CNN: A excellent article on taking Polls are a sure guide to election outcomes. I recall 1992 and the Labour victory, yes they lost. Must Read of the day.
Thursday, November 08, 2007
Pressure on Iran
BBC: Reports that both the USA and France will work together to prevent Iran becoming a nuclear armed power. The point will come when diplomacy fails and it will fail, will France back up its words with military support should the USA, UK have to attack Iran by air next year.
Good News from Iraq ?
New York Times: Reports that Al Qaeda has been outed from Baghdad, but as with he NYT it is important to understand the context, the troops can come home, the political discussion in Iraq at national level is still not working, the fighting has left the Capital for the towns outside the surge. Thus even with good news the NYT can help itself has to go negative, if Christ come down in Iraq the NYT would recall the fact that he was from Israel.
New Iowa Poll
A new poll by the respected pollster, Zogby International in Iowa. This poll shows a very close race. What's very interesting about the Poll that Zogby does something very different that other polling groups so far haven't done, after the first round of the Iowa voting those under 15% are eliminated. The Second round votes are then given to other candidates. Zogby shows the first and second round votes and its close folks.
The First Round of Voting:
Clinton 28%
Obama 25%
Edwards 21%
The Second Round Voting:
Clinton 30 %
Obama 29 %
Edwards 27 %
If Obama and Edwards can over take Clinton and force her in to third place then Obama has a major chance of winning the nomination in 2008. Obama has to be in Iowa 24/7 for the next couple of weeks, he should cancel Xmas and New Year celebrations, this is his chance to win.
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