Tuesday, March 22, 2011

What about Misrata ?- Libya


Guardian: Reports on the attack on Misrata in the West of Libya by forces loyal to Colonel Gaddafi. This is why we need a limited boots on the ground policy folks, the Gaddafi tanks have gotten in to Mistrata and are causing havoc, they could be taken out by Special Forces with the less loss of life to the people of Misrata, this kind of wanton destruction can not be allowed to go on day after day. The Air Attacks by planes or drones should take out the Gaddafi tanks, what is the point of the UN if does not save lives.

The FOG of War - Libya


Telegraph: Reports that while recovering US pilots whose plane went down in Libya due to mechanical failure the US shot innocent bystanders in the process. That is the problem with the War in Libya, and it’s a War folks, the Gaddafi or Rebel side don’t wear Western uniforms, so when your plane is shot down over Libya your not going to be sure who turns up, the Rebels to help you or the Gaddafi forces to beat you up and parade you on TV aka Iraq. This is why we need a Max Strategy folks, quick win, or we will have more of these cases. In the fog war it is about survival at the end of the day.

Maximum Strategy and Limited Strategy - Libya


Thus folks we have had a few days of Air bombing of Gaddafi’s security structure, it seems on the whole that the rebels have control of Benghazi but there have been reports that the Gaddafi security forces have not been totally removed. The question is what are the Allies going to about Misrata and Zintan in the West of Libya, these locations have come under attack from the security forces of Gaddafi, so far no reports that the Allies have taken out tanks and heavy artillery in these locations. The question that has to be asked what is the PLAN, a maximum plan would see the removal of Colonel Gaddafi, with air and limited boots on the ground, a much limited plan would see the break up of Libya, the West would come under the control of Gaddafi while the East would be in the hands of the rebels. If this is the plan its going to take time, the rebels are not an Army, they will have to be trained and a command structure created, who is going to train them, Egypt has its own mess at the moment, thus will it be the UK and France. Do the voters in these countries with the present economic crisis want to spend money on a Civil War in many respects. Thus after the new Libyan Army is trained they will be sent in to combat against Gaddafi, they will need air cover from the Allies, thus another long and bloody War. Thus one has to asked what is better Max Strategy or Limited Strategy, it can be argued that a MAX strategy is the best option, air power combined with troops on the ground, quick win and good PR, all WARS these days is about PR in some respects. Lets recall as the UK Defence Secretary stated this morning that the UK is in Afghanistan, we have around ten thousand troops in action, thus it can be argued the UK should go in for a quick win, a limited war could be more costly in the long run. Quite interesting have not mentioned the US, interesting days folks.