Tuesday, May 22, 2018

US and North Korea Summit - Update 3 - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

It will be interesting to see what North Korea says about the above statement, they could use it as a way to get out of the Summit.  The US and North Korea could have had different ideas about the Summit since the start.   The North Koreans want a gradual reduction of their nuclear forces as the US withdraws its troops from South Korea, something the US will not do.   This is the problem when you have a new President who has no history of diplomacy, building in New York is not the same as building a diplomatic relationship.   Interesting few days ahead. 

Brexit Leader suspects the PM on Brexit - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

This is a threat from the hard Brexit supporters, they have the numbers to bring down the PM.  The PM has to stand firm, a SOFT Brexit is goods for the UK and for the Conservative Party.  A soft Brexit of the UK staying within the Customs Union and Single Market would prevent a future PM Corbyn from taking over large areas of the UK economy, the Conservatives have to think of the future.  In the House of Commons there are the number to keep the UK in both, it is a matter of leadership, PM May has to find her inner Thatcher has this blog stated many times. 

US and the North Korean Summit - Update 2 - Trump Era

Sky News: Reports on the prospect that the US and North Korean Summit will be delayed, " The event had been planned for 12 June but there have been concerns that Mr Kim is not committed to denuclearisation. "

Lets Get Real:

The North Koreans want the US to withdraw it troops from South Korea, cancel its security cover for Japan, while the US wants the North Koreans to give up its nuclear weapons and accept the US on South Korean soil.   The Summit PR would be good for the leaders, North Korea would see itself as accepted on the international stage as a nuclear power, while Trump's diplomacy would seem to have worked.   The problem comes in the final result, North Korea wants to keep most of its nuclear weapons, while the Trump Oval needs North Korea to give up its weapons.   A bad Summit can cause more problems that no Summit, the US needs to be firm with North Korea, it can not play its games, the US and its Allies will not be divided. 

The US and North Korean Summit - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

The Trump Oval might be thinking that the North Koreans are playing their typical game, promising talks then stalling to see if there are any concessions out of the US.  The Trump Oval has to be firm with North Koreans, no concessions in till they turn up to the Summit and offer to do away with their nuclear weapons.   North Korea has a history of over promising and then doing the reverse from 1994 onwards.   President Trump is clever enough to see how past Presidents have been played, he does not want to look like a useful for North Korea, has Reagan said on the USSR, Trust but Verify.