winning elections, he is a two term President, okay he is not the same man as he was then, having heart surgery does change people, but he is a natural pol, he wants to feel your pain.  HRC has no one to blame but herself, she had the idea of a private email server, and used it for secret and top secret information, no wonder the FBI had to investigate her, any one else would be JAIL by now, in a black hole of jail with the key thrown away.   This is the time second time HRC has lost an election to be President, if she wants a third run whe will have to listen to Bill, if she did not listen in the past that is HER fault.

Jeb Bush for 2016 - The Bush vs. Clinton rematch

CNN - Politics: Reports from inside the Bush clan on the prospects of Jeb Bush running in 2016, the article notes the following, ".....in an exclusive interview with CNN, Jeb's brother, Neil, made it clear that his dad -- George H.W. Bush -- wants his son to run, ".

Lets Get Real:

So that is the choice faced by US voters, either a President Bush or a President Clinton.  This blog has come around to supporting Jeb Bush for the Republican Nomination in 2016, Governor Christie seems to have burned his bridges, sorry to easy a joke to miss, thus we are left with Jeb Bush, he is seen as the smartest of the Bush boys, the one that Bush 41 wanted to be President, the question that he will be asked on the campaign trail is what he thinks of the record of Bush 43 when it comes to Foreign Policy, while Clinton will have to deal with being Secretary of State in the 1st Obama Administration and its failure with Russia, and what if anything she achieved while in that post.    Also lets not forget that it was on her watch that the US Ambassador to Libya and three others were killed by terrorists, what was her role in D.C that night, why had she not placed more troops in Libya.   One wonders how the good relationship between President Clinton and Bush 41 could carry on in a tough Presidential fight, family is family after all, and you take power with the support of the voters. 

President Obama and the US Courts

BBC News: Reports that a Federal Court in Washington D.C has decided that President Obama made illegal appointments when the US Congress was in recess. 

Lets Get Real:

Is this a political omen folks, all 2nd term Presidencies have one scandal or a disaster, and they tend to have started in the 1st term, Watergate for Nixon after 72, Iran - Contra for Reagan after 84, Clinton was impeached after his 96 win, and Bush 43 had Iraq and the collapse of the Western economic system, thus will Obama overreach, of course he will, they ALL do folks, a second term President is like a ancient King, he thinks he is Gods gift, that his judgement far above any other mortal, and that the system can not go on without him, Obama arrogance is well known, it would be ironic if the Nobel Prize winner fell due to a charge by the UN that he had broken international law due to the use of drones, he is the Godfather of these strikes, he green lights the kill list with the national security council.   One doubts that the UN would be that bold, but it does raise some interesting talk on the political left. 

Obama's State - Ohio - 2012 US Election

CNN Politics: Reports on its CNN/ORC International Poll of Ohio, in this new poll, President Obama leads Governor Romney by 50% to 47%, a 3%. 

Lets Get Real: 

Thus folks above we have the reason that President Obama will get a 2nd term, he leads in Ohio in this Poll, in all the other polls with the exception of one he either leads or is tied with Governor Romney, the Obama team followed the Bill Clinton election book of 1996, define your Opposition before they can define themselves, and in the case of Ohio Obama should start to pay States taxes as he has made sure that he has gone there lot of times over the last four years.   All the Obama Team have to do on Tuesday is not mess up their ground game to get their voters to the polls and make sure they do not lose a big blue State that would cover the loss of Ohio for Romney.   Lets see what the next four years bring, this blog can promise that in 2016 the Democrats will be running as far as they can from Obama, the idea that VP Biden is a candidate for 2016 is a JOKE.   It could be ironic, but Obama by 2016 might have wished he has lost in 2012, the office has worn him down, the white hair is empirical evidence of that, he will look really old by 2016. 

Money - Mothers Milk of US Politics

The Hill: Reports that the Republican Nominee Governor Mitt Romney and Republican National Committee has out raised in donations President Obama and Democratic Party in July, Romney raised 101.3 million while Obama raised 75 million.

Lets Get Real:

The Obama Camp has been raising money but its been spending its faster, it has gone for the 1996, 2004 play book of Bill Clinton and Bush 43, it has tried to define Romney before the National Conventions and his choice of VP. This means that in the latter months of the Campaign that Romney will have more cash on hand, this could be of great benefit to Romney and the Republicans in getting out the vote for November and buying adverts in swing States. The Obama Strategy has worked so far, in swing States POTUS has a lead, but will that last when the Republicans let lose their adverts, they will have the money to change the picture of the Campaign, the election is not over folks, lets recall we have the debates. If the election was today you would have to give the nod to Obama, but that is based on the polls in the swing States, do you trust these polls, this blog has found that that samples of these polls over represent Democrats and African Americans, and even then the race is close. Thus its not over in till the fat elephant sings folks.

Obama vs. Romney - Mid Week Polls

Lets have a look at the Polls as Governor Romney heads for his oversees trip, the Republican Nominee will visit the UK, Poland and Israel.

Rasmussen Reports ( LV ): In its latest daily tracking poll it finds that Governor Romney leads President Obama by 47% to 44%, a 3%.

Gallup ( RV ): In its latest daily tracking poll it finds that Governor Romney leads President Obama by 46% to 45%.

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks the candidates are tied, neither has defined the other enough to gain a big lead, thus we come down the the National Conventions and the debates. The talk in the D.C beltway is the the discussion as to the nature of this race, is this 1980 again with Romney as Reagan or 2004 with Obama as Bush 43, thus far to be honest folks its very hard to judge, the Obama Camp has used the 1996 play book of Bill Clinton trying to define Romney before he can define himself, thus following the example of the Republicans in 2004 who defined Senator Kerry and thus his defeat. Although the Chicago Re-Elect Committee has kept the Oval in the race it has not managed to build on its image of Romney as a out of touch rich guy, in fact POTUS has made a few political gaffes, he stated that the private sector was doing fine and that individuals do not build their companies. This has taken the pressure of Romney and his business record. As to the Romney Camp it has started to fight back, but it has to get in to the trenches, pick a attack dog for VP, then really go after the Oval with adverts and at the Convention. Thus down to the debates folks, can Romney do a Reagan and pass that line of looking Presidential, or will be be Ford, and look out of touch. The debates could decide this race folks, fun times ahead folks.

Missing the Target - The Romney Record

Guardian Live - US Politics: Reports the following on the Obama attack on Romney's business record in its 2.44pm post it states, " Has the Obama campaign over-reached on this? Unless there's more to it, it would appear it has. ".

Lets Get Real:

The low level vicious attack on Romney is based on the fact that POTUS can not run on his domestic record, ObamaCare is hated and has been defined by the US Supreme Court as a tax, the billions spent by Obama in the first two years of his Presidency did not get the economy moving, he has nothing to say about the future, so he has to get the election as a vote on Mitt Romney. This is why the Republicans have to hit back hard, not just take it, that would be 1996 all over again. The extreme liberal media did not vet Obama in 2008, he was given a pass because he was the first African - American with a real chance of winning the Oval, well if the media wont do its job its time for the Republicans to recall the REAL Obama record, the personal, his racist pastor, his domestic terrorist friends, his drug taking, its all there folks, just the media is so up Obama's backside they think it smells likes roses, he is a Chicago Pol, nothing more or less, time to hit back hard, on his personal failing and his failure as President. It is the Chicago way folks.

100 Million for Romney and Republicans

BBC News: Reports that Governor Mitt Romney the Republican Nominee for President and the Republican Party raised a 100 million dollars in campaign funds in June.

Lets Get Real:

There has been talk that Governor Romney needs to upgrade his campaign team after his waffling over if ObamaCare is a TAX. It is JULY folks, the Romney Campaign has not chosen a VP yet, the National Conventions are a few months away. The Republicans are worried this is 1996 again, when Bill Clinton defined his Republican opponent before he could define himself. The worry by the Republican Establishment is that the Romney Campaign that won the nomination is not the campaign to win the Presidency. Lets see first who Romney picks as his VP, then lets see the polls after the Conventions, if the national polls and State polls show Obama still ahead then lets worry, one plus about raising more money than POTUS is that the Romney Campaign will be able to produce more negative adverts in the long term, they know how to do negative adverts, they and the Super Pacs can outspend the Democrats later in the Campaign, lets not jump in the lifeboats just yet folks.

US Unemployment and November

Guardian: Reports the following on sluggish job creation in the US in April, “ …a figure below expectations of around 160,000 new jobs that reinforces fears that the recovery is not as buoyant as had been hoped. ”.

Lets Get Real:

In 1984 Reagan had a booming economy, so did Clinton in 1996, this is not the case for President Obama in 2012. The Republicans have to stress the economy, the economy and finally the Economy. The Obama domestic record has the stain of ObamaCare and his failure to get the US economy going with hundred of billions of Government spending. The main stream media will try to divert attention from the economy to social issues, the Democratic theme of a War on Women. The Republican can not allow themselves to be side tracked by the MSM. This was the flaw of the Santorum Campaign, the Senator allowed himself to get in to debates that showed he was on the extreme right when it came to social issues, this is a vote loser for Republicans. The Romney Campaign has to keep to bread and butter issues, the high rate of US unemployment and underemployment, those doing part time jobs but want full time jobs. Lets see if the Romney Campaign can keep on issue, its simple the economy.

The Diminishing of Star Power - Obama

Telegraph: Reports the following of kick off of the Obama Re- Election Campaign, “ ..many of the fans who made him Virginia's first Democratic choice for president in 44 years ….seem similarly lukewarm ..”.

Lets Get Real:

It is interesting folks that President Obama could be a one hit wonder as they say in the music business, the youthful candidate of 2008 has gone, if anything the US voter would be doing President Obama a favour if they voted him out, his hair has gone white, he looks old, the pressures of the Presidency must way heavy on Obama, unlike two previous Presidents, Reagan and Clinton, they looked in essence the same at the end of 8 years as at the start. They enjoyed the Presidency and would have run for a third term if not barred by the US Constitution. Also President Obama has a dismal economy, unlike Reagan in 84 and Clinton in 96, thus the Republicans have a real chance of winning.

Romney’s Swiss Bank Account - Obama Attack Advert

Lets Get Real:

Here is the latest class warfare attack on Governor Romney by the Obama Campaign. At least the Campaign has moved from its OBL gloating Advert, also its 30 seconds, these long adverts don’t work, people want the info within 15 to 30 seconds, if longer people just switch off. This is the 2nd hit job on Romney in a few days, the Romney Campaign cant allow the Chicago Re-Elect Committee to define Romney before he defines himself, that was the trick Clinton used in 1996 against his Republican Opponent.

Romney vs. Obama

The Romney Campaign is not going to allow President Obama to define him, this is the rebuttal advert from the Romney Campaign. It shows that the Romney Campaign is on the ball, it has learned the lessons of not responding fast enough, it can be argued that Kerry Campaign failed in 2004 due to lack of response to the attacks on the Senator’s military record. As noted the Bill Clinton re-election Campaign defined his Republican Opponent months before the National Conventions, thus won big time, this is the trick that Obama is trying, will it work folks, lets see how sick of these adverts we get, and folks you will get sick of them, this is just the start, a very long road, so many Adverts, Polls, Articles, etc, yes the General Election fight has started folks.

Obama vs. Romney

The Obama Campaign is following the 1996 Bill Clinton playbook, define your opposition before they can define themselves, thus the above attack advert. This is why the Republican Race has to come to an end, if the Oval can define Romney before Romney can finish the Republican Race then he is a loser. Its that simple and brutal folks.

Republican Race - LIVE REPORTS

Telegraph Live - Florida: Reports that the combative former White Press Secretary Robert Gibbs has joined the Obama re-elect committee. Thus folks after Romney wins Florida expect the Obama Campaign and the Democrats to define Romney as a flip flopper and extreme on immigration, the Democrats have the Bill Clinton playbook of 1996 as their guide, if you can define the opposition before they have a chance of defining themselves your half way to winning. But the Obama Team have a problem, the President’s class warfare rhetoric might make the base happy but it has not won back Independent voters, at the end of the day Americans want to get rich and become part of the Middle Class, hell they want to be part of 1% rich class. The European welfare structure starting with the New Deal, then Great Society has not quite removed that Western spirit of the individual making a difference, its just harder. The Democrats need people to be on welfare, that’s their base, the class warfare rhetoric might work on the East and West cost, but what about the fly over States, those States that liberal think are simple and not sophisticated, yes folks liberals are that much up their own backside, that arrogant, that might be the weakness of the Obama team, arrogance becomes before a 49 State loss.

Florida Polls - Republican Race

RCP: Reports on its average of the Florida Polls, as of now the candidates stand at the following, Romney 41.0%, Gingrich 29.7%, Santorum 13.5% and Paul on 9.8%. The Romney lead is 11.3%. Thus folks it will be hard for Speaker Gingrich turn this around before the Tuesday vote, the last Republican debate was a win for Governor Romney, the bounce that Gingrich got from South Carolina has gone up in smoke. The Primary in Florida selects 50 delegates, in the Florida vote winner takes all, thus Romney should sweep the board. If Romney wins big and if the polls are not wrong, then this race is over folks, yes Gingrich, Santorum will stay in the race, in the case of Gingrich its to wound Romney before the General Election, while for Santorum it could be a bid for the VP spot. In the case Congressman Paul its to get his ideas on the Republican Manifesto for November; also to speak at prime time at the Republican Convention. Thus after a BIG win in Florida the Romney Campaign has to turn its attention to President Obama, the Democrats will start to define Romney before the Republican Race is over, they are following the 1996 playbook of Bill Clinton, who defined Senator Dole before he had chance to define himself or Bill Clinton. The Republican Elders should really placing pressure on the other Republican Candidates to get out of the race, the longer this goes the more chance that POTUS will win re-election.

Republican Debate in South Carolina

BBC News: Reports that Republican frontrunner Governor Mitt Romney came under attack for his business and State government record at the Republican Debate. The one good clip this blog saw was when Newt Gingrich called President Obama a food stamps President, this was the former Speaker on good form, attacking POTUS not his Republican rivals. When it comes to the Polls in SC you take your pick, some have a close race between Romney and Gingrich, while others show Romney with a vast lead. After winning Iowa, NH if Romney takes SC with a big enough margin this race is over in real terms, the former Speaker will go because he wants revenge on Romney, while the cranky Congressman Paul wants some power at the Republican Convention. If this is the result then Romney must turn his Campaign to fighting Obama, as the Chicago re-elect committee wont wait for the conventions, once its sure that its Romney expect a heavy negative attack, they will follow the 1996 Bill Clinton playbook, define your opposition before he can define himself. Its tough but its Democracy folks.

Gingrich TIED with Romney in New Hampshire - Republican Race

WSJ: Reports on a new poll in New Hampshire of Republican voters, the race is a virtual tie, with Romney on 29% and Gingrich on 27%. If the former Speaker could win Iowa and New Hampshire this would the best political comeback since Truman, but can Newt Gingrich not implode as has been the fate of past front runners, Parry, Cain. It is only seven weeks in till the Iowa Caucus folks, if Gingrich can mount a decent field operation and win or come close he has a good chance to take on Romney on his home field of New Hampshire. The close fight causes problems for the Obama team, they had thought that their opposition would be Mitt Romney, thus the early attacks on him, as following the Clinton handbook of 1996. But they just might have to wait, this helps the Republicans, they seem to taken on Reagan’s 11 rule of not attacking fellow Republicans and attacking Obama. There is a CNN debate on Tuesday folks, that Wednesday morning UK time, lets see who wins that and if any other candidates can make an impression.