Romney on Donald Trump's Tax returns - Election 2016

Guardian: Reports in its 9.54pm the following post,. " Mitt Romney: It is 'disqualifying' that Donald Trump won't release his tax returns...Donald Trump’s refusal to release his tax returns is “disqualifying” for a presidential candidate, his predecessor as Republican nominee Mitt Romney has said. "

Lets Get Real:

One has to wonder what is in the Trump taxes that Trump wants to keep secret, the fact that its Governor Romney making the attack does not help, in 2012 Romney lost big to President Obama.    The press should place pressure on the Donald to release his taxes, this has been done for decades by Presidential candidates.   The press should ask Mr Trump what he has to hide in his taxes, the elite liberal press should make this an issue every day, every time the Donald does an interview he should be asked, and asked again. IF HRC can release her returns then so can the Donald. 

The Ryan Effect and the Polls - 2012 Race

Lets have a look at the polls after Governor Romney choose Rep. Paul Ryan as his VP choice.

Rasmussen Reports ( LV ): In today's daily tracking poll Governor Romney leads President Obama by 47% to 44%. A 3% lead.

Gallup ( RV ): In today's daily tracking poll Governor Romney leads President Obama by 47% to 45%. A 2% lead.

Lets Get Real.

Thus folks if you take in to account the margin of error ( MofE ) we have a tied race, the Ryan choice has not hurt Romney, in fact it secures the base for November, also in a ironic way it forces the Obama Campaign to deal with real issues. The past few months have dealt with Romney's time in private business, his tax returns, the choice of Ryan forces the Democrats to deal with domestic issues, that might be the one area that the Democrats do not want to discuss, as this brings in Obama's failed economic record, and the introduction of ObamaCare as a TAX. Lets see if Ryan can be an attack dog, the Romney Campaign needs to take the Oval on head on, is Ryan the man, his speech at his introduction shows that he is willing to take on Obama, lets see if that fighting spirits lasts, it is early days folks.

Paul Ryan - A True Conservative

BBC News: Has an excellent profile of Republican VP Nominee Paul Ryan.

Lets Get Real:

This blog is impressed with the choice of Rep. Paul Ryan as Romney's VP choice, he is young, has charisma in spades, but more important he is a true Conservative. Also in election terms he could be the next Reagan, saying the harsh truth but in way that does not frighten the VOTER. The speech given by Ryan was good on attacking President Obama, there was a good line that Obama has bought Debt, Doubt and Despair to the US. A D Grade for Obama in other words. The Democratic spin is that they wanted Romney to pick Ryan as he is an economic hawk, the Democrats wanted the Republicans to choose Reagan in 1980, that shows you should be careful what you wish for, NOW the Obama Camp has to deal with policy, it has gotten away with personal attacks on Romney, it NOW has to deal with policy, that is the one area that POTUS might wish to avoid, he has been a disaster on the domestic side. Lets see how Ryan does on the Campaign trail, Romney needs an attack dog, someone who will go for the throat of the Democrats, lets see how he does over the next few months.

Obama = Nixon ?

Lets Get Real:

This is a great advert by a Republican Super Pac, lets remind the voters that Obama is Chicago Pol, they play dirty, they play to win, they and Richard Nixon have a lot in common. If they can not win by fair means then its foul all the way. That is the thing with Chicago Pols, some look clean but when you wash away the PR, their souls are suspect, you do not get far in Chicago politics if your a Saint, a Saint would be buried six feed under in Chicago.

Obama Defence of Welfare Policy - Obama Advert

Lets Get Real:

The Oval must be worried that the Romney advert that POTUS is gutting welfare reform will get traction, thus this advert, if you have to use the liberal NYT and the Washington Post as your defenders your in trouble. The Romney Camp should start to hit Obama hard on welfare, its a weak point, thus advert, good advert by the Romney Camp. The Democrats = Welfare, people poor and in the gutter, so sad but the truth.

Obama vs. Your Faith - Romney Advert

Lets Get Real:

Good attack on ObamaCare, the Act forces religious bodies and charities that give health benefits to comply with ObamaCare when it comes to paying for the pill for women. It seems that Obama ego is more important than God and the bible. That is what you get when you elect a out of control BIG EGO to be President.

Obama and Welfare - Romney Advert

Lets Get Real:

This is a good hard hitting advert. It shows how the Oval wants to remake the US in to a welfare state like Europe. The Washington Post has been critical of this advert, but as noted on Fox the paper has been critical of welfare reform since the start. The Democrats need people to be poor, they need people to be in the gutter, otherwise would you VOTE for a Party that wants to tax if you make some money, does not think businessmen or women build a business, who think that the public sector is more important that the private sector. This advert shows the true face of the modern Democratic Party.

Obama vs. Romney - Friday Polls

It is that time of the week folks, lets see how President Obama and Governor Romney stand in the National US Polls. These are daily Polls.

Rasmussen Reports ( LV ): Reports on its daily tracking poll, today Governor Romney leads President Obama by 47% to 43%. A 4% lead.

Gallup ( RV ): Reports on its daily tracking poll, today President Obama leads Governor Romney by 47% to 45%. A 2% lead.

Bonus Poll:

RCP: Here is the Average of the latest polls, today RCP has President Obama on 48.4% to Governor Romney's 44%. A lead for POTUS of 4.4%.

Lets Get Real:

Folks this blog is flagging a trend, the pollsters admit that they over sample Democrats for their polls, last night Fox polling stated that they had 5% more Democrats in their polls and they were just following a news trend, BS, if you look at the poll in the RCP average, Fox has POTUS with a 9% lead. Lets recall the 5% over sampling of Democrats, that is down to 4%, if you add a margin of error of 3%, that gives a dead heat. That is why this blog goes with Rasmussen and Gallup, okay there is a diversion, but not that much, a dead heat if you take in to account the MoE. This race will be interesting, someone should really go through hundreds of polls and see what actually works, likely voters, registered voters, adult voters. It is troubling for this blog that you start to doubt all POLLS, you want a fair average, not over sampling of Democrats, Republicans, or any specific gender or ethnic group. It is going to be a long Campaign folks.

Obama vs. Romney - Mid Week Polls

Thus folks, lets look at the Polls Mid Week. What a great surprise, a tied race, even political geeks can get bored with stalemate on the political battle front. Here are the numbers folks.

Rasmussen Reports ( LV ): Reports that President Obama and Governor Romney are tied at 45%.

Gallup ( RV ): Reports that President Obama and Governor Romney are tied at 46%.

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks we have a TIED race, it is August folks, people who do not love politics, WHO ARE THEY! might be doing something better than following the day by day fight between the Obama and Romney Camps. Thus the National Conventions should give the candidates a bounce, lets see, its not a logical step. Before then Romney is expected to declare who will be his VP, lets hope he goes for an attack dog, someone will go after Obama and his dirty Campaign. Lets be honest here Obama makes Nixon look clean in election terms. The 68/72 Campaigns did not have this level of laying and dirt be thrown by Nixon, other things yes, but not directly in the Campaign. What is surprising is that the Romney vote has held up, lets see what happens to the polls after the Super Pacs and the Republicans after their Convention let lose their millions on Obama. The race is in a holding patter folks, that is politics!.

The Koch Brothers vs. Obama

The New York Times: Reports that the Koch Brothers backed Super Pac is to go after POTUS, the article states the following, " the Tea Party organization backed by the Koch brothers, is set to begin a $25 million advertising assault..".

Lets Get Real:

The Uber liberal NYT hates the Tea Party and its supporters, the view of the elite media is that the Tea Party are EVIL, they are demagogues, if you think this hype go and watch recent episode of the The Newsroom on Sky Atlantic, the liberal main stream media really hate the Tea Party, they never ask who backs the liberal Super Pacs, the US Supreme Court in a great decision has allowed individual people who are wealth to support Super Pacs, this is Democracy, and the elite media hate it, in the past they decide what was news, thus you never head about President Kennedy's women, or FDR' or LBJ's, it took a US magazine to get the John Edwards story out, while the uber liberal NYT was doing a character hit job on Senator McCain. The elite new media hate Fox News, because its not liberal, you only have to see how objective Fox News is when you look at the Evening News in the US, they tend to follow the line of the NYT. Thank goodness individuals and business can NOW talk in the public square, its called fairness and democracy folks.

Money - Mothers Milk of US Politics

The Hill: Reports that the Republican Nominee Governor Mitt Romney and Republican National Committee has out raised in donations President Obama and Democratic Party in July, Romney raised 101.3 million while Obama raised 75 million.

Lets Get Real:

The Obama Camp has been raising money but its been spending its faster, it has gone for the 1996, 2004 play book of Bill Clinton and Bush 43, it has tried to define Romney before the National Conventions and his choice of VP. This means that in the latter months of the Campaign that Romney will have more cash on hand, this could be of great benefit to Romney and the Republicans in getting out the vote for November and buying adverts in swing States. The Obama Strategy has worked so far, in swing States POTUS has a lead, but will that last when the Republicans let lose their adverts, they will have the money to change the picture of the Campaign, the election is not over folks, lets recall we have the debates. If the election was today you would have to give the nod to Obama, but that is based on the polls in the swing States, do you trust these polls, this blog has found that that samples of these polls over represent Democrats and African Americans, and even then the race is close. Thus its not over in till the fat elephant sings folks.

US Unemployment = 8.3%

BBC News: Reports that US unemployment rate rose from 8.2% to 8.3%.

Lets Get Real:

This is not good news for President Obama, the voter sees the rate and thinks OMG, in English, O MY God, as the article notes a 163,000 jobs were created in July in the US, but that is not enough, to get the rate down. Also Obama might be getting hit by the good PR that the elite media is putting on the US economy, if you read the article you get the impression that things are turning around, that is a problem for Obama, as people that gave up might come back in to unemployment rate as they are searching for jobs. In other words elite stop helping POTUS, your causing a plus - negative reaction.

Obama vs. Romney - The Polls

It is that time of the week folks, the Polls, they are only a snapshot, but defines the Weekend political talk shows in the US.

Rasmussen Reports ( LV ): Reports on its daily tracking poll, today Governor Romney leads President Obama by 47% to 43%. Thus a 5% lead.

Gallup ( RV ): Report on its daily tracking poll, today President Obama leads Governor Romney by 47% to 45%.

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks its a dead heat, neither Obama or Romney have a solid lead that they can depend on, although State Polls give Obama the edge they are close, thus one really has to wait for Romney VP choice, then the National Conventions and then finally the all important DEBATES. Thus folks we have weeks of negative adverts, Obama is out of touch by Romney and from the Obama Camp that Romney is a rich elitist who favours the rich over the middle class and the poor, the record has not changed that much folks over the last few MONTHS, we wait for some clear space in the polls, something to happen that will push either Candidate ahead that will allow the political geeks to think about the result in November with some clear Empirical evidence.

The Democrats and Romney = Taxes

Telegraph: Report that Senator Majority Leader Harry Reid has invoked the late father of Governor Romney as a form of attack, the Senator stated that George Romney when he ran for President released years of tax returns.

Lets Get Real:

This shows how low the Democrats are going folks, they are willing to use the death father of the Republican Nominee against him, how low can you go and still be thought worthy of respect. The Democrats are attacking the people who invest in jobs, make money from that investment, as noted in my previous post folks, if you buy a Lottery ticket by the Obama example you are a bad person, you made an investment but go more back than any one else, yes its that foolish and rubbish an argument. The Romney Camp has to come out fighting, no more MR Nice guy, if Romney can not or will not do it, get a VP will rip the throat out of the Democrats, make them regret this move, time for political hard ball folks, other wise the Oval wins.

Obama's Class Warfare ATTACK - NOT American

Lets Get Real:

Folks if I didn't know this was the US I would think it would be EU. Its all the fault of Bush 43, those Republicans are to blame for Afghanistan, did 9/11 pass Obama by, was Bush 43 meant to say sorry to the Taliban. The Reagan defence spending in the 80s allowed for an economic boom, what has Obama done, he wants to cut spending, on TAXES, Reagan cut them, has Obama ever head the phrase, " Greed is Good ". Also the Oval knows if the Republicans hold the House and take the Senate he will not get a thing, so this pandering to the US left wing. Obama is a clever guy, if he really thinks is true he does not understand the US and his legacy could sink the Democratic Party. Think about it, Obama can NOT RUN AGAIN should he win, Obama is good on the rhetoric, the Dems do not have another Obama, try Obama's argument without Obama, its called being out of office folks.

Lets Get Real:

Folks this is the most vicious personal political advert this blog has ever seen, the Oval knows that Romney made his money through investments, not working in a factory, they are comparing the two, by that if you win on the Lottery you are a BAD PERSON, yes folks its that kind of rubbish argument. Romney has to let lose on Obama, go for the political balls, the Oval will lie and do anything to win, its the Chicago way, time to fight fire with fire.

Turkey vs. Syria - Syrian Crisis

BBC News: Reports that the Free Syria Army has denied a NBC News report that Turkey has given the FSA surface to air missiles.

Lets Get Real:

It would not surprise this blog if the story is true, that Turkey and others are supporting the rebels is an accusation thrown out by the Assad Regime. There have been reports that the US CIA has been supporting the rebels on the border between Syria and Turkey, it can be argued that Oval would not mind if Assad was taken down one way or another, it does not want nightly news broadcasts of the deaths in Syria, it allows the Republicans to undermine a Obama defence, that he is a hawk on Foreign Policy. The recent assassination of those close to Assad was not a tipping point so far, the Assad Regime has hit back hard, this Civil War could take months folks, and the end point could be that the Arab Spring dies in Syria, as long as Russia and Iran keep supporting Assad he has a 7/10 chance of keeping power.

Obama and the Swing States

The Hill: Reports on a new poll of the Swing States in the 2012 race, the articles notes the following, " the president is ahead in 10 of the 12 vital states. If those polls were borne out on Election Day, Obama would coast to victory with 332 electoral college votes. "

Lets Get Real:

It not even August yet folks, Governor Romney has not picked a VP, the there is the National Conventions and finally the all import Debates. Also lets not forget the fact that the Obama Camp has out spent Romney in this early stage, nearly all the Obama adverts are negative. Thus the fact that Romney and Obama are tied in most polls is great for Romney. It would be great if Romney was ahead, but the plus for the Romney Camp is the fact that they will have more money on hand when the race really starts after Labour Day in the US. The polls in September and October are important folks, if Obama is ahead and this blog thinks he will win it will say so, its a Conservative blog but its not blind. It wants to be right. It is just to early to say folks. The Presidential Debates could be the decider as they were in 1960, 1976, 1980 and 2000. Thus if your a Republican you should not be that depressed but if your a Democrat do not be to cocky, events, events folks.

Obama vs. Romney - Friday Polls

It is that time of the week folks, the Friday Polls. The usual warning its only July folks, we still have the national conventions to go and Romney has to pick his VP. Then we have the debates.

Rasmussen Reports ( LV ): Reports on its daily tracking poll, today Governor Romney leads President Obama by 49% to 44%. A 5% lead.

Gallup ( RV ): Reports on its daily tracking poll, today both President Obama and Governor are tied at 46%.

Lets Get Real:

If your in the Romney Camp you will be spinning the Rasmussen Poll, this shows Romney with a 5%, what is good for this blogger about this poll is that counts likely voters, people who on the whole will get off their backsides and VOTE. The Registered Voter Poll might have those that support Obama or Romney but will never go out and vote. In essence folks neither candidate as defined the other, the Obama Camp has thrown enough dirt but it has just kept them in the game, it has not removed Romney as a threat. In the Romney Camp they have started to fight back, they have been helped by the political gaffes of the President, his remarks that the private sector is doing fine and that individuals do not build their own business will help those that were suspect about Obama to go to Romney. Also older people tend to vote in larger numbers that younger people, thus lets see the effect of the Supremes stating that ObamaCare is a tax, this could really hurt Obama on election day. Thus folks it might come down to the Presidential Debates, in that Obama should be the favourite, but that could be a problem, as long as Romney does not fall over he could win by default. Lets see folks.

Obama vs. Romney - Mid Week Polls

Lets have a look at the Polls as Governor Romney heads for his oversees trip, the Republican Nominee will visit the UK, Poland and Israel.

Rasmussen Reports ( LV ): In its latest daily tracking poll it finds that Governor Romney leads President Obama by 47% to 44%, a 3%.

Gallup ( RV ): In its latest daily tracking poll it finds that Governor Romney leads President Obama by 46% to 45%.

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks the candidates are tied, neither has defined the other enough to gain a big lead, thus we come down the the National Conventions and the debates. The talk in the D.C beltway is the the discussion as to the nature of this race, is this 1980 again with Romney as Reagan or 2004 with Obama as Bush 43, thus far to be honest folks its very hard to judge, the Obama Camp has used the 1996 play book of Bill Clinton trying to define Romney before he can define himself, thus following the example of the Republicans in 2004 who defined Senator Kerry and thus his defeat. Although the Chicago Re-Elect Committee has kept the Oval in the race it has not managed to build on its image of Romney as a out of touch rich guy, in fact POTUS has made a few political gaffes, he stated that the private sector was doing fine and that individuals do not build their companies. This has taken the pressure of Romney and his business record. As to the Romney Camp it has started to fight back, but it has to get in to the trenches, pick a attack dog for VP, then really go after the Oval with adverts and at the Convention. Thus down to the debates folks, can Romney do a Reagan and pass that line of looking Presidential, or will be be Ford, and look out of touch. The debates could decide this race folks, fun times ahead folks.

Obama and Business - Obama Advert

Lets Get Real:

This advert shows that POTUS knows that he made a great political gaffe by stating that individuals do not build a business. Simple question folks, which Obama statement do you believe, when he is says what he thinks in a speech or this advert.