The Home Front - Iran

Guardian: Reports the following on the situation on the ground in Tehran with the fear of war and the UN sanctions, “ …clouded by the fear of war, exhaustion and public anger caused by political discontent at home and western economic sanctions. ” It can be argued folks that the drum beat of war between Iran and Israel and the sanctions by the UN is starting to affect the fabric of daily life in Iran, this is good folks, this will sound harsh but if the pillars of the Regime can be rotted away then there is chance that there will be no Israeli strike, the question is how long will Israel wait, the latest critical report by the IAEA on Iran’s nuclear plans will help the hardliners in Israel to move for a strike, how long before any strike will have limited affect, the Tehran Regime is moving its important nuclear materials under ground, they can not be allowed to get the bomb, if Iran gets the bomb then the region goes nuclear, then there will be a war folks, and it could be nuclear.

Syria the NEXT Libya ?

Telegraph: Reports that Syrian Opposition has claimed that Western Countries are giving them weapons. It can be postulated that this is the French and UK doing it off the radar, it would be of no great surprise, even the CIA might be helping out, the West has to careful, the Assad Regime might go for broke, start a War with Israel, get extra support from Iran, place pressure on Russia, this could get very nasty fast folks, then we have the chance of an Israeli strike on Iran, the Middle East could get very hot fast folks.

The UN and Iran

BBC News: Reports that the UN’s IAEA has serious concerns that Iran is developing a nuclear bomb. This latest leak folks will place extra pressure on Israel to take action, the longer Israel wait’s the less chance of a successful attack on Iran. Also as we are heading in to the US Presidential Election season the issue will start to get more attention, thus could hurt the Oval, thus far Obama’s outreach to Iran has gotten nothing, just dust blown in to the face of the Oval and the UN. Thus expect an attack within a few months folks, also buy Oil futures, you might make money, the market can go up and down.

The Syrian Opposition

The New York Times: Reports that the opposition to the Assad Regime is even more splintered than in Libya. Thus folks even if the UN in the shape of the US, UK and France wanted to take action, you have various groups corralled by their opposition to the Assad Regime, who don’t have direct control of those doing the fighting and getting killed for a free Syria. Lets be honest here folks, President Obama does not want another War, the left in the US were not happy about the US taking out Gaddafi, one can only guess at their reaction should the US take military action in Syria, this could be a first step to a War with Iran. If the Syria mess goes cross border, Israel on one side, then Turkey, it could drag in the US even if it does not want to, a conflict between Israel and Syria would help the Assad Regime, thus the US and the UN have to be very careful, the balloon for the whole region could go up.

Syria and Crimes Against Humanity

Telegraph: Reports that UN Investigators have charged the Syrian Regime with crimes against humanity. As article notes as long as Syria has the backing of Russia and China no formal charges can be placed, but a symbolic condemnation based on the charges would be a great PR tool to hit the Syrian Regime with, thus far it seems only PR that the World community is going to use against Syria. The US and the UK needs to supply the rebels with arms, cut off arms getting in Syria, prevent Iran from supporting the Syrian Regime, this just might avoid a military action later by the UN, this would be carried out by NATO.
　
　
　
　
　
　
　
　
　
　

Syria and the World

BBC News: Reports that a Friends of Syria meeting will be held in Tunisia, those attending the gathering will be the US,UK, EU and the Arab League. The plan is to demand access to the worse shelled areas in Syria. Folks this will only work if there is a threat of force, as long as Syria has the backing of Russia, China and Iran they will carry on killing, this is the reason this blog has not really followed this story, either the World Community ACTS or it does not, its one or the other, as noted on CNN this morning, it took the US and the World Community three years to act when it came to Bosnia, so far its been close to year in Syria, since the uprising started in March of 2011, lets hope the UN does not take in till 2014 to act over Syria, if so thousands or hundred of thousands could reach their maker by the hand of the Syrian Regime.