Thursday, November 25, 2021

World War 3 over the Ukraine ? - Biden Era


Lets Get Real:

The question has to be asked, is President Putin MAD, would he really invade the Ukraine, or try to take Easter Ukraine, think Nazi Germany 1938 with the Czechs, then the British PM, Neville Chamberlain followed his policy of appeasement and sold out the Czechs, thus fracturing the Czech State, this is did not stop Hitler walking in to Prague, thus WOULD East Ukraine be enough for Putin, he sees the Ukraine as part of the Russia, Putin wants to return to the OLD USSR, and the power of the old USSR.   This places Biden on a crossroads, does sell out Kiev, thus appeasing Putin or does he hold his ground.  After Afghanistan Biden cannot suffer another international defeat, thus if he wants a 2nd terms, he would have to stand tall, even if his staff have to keep him upright.  Thus back to the original question, it would not be the walk over that the Crimea was, the Russian forces would face a tough opposition from the Ukrainian people and the WEST, this being the UK and France might have to defend Kiev, that would force the Americans in, no matter what Biden or AOC wants.   This is can be argued, with some foundation, that Putin is playing with the West, the bridges he would burn, the real and theoretical would be to high a COST, and what if he is forced back, he would be overthrown, so why take the risk, play games with the West, and see what he can get out of them, perhaps less sanctions.  Thus the chance of WAR is 4/10.  Thus no need to build your very own Anderson Shelter, anyway they would not work in this nuclear age.