Ukraine feels good about the Peace Talks with Russia - Russian - Ukraine War - New Cold War 2

Sky News - Live Blog: Reports in its 2.10pm post the following, " Ukraine's peace negotiator has said he is "optimistic" following yesterday's peace talks with Russia in Istanbul....Mykhailo Podolyak also said today that when Russia retreats its soldiers to its 23 February positions (i.e. a complete withdrawal of its troops), it would hold a referendum on any peace deal with its neighbour.  "

Lets Get Real:

The Russians and Ukrainian sides are talking form different perspectives, are the Russians being their natural gloomy self's or have the Ukrainian side been in the same meetings.  The Russians say nothing has really happened at the talks, thus they are still bombing the Ukraine, while the people on the ground in the Ukraine are seeing further bombing and worse than before.  One can speculate that the Russians are playing a double game, they want some good news, thus the talks, but are sending the real message to their people, that nothing has developed to stop the War.   Of course the Russians might be sending their delegation to talk and waffle on while the Russians bomb Kyiv, to distract the West, who might have to learn  that Russian invasion of the Ukraine will take time, and endless talks as was the case in Bosnia in the 1990s.

US WARNS Russia about Ukraine ATTACK - Biden Era

Sky News - Live Blog: Reports in is 1.37pm post the following, " US warns Russia of 'massive' transatlantic response if it invades Ukraine....should Moscow pursue the path of aggression and further invade Ukraine, it would result in a resolute, massive, and united Transatlantic response." "

Lets Get Real:

Thus it seems the hour is closing in, has Putin made up his mind up to attack the Ukraine, what is he waiting for, for a false flag attack or another incident dreamed up by the FSB, one that no one will believe, is Putin that MAD. A long WAR countered by insurgency supported by the West, Ukraine could be the new Afghanistan for Russia, if the Ukraine people fight, it could be bloody and would make Putin a WAR CRIMINAL, no Western Leaders would meet him, he will be wanted for TRIAL at the Hauge for a invasion of a democratic State.  If Putin does invade it will make Bosnia of the 1990s look like happy hour, and the West was forced to end it the end.  How will Putin hide the Russian deaths, and there will be deaths, there are reports that large pits have been DUG to take the DEAD, he does not want body bags going back to Russia.  How long will the Putin Regime be able to hide the consequences of the War, Putin will be compared to Hitler and Stalin. 

 

Hillary Clinton calls POTUS a Creep - The Post 2016 Debate

BBC News: Reports " Hillary Clinton has called Donald Trump a "creep" in her new book, saying he made her "skin crawl" at a debate during their presidential campaigns. "

Lets Get Real:

There is far to easy a joke to this comment by Hillary Clinton, it's called Bill Clinton and Monica Lewinsky, before HRC starts on the President,  there is ANOTHER man she should have  a go at, that is Bill Clinton, the behaviour of Bill Clinton in the late 1990s allowed for Donald Trump.  The argument used by the Clinton team in the 1990s was that the personal behaviour of Bill Clinton did not affect his actions as President.   Thus the Trump Team argued that Trump was a deal maker, and his personal vices did not matter, thus the US voter had taken the lesson of the Clinton team to heart, if you overlook his personal problems, Bill Clinton was a good President, and could have been a great President, he  bought the US out of recession, he solved the the War in Bosnia, and came close to getting a Middle East Peace deal, but his personal failings made sure that his Vice - President, Al Gore did not win the 2000 Election.  Thus in away he helped in the election of Donald Trump. 

Does Blair still have IT in political terms - Election 2015

Telegraph: Reports " Either Tony Blair is an asset to Labour. In which case the constant attempts to “bury” his legacy were a major strategic own goal. Or he is a liability to Labour. In which case his emergence on the campaign trail his morning is a strategic own goal. "

Lets Get Real:

Lets face political reality, in his day Tony Blair was  a rock star of politics, he did win three elections for Labour, of course IRAQ will always be associated with Blair and the Blair Era, BUT should Iraq make everything else of the Blair Agenda seem negative.  The answer is no of course, there was peace in Northern Ireland, there was Western action in Bosnia and Kosovo, and a great economy for most people in the UK.   The modern Labour Party should learn from Blair, he has always argued up in till know that when Labours goes left it losses, lets see who is right, Blair or Miliband, have UK voters gone left or only in the mind of Miliband. 

The BREAKUP of Iraq - 2nd Term Blues

Telegraph: Reports " Iraq crisis: the country is facing imminent break up say Western diplomats....Western officials say the crisis is 'the real thing' and are concerned that politicians cannot deal with its sheer scale "

Lets Get Real:

It is simple really, the West does not have a Reagan or a Thatcher in power, we have 2nd raters, at the end of the Cold War there was the idea that the World could be managed, well Bosnia and Kosovo showed that was an error, then came 9/11 and the Wars in Afghanistan and Iraq,  the West needs bold leadership, Reagan and Thatcher bought down the USSR through morale argument and defence, the USSR ended up in the dustbin, the leaders that followed in the US and UK didn't understand that history in itself does not change, there is always new terrors coming up, the question is can the Western Governments see the problem and deal with it,  the threat form terrorism was seen by the West, but no one saw a 9/11 in New York or a 7/7 in London, thus when those terrors arrived the West was slow and is still slow.    The fault for the present crisis in Iraq is down to President Obama, he withdrew the troops, he still thinks rhetoric is more important than reality, and at the end of the day, its the voter who is to blame, you voted the in, you have to face the results. 

Kerry on Geneva Ukraine DEAL - Ukraine Crisis Latest

Telegraph - Ukraine Live: Reports the following in its 5.50pm post, " John Kerry, the US secretary of state, says the Ukraine deal represents a "good day's work," but words must be turned into actions. ".

Lets Get Real:

The above is the point, do pro Russian protesters in Easter Ukraine follow the public Moscow stand, or is the Geneva just PR for the Russians, gets the West off its back for few days then invades, is Moscow fully in control of the pro Russians protesters in East Ukraine, once you start something like this its very hard to turn back the clock, depends what the Russian intelligence has promised the Russians in Eastern Europe, will they go back to be run from Kiev, the weekend shall see the results of the DEAL, does it stick, one only has to recall Bosnia.  

Kiev, Ukraine - Latest Part 2

Telegraph - Ukraine Live: Reports the following its 11.15pm post, " It's a little after 1am in Kiev but Vitali Klitschko, the opposition leader, is reportedly at the presidential palace to continue negotiations. ".

Lets Get Real:

Lets hope that the above post leads to 100% truce and real talks, and that Moscow keeps its opinions to itself, it is not wanted, its none of their business who the people of the Ukraine want as their President.   The US/EU has to be firm, it has to support the protesters, it should offer financial support to a new Government of the Ukraine and even give it security cover in case Moscow loses the plot, better to keep Moscow as the borders of the Ukraine and NOT Poland, a NATO member.   If the crisis in the Ukraine goes South, it would make the Wars in Bosnia look like happy hour, thus important that the West reacts and holds the line, no waffle from the US or EU this time. 

Kerry on Syria - Syria Crisis 4

Statement by US Secretary of State, John Kerry.  Here are the highlights folks, " The United States Government now knows that at least 1,429 Syrians were killed in this attack, including at least 426 children. Even the first responders, the doctors, nurses, and medics who tried to save them, they became victims themselves. We saw them gasping for air, terrified that their own lives were in danger.....We also know many disturbing details about the aftermath. We know that a senior regime official who knew about the attack confirmed that chemical weapons were used by the regime, reviewed the impact, and actually was afraid that they would be discovered. We know this....So the primary question is really no longer: What do we know? The question is: What are we – we collectively – what are we in the world going to do about it?  As previous storms in history have gathered, when unspeakable crimes were within our power to stop them, we have been warned against the temptations of looking the other way. History is full of leaders who have warned against inaction, indifference, and especially against silence when it mattered most. Our choices then in history had great consequences and our choice today has great consequences. It matters that nearly a hundred years ago, in direct response to the utter horror and inhumanity of World War I, that the civilized world agreed that chemical weapons should never be used again.....Our oldest ally, the French, said the regime, quote, “committed this vile action, and it is an outrage to use weapons that the community has banned for the last 90 years in all international conventions.” The Australian Prime Minister said he didn’t want history to record that we were, quote, “a party to turning such a blind eye.”

Lets Get Real:

This is what happens folks when when the appeasers in the House of Commons stabs the UK's closes ally in the back, think about this folks, the bloody French, after World War One and World War Two and various other Wars, we do not even get a mention.  SHAME on the House of Commons, JUST SHAME. 

The UK and the Syrian Rebels - Syrian Update

Guardian: Reports that the UK Foreign Secretary William Hague has stated the following about arming the Syrian rebels, " ..no decision made to arm opposition to President Assad, but insists it can be done in containable way  ".

Lets Get Real:

If the US wants the UK to be part of a solution to the Syrian Civil War the Oval will have to lead, Obama, Cameron and President Hollande of France will have to shame the Conservative backbenchers who oppose arming the Syrian rebels because of Iraq and Afghanistan.   This would place the Liberal Democrats and the Labour Party against the Obama Oval and France, that should be enough to force Labour leader Ed Miliband to support the Conservatives, thus the Liberal Democrats will not matter, but for this to work the Oval and President Obama will have to take a major role, the UN gave cover for the UK to take down Gaddafi of Libya, the Russians are not going to give UN cover for any action in Syria, they want to keep their warm water port, thus its real politic time.   Syria is the more complex Bosnia Crisis of the 1990s, but a Assad win could cause a regional disaster, the refugees in Jordan, Lebanon and Turkey will not go home if Assad wins and thus causing the prospect that the Kingdom of Jordan could fall, Lebanon could return to Civil War and tensions could develop further in Turkey, a NATO member.  Thus folks the Oval can not lead from behind, its far to late for that folks. 

Division with EU over SYRIA - Part Two

Guardian: Reports that the following Countries oppose the arming of the Syrian rebels, " ..notably Austria, the Czech Republic, Finland, the Netherlands and Sweden – oppose it for fear that weapons may fall into the hands of Islamic extremist groups.. ".

Lets Get Real:

This is 1990s Bosnia ALL over again folks, the EU when faced with people in their thousands being killed is nowhere in sight, it wants to do nothing, at  least President Clinton lead in the end, after years of doing nothing, the EU, UN, are hot air talking shops for Countries with no respect or backbone, at least President Clinton finally lead in Bosnia and used US Air power to bring peace to Bosnia, the present President Oval in the Oval is weak and likes the sound of his voice to much to see the real world, thus his statement that the War on Terror was over, a closed mind that is dated and is back in the 1990s, the opinion of the Oval is bad on the strategic front and also worse, its bad politics, what if there is another 9/11 in the next three years, the speech will be pushed down the throat of the Oval and the Democrats will pay a political price, you do not make that kind of speech in till your few months from leaving office.  The arrogance of power with the view that your the smartest man in the room is the weakness of the Oval, lets hope others do not pay the price for the fool in the Oval, its always other who pay. 

The US on Syrian Massacres - Update 2

US State Department: This from the Kerry State Department, " The United States is appalled by horrific reports that more than 100 people were killed May 2 in gruesome attacks on the coastal town of al-Bayda, Syria. Regime and Shabiha forces reportedly destroyed the area with mortar fire then stormed the town and executed entire families, including women and children. We extend our deepest condolences to the families of the victims of this tragedy.

We strongly condemn atrocities against the civilian population and reinforce our solidarity with the Syrian people. As the Assad regime’s violence against innocent civilians escalates, we will not lose sight of the men, women, and children whose lives are being so brutally cut short.

We call on all responsible actors in Syria to speak out against the perpetration of unlawful killings against any group, regardless of faith or ethnicity. Those responsible for serious violations of international humanitarian law and serious violations and abuses of human rights law must be held accountable. ".

Lets Get Real:

In other words the US will DO NOTING, its Bosnia all over again, weak leaders who are more interested in keeping their polls up, thousands will die because Obama, Cameron will not act, they will only act if Assad kills thousands more of his own people with WMD, is the soul of the West so weak and corrupt that it can no longer do the right thing without the right poll, SHAME ON THE WEST.   At least President Clinton and PM Tony Blair acted, they were leaders, they had backbone, more than the present wimps in power. 

Bush 41 on Thatcher - Thatcher Era 7

Telegraph: Has an article written by Bush 41, the former President states the following on Lady Thatcher, " ..was a fearless, unrelenting advocate for democracy, free markets and human rights... ".

Lets Get Real: 

It is nice article but also truthful, the President is honest is that he was not as close to Lady Thatcher as President Reagan and they had more policy disagreements, there is that famous case in the lead up to the first Gulf War when Lady Thatcher told Bush 41 not to wobble, one has to wonder how that went  down with a US President.   Also Lady Thatcher stated in an interview that she though that the US and the UK ended the first Gulf War to soon, but she had gone by then.    By the time of the Bush 41 Presidency the Cold War was over, Germany within a few months of Reagan leaving office was on the way to unification, the USSR was in its death throes but no one knew, the relationship between the US and the USSR that lead to the end of the Cold War and the end of USSR had its foundations in the Reagan - Bush Era, helped along by Lady Thatcher who was firm ally of Reagan and Bush 41. By the time Lady Thatcher left office in 1990 the World and Europe was heading in to the Post Cold War Era, full of smaller crisis points, starting with the Gulf War, then Bosnia, by that time Reagan, Thatcher and Gorbachev has either gone or were on the way out.  Great leaders for a great time folks. 

US,UK, France vs. Syria - Syrian Crisis

Telegraph: Reports on remarks by the new US Secretary of State, former Senator John Kerry, the Secretary   stated the following, " The United States would not object to Britain and France arming Syrian rebel groups now fighting to topple the regime of Bashar al-Assad,.. ".

Lets Get Real:

This is Libya ALL over again folks, the Oval is leading from behind, while the face of this latest fight with be UK and France again, Old Europe taking over the leadership of the West, the EU as with Bosnia is being slow, Germans as the article notes is resistance to arming the Syrian rebels, but this is different from Bosnia folks, Syria does have weapons of mass destruction, what if the Assad Regimes moves its chemical weapons to its terrorists allies in Lebanon or Gaza.    The Civil War has already gone over regional borders in Lebanon and Iraq, if Israel has to create a buffer zone in Syria to protect its border it could lead to a regional war.   Thus the Syrian Civil War as with the Libyan conflict needs to end soon folks, if it goes on it will get worse, the Assad Regime is toast, the Regime in Tehran is already creating armed groups in Syria to become active once Assad falls, thus the West needs to play its hand in Syria and fast, the more the Country falls apart the more chance of a regional war and the end result a nuclear armed Iran. 

Limited US Support for Syrian Rebels - Syrian Crisis 2

Guardian: Reports the latest on the Syrian Crisis, " US pledges expanded support for Syrian rebels but no military aid ".

Lets Get Real:

This recalls the weak response of Bush 41 and Bill Clinton to the early years of the Bosnian War, the lack of action as Tony Blair stated of late is a policy decision, the Assad Regime knows it has the support of Russia and Iran, at the UN the Russians block any real action against Syria, while Iran through Iraq air space give military support to Syria.    Thus as long as Russia and Iran have the back of the Syrian Regime and the West has such a tepid response more Syrians are going to die, real leadership is about taking decisions that are not popular at home, the Liberal left would go bonkers should the Oval place US troops on the ground in Syria, but because Syria has weapons of mass destruction this might be the only choice folks,  lets hope the Obama ego does not lead to the Assad using chemical weapons on his own people, based on the idea that Obama will never really take military action, US Presidents sometimes have their hand forced, Obama might have no choice at the end of the day, either US troops or Israel has to do a major strike, real politic is a harsh business folks. 

Obama and Syria - Syrian Crisis

The Hill: Reports the following development within the Obama Administration when it comes to Syria, the article notes the following, " ..White House weighs providing direct aid to Syrian rebels  ". 

Lets Get Real: 

Thus folks thousands of Syrians have died even after Obama's Secretaries of State and Defence and the head of the CIA supported arming the Syrian Rebels, the Oval said NO.   The reason was not down to Middle Easter politics, it was down to the political calender in the US, the 2012 US Presidential Election was on, and the Oval did not want to anger his liberal base, its now 2013 and the Oval is looking at its legacy, the Oval lead from behind in Libya, the face of that victory was the UK and France, in Egypt the Muslim Brotherhood has come in to power, it wants to make Egypt the next Iran.   This is a threat to Israel, how many Syrians have to die before the Oval acts, a hundred thousand, half million, does it want another  Bosnia, Rwanda, the World watching while people are killed.   Lets see if the Oval to use a diplomatic phase gets off its backside and acts, well the Oval did get a Nobel Prize for doing nothing, lets start seeing the Oval earn it by saving lives. 

Secretary Kerry and Syria - Syrian Crisis Update

Telegraph: Reports on comments made by the new US Secretary of State, John Kerry,  while on on his first trip to London as US Secretary of State, Mr Kerry stated the following on Syria, " ..sought to heal a rift with Syria's opposition on Monday, promising not to leave them "dangling in the wind" as they struggle against President Bashar al-Assad. ".

Lets Get Real:

In other words folks the Oval after rejecting the advice of State, Defence and the CIA will arm the Syrian rebels,  the sole reason that the Oval did not arm the rebels in the firs term was the worry that it would cause problems for the Oval with his liberal base, they do not matter now, what worries the Oval is how History will deal with Obama's record when it comes to foreign policy.    On the plus side the Oval has finished the US presence in Iraq, also lead from behind to bring down Gaddafi of Libya.   Its the negatives that are the problem, the lack of a US presence in Iraq has allowed an increase in violence, while Iran is closer to the bomb, the US threw its ally Hosni Mubarak under the bus, thus allowing for a Muslim Brotherhood Government in Egypt,  the relationship between the Oval and Israel is at frozen as you can get for an ally.   In Syria Al Qaeda is supporting the Syria rebels, while the West is seen as being slow and not helping with rebels.  In  Afghanistan the Oval is worried that once the US leaves the terrorists will come back and the nuclear armed secular Government of Pakistan could come under threat.     Then there is North Korea, it is developing its ICBM and nuclear technology, a threat to the region and a supplier to Iran.   Thus folks, Syria, Iran or North Korea could sink a 2nd Obama term, just ask Carter how foreign policy can destroy your Presidency. 

Iran and Syria - Syrian Update PT3

Telegraph: Reports the following from the Syrian crisis, " Iran and its Lebanese-based ally, Hizbollah, are reportedly trying to build a network of militias inside Syria to protect their interests there in case President Bashar al-Assad falls. ".

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks the reason that that Oval can not afford to wait on events, if the Assad Regime falls in the near future the Tehran Regime can not be allowed to create another Lebanese type Civil War in Syria, it should be recalled that the Civil War in Lebanon had the seeds of the Iran - Contra affair, so the Oval can get hurt folks.  What if Al Qaeda combined with Tehran start a low level War with Israel, but using chemical weapons, this would suite Tehran, the World would have its eyes on Syria while Tehran goes for the bomb.    Does the Oval want Iran to get the bomb on the Obama watch, that would be a disaster of the Oval and for Democrats.    The Oval thinks that Syria will go away, it wont folks, this Bosnia all over again, but could get worse, we are talking about chemical weapons folks and the types of  people that would use them against Israel, a very close US ally.   Thus watch this space folks, one can say that in 2013 Syria and Iran will dominate the Oval. 

France faces Terrorist THREAT - Terror

BBC News: Reports that President Hollande has increased security around French public building after military operations in Africa lead to French military deaths in attempt to thwart Islamic threats in the region. 

Lets Get Real: 

Lets recall what the failure of the military mission to rescue the US hostages in Iran did to the Carter Presidency, it lead to its demise in 1980, also after a military failure in Somalia early in the Clinton Presidency this made Clinton less than ready to take military action in Bosnia, thus these deaths could have the following effect on the the new French Government, it could be afraid to take risks, or on the other hand it could learn the lesson that President Obama learned, you can not afford for your Western liberal view of the world to effect your actions in national security, thus Obama has increased the drone strikes of the Bush Era, and has increased its scope.   The drone strikes has come under critical attack from the left in the US and from Europe, lets see how the French react, will they run away, not new for the French or stand with the US and UK in taking down the terrorist threat from Islamic terrorists. 

Aleppo Massacre ? - Syrian Update

BBC News: Reports that the UK Government has warned of a potential massacre in Aleppo, the 2nd City of Syria.

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks we shall see if the West, and in this case the Obama Administration has the backbone to go around the UN Security Council and prevent a bloody massacre in Aleppo, in Libya after a UN resolution the West in the shape of NATO bought down the Gaddafi Regime, much to the horror of Russia and China, the Russians with their Port in Syria are not going to move, and China on this issue goes along with Russia, lets face China had its own massacre of those seeking democracy, thus they have reasons to prevent the UN looking at the internal affair of other States. The question is will the Oval take action, or are we looking at another Bosnia, thousands killed before the US takes action, of course Obama has a problem, its an election year, how many innocent people getting killed on our TV screens can Obama put up with before he has to take action, with or without UN approval. The US left will never support another War in the Middle East, thus many poor Syrians might have to die before President Obama finds his backbone. Harsh but TRUE folks.

Russian Bear has CLAWS - Syrian Crisis

Telegraph: Reports that Russia is sending the following to its naval base in Syria, " Two destroyers and three amphibious landing vessels carrying marines..".

Lets Get Real:

This is the Russian bear showing its claws folks, it is showing support for the Assad Regime, thus the US soon will have to make a choice, does it just allow the Assad to go on killing its own people with the backing of Iran, Russia or does it take action, or is Syria another Bosnia, do thousands have to die before the Oval does something, the restart with Russia has failed, Moscow thinks Obama is weak, and in this case Putin is right, after dumping a missile deal with Poland the Czech Republic because of Russian concerns what has Obama gotten back from Moscow, in essence it has been told by this move that Russia is going to back its Cold War ally and that Russia has the back of the Syrian Regime at the UN. The Russia bear understands a tough Washington D.C, with Obama they see a President who thinks his own rhetoric is real, and a President who is willing to throw is allies under the bus because he is afraid to deal with the left of his Party. The end result folks is that thousands of Syrians will die due to a weak US President and a Russian bear with sharp claws.