Liz Truss has a 20% lead over Sunak with Party Members - After Brexit / Boris

Sky News - Live Blog: Reports in its 4.23pm post the following, " 

Liz Truss 'has 20 point lead over Sunak' - YouGov...

Patrick English, from YouGov, has told Sky News that Liz Truss has a 20-point lead over Rishi Sunak among Conservative members, according to their most recent polling.  "

Lets Get Real:

The Conservative membership was more loyal to PM Boris than his MPs, they tend to be older, white, and to the right of their MPs.  Conservative Members want to see low taxes, a smaller state, and finishing Brexit.  Truss voted REMAIN in 2016 but she has become a CONVERT, and is now at the present pushing the Northern Ireland Protocol through the House of Commons.  While Rishi Sunak supported Brexit in 2016 but was very cool to the Protocol Bill when discussed in the Cabinet.  Liz Truss wants TAX CUTS NOW, that always goes down well with Party members and the general public.  Of course we have a long Summer to go, it would be risky to make a prediction, but his blog will take the risk, it will be Truss by a few % points, one can expect the Chancellor to take the fight to the Foreign Secretary, and there will be meetings for the party members to meet and grill the candidates, politicians make mistakes, let's see who can follow the script.   On the whole the blog is indifferent  about the result, Sunak has promised to rip up EU laws when he comes in to office, but first he has to get elected, Rishi just might be to rich even for Conservative members.  Thus on the whole on the Liz side, we have all made mistakes, Liz was a Liberal Democrat and Remainer, but she has reformed.  Thus political sins have to be forgiven. 

The Final Round of the Conservative Leadership Contest - After Brexit/Boris

BBC News - Live Blog: Reports in its 4.01pm post the following, " Mordaunt knocked out of contest...Penny Mordaunt has been knocked out of the Conservative leadership contest, meaning Rishi Sunak and Liz Truss will face each other in the run-off decided by party members. "

Lets Get Real:

This blog and others got the result right, its down to Former Chancellor Sunak versus the Foreign Secretary Liz Truss.  On the whole this blog support Liz, she did not resign and betray PM Boris, while Sunak started the ball rolling that lead to the downfall of Boris.   The Foreign Secretary taking the Northern Ireland Protocol through the House of Commons, one will be interested to hear if Sunak becomes PM will he use the Bill if it is needed to place pressure on the EU.  It is reported that in Cabinet that the Chancellor was opposed to using the bill as a way to place pressure on the EU.  The recent POLLS of Conservative membership  have shown that the membership support LIZ over Rishi, Liz wants TAX CUTS KNOW, while Sunak wants to get inflation down then go for tax cuts.  The UK economy needs a push to stay away from going in to recession, BIG TAX CUTS should help.  The Summer is a long time, we shall see if Liz can keep her 20% over Sunak, a weeks is a long time in politics.