Wednesday, June 19, 2024

Will Israel go to WAR with Hezbollah in Lebanon ? - Israeli - Gaza War - Biden Era

Guardian: Reports " Hezbollah leader: Cyprus will be target if it lets Israel use its territory in conflict...Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah warns of ‘war without rules’ if Israel launches full-scale invasion against Lebanese militia "

Lets Get Real:

One doubts that Hezbollah wants a WAR with Israel, however much the rhetoric, after Gaza Israel will not hold back whatever the UN or the Biden Administration says, also Hezbollah has been armed up to the teeth by Iran, if a WAR does break out this could drag in Iran and then the US would come to the defence of ISRAEL, so far this blog does not see it happening, but a spark could happen, the Israeli PM is under pressure to allow the people who live close to the border of Lebanon to go home, thus he has to deal with the rockets being thrown over the border by Hezbollah, also lets not forget Gaza, that is on going.   One assumes the Biden Oval does not want another WAR in the Middle East, so it will try to smooth over any sparks, it might be to late, and this blog could be Wrong, a war between Hezbollah in Lebanon would be bigger than Gaza an could lead to a regional WAR.   Also the Kremlin would look to weaken the US due to its fight in the Ukraine, as a former US Defence Secretary said, its the unknown, unknowns that bother you, keep you eye this, it could breaking news at any time.

Russia and North Korea to support either if faced with aggression - New Cold War II - Ukraine - Russia War

BBC News: Reports "  Putin and Kim pledge mutual help against 'aggression'....Vladimir Putin and Kim Jong Un have signed an agreement pledging that Russia and North Korea will help each other in the event of "aggression" against either country.  "

Lets Get Real:

This could be the most important story of the day, the West knowns that Russia is getting ammunition from North Korea for its WAR with the Ukraine, in return it is though that Russia is helping North gain ICBM ability.   It could be worry if North Korea was to send troops to the Ukraine as stated in the above article, or that Russia could help North Korea should it try action with South Korea.   As stated many times in this blog and by other, we could be on the road of 1930s again, the Italian, Nazi Germany and Japan pact or the Nazi - Soviet Pact, other centres of power to the West.  At some point Putin is going to try his luck for a quick win in the Ukraine or to divert attention an attack on the Baltic States.    The decision could be down to who wins in November in the United States, a Trump win could be a clear signal for Putin to try something, or a weak Biden under the eye of a Republican Congress.  International Politics is always on the move.