Will there be a War between Israel and Iran ? - Trump Era

Washington Post: Reports " How Trump’s Iran deal decision may lead to war "

Lets Get Real:

After President Trump withdrew from the Obama/Iran deal the Tehran Regime used their presence in Syria to bomb Israeli defence structures in the Golan Heights, Israel of course has countered such an attack, the question is what is next.   One can argue that Iran will not push to far, as the Trump Oval unlike the Obama Oval will allow Israel to strike in Syria and Iran if needed.  The hard liners in Tehran will want to show that even with the Obama/Iran alive as long as it supported by the EU that it will follow through with tough action, then one can expect low level attacks from Iran on the border between Syria and Israel.  Of course if Iran goes down the nuclear road then ALL BETS are off, the Israeli Government will not allow Iran to get the bomb.  Tehran will have learnt from North Korea, get a nuke and the US will do a deal, let's hope President Trump does not give the store away when it comes to North Korea, the devil is in the details. 

Trump on Obama - Trump Era

Guardian: Reports " The anti-Obama: Trump's drive to destroy his predecessor's legacy...From the Iran deal to TPP to climate change, ‘the whole thing that animates and unites his policy views is antipathy towards Obama’  "

Lets Get Real:

It was clear before the 2016 campaign that President Trump had no time for President Barack Obama, the former President made Trump the but of his jokes at a Washington Dinner for the press.  It can be postulated that since then POTUS has wanted to take down Obama, by getting rid of his legacy.   All Presidents want to be different from the man than held the office before, each President wants a legacy,  LBJ left the Great Society, Nixon had the silent majority, Reagan finished off the Cold War and helped in the downfall of the USSR. Bush 41 had the Gulf War and the actual end of the USSR, Bill Clinton had a great economy, Bush 43 had Iraq and the near downfall of the economy, Obama had ObamaCare and the Iran Deal, Trump is the reverse of Obama, he has aborted ObamaCare, he has withdrawn the US from the Paris Climate Agreement, negated the Iran deal, and it only his 2nd year.  The Trump Oval has a Summit with North Korea in a few weeks, that will be historic, even Obama could not manage that, Trump could become a historic Presidency, not quite Reagan, but pretty close. 

Customs Partnership - Update 2 - Post Brexit

Daily Mail: Reports " Prime Minister orders David Davis to find third way on customs deal amid Cabinet deadlock over future EU arrangements  "

Lets Get Real:

The PM understands that for her to remain as PM she needs the support of the Hard Brexit MPs, if she upsets them then she could be out, at the end of the day it is about numbers in the House of Commons.  There are more Hard Brexit MPs than there are hard remainers, but if you combine the rebel hard remainers and the Labour Party you would have a majority for keeping the UK in the EU Customs Union and the Single Market.   The problem is that Jeremy Corbyn does not want to remain in the Single Market as it would restrict his action if he becomes PM.   Thus problems for Labour and the Conservative Party.   There are going to be close votes in the House of Commons. 

The Custom Partnership Debate - Update - Post Brexit

BBC News: Reports " Theresa May has divided her top team of ministers into two working groups to hammer out their differences on Brexit. "

Lets Get Real:

One can postulate that this move by the PM  to get the Cabinet to resolve this problem, the PM wants the Customs Partnership but can not get a majority of the sub Cabinet to agree to the plan.   The PM should be having talks with the rest of the Cabinet in attempt to get allies and move the Cabinet to her choice for the Post Brexit trading links with the EU.   The Customs Partnership and the Single Market is the best choice for the trading links with the EU after Brexit, it would keep the UK in the Customs Union, that is free trade with the EU and the Single Market, that would prevent a PM Corbyn from taking over large sectors of the economy should Labour win the next general election.  Let's hope the PM has the strategy to win the Cabinet and the House of Commons.