Obama vs. Romney - 2012 Match Up

RCP: Reports on its average of the match up polls of President Obama vs. Governor Mitt Romney, today the average has President Obama leading Governor Romney by 46.7% to 45.4%, a lead of 1.3% for POTUS.

Lets Get Real:

Its May folks, thus very VERY early for polls, but its good way to see the field, on the whole it can be argued that it was not a good week for President Obama, having his hand forced by VP Biden must have gone down like a lead balloon at the Chicago Re-Elect Committee. The RCP is a average of the polls, thus you have likely voters and registered voters. This blog has a lot of faith in Rasmussen Polls, as they ask likely voters, in today's tracking poll Romney leads POTUS by 7%, thus Romney on 50% and President Obama on 43%. It is still early folks, long road ahead.

Biden apology and Gay Marriage

CNN Politics: Reports that on Wednesday US Vice - President Biden said sorry to President Obama for forcing his hand on gay marriage.

Lets Get Real:

If your POTUS you have to wonder can you put up with this four another four years, what if Biden wants to run for the Presidency himself in 2016, would you want Biden to be holding the Obama flag in 2016. This blog has its problems with the Oval but even this blog would not dump Biden on Obama in 2016 as the his flag carrier, this is the best reason for President Obama to dump Biden and get Hillary Clinton on as VP. This will allow Hillary Clinton to run in 2016 and in part represent Obama, she could be his Bush 41. Thus Obama would be the liberal Reagan, his successor would have been his VP. President Obama does not want another VP Gore, that never looks good for the President. Thus folks watch the Democratic Convention with care, don't be shocked if its VP Clinton.

Governor Romney = Richard Nixon ?

The New York Times: Reports how Governor Romney broke bread with Conservative Media at the start of May, following in the path of Richard Nixon in 1968.

Lets Get Real:

In essence the article is saying that Governor Romney like Richard Nixon before him has to get the Conservative base of the Republican Party on board, how Romney is not trusted now, the very same position that Nixon had to deal with when he ran in 1968. This being uber liberal NYT it sees a Obama problem as a Romney problem, it has the following line on gay marriage " ..When Obama declared his support for marriage equality on Wednesday, he forced Romney into a precarious position... ", Governor Romney has stated that he supports only marriage between a man and woman, its not radical, only the uber bloated NYT would see Romney with the political problem, lets look at the facts, 31 States have passed laws that say no to gay marriage, not 31 YES for gay marriage. Also the Oval does not want it to become a Federal issue, in his interview President Obama stated that it was up to the States to decide, lets be honest Obama was forced in the move when Vice President Biden stated he supported gay marriage. Also Obama affirmed his support, its something you would say in Court if you don't want to plead. LETS BE CLEAR, this blog supports gay marriage, and gay adoption, but this blog is about political reality, not what goes down as NORMAL for the UBER LIBERAL ELITE OF THE NYT. This move could very well cost Obama the Presidency, no everyone is young and at a liberal College, some people believe in God's law, when it comes to marriage, not the UBER VIEW OF THE NYT.

President Hillary Clinton ?

Daily Mail: Reports on a new book on President Obama that claims that ex President Bill Clinton wanted his wife; Hillary Clinton the US Secretary of State; to quite State and run against President Obama for the Democratic Nomination.

Lets Get Real:

It should be noted folks that the Clinton Camp has denied the story, so is it true, one could see why it could be true, this blog will never be convinced that Bill Clinton will ever forgive the Obama Campaign of 2008 of using the race card on him, think about this folks, before Obama the first black President was seen as Bill Clinton, so to have the racist tag thrown by the Obama Camp on him would have hurt the former President. In pure politics terms not great odds that Secretary Clinton would have won, as the articles notes Reagan failed against President Ford in 1976 by about hundred votes, while the last of the Kennedy brothers, Senator Edward Kennedy went down to defeat to Jimmy Carter. One can postulate that if the story is true then Bill Clinton was looking at the 1976 race, that went down to the Convention and Reagan only lost as stated above by hundred votes, what it did allow was for Reagan to win the 1980 election. If President Obama is defeated this year then Secretary Clinton will carry the baggage of the Obama Administration, then it would be hard to get the nomination in 2016. On the other hand the Secretary has made it clear that she is a no show show for a 2nd Obama term, thus if like most 2nd terms the Obama star falls it might allow the Secretary win the nomination in 2016. Also lets not forget the chance that Obama will dump Biden and place the Secretary on the ticket, that would be a smart move, if that happens his re-election chances go up, his only problem will be having Bill and Hillary Clinton breathing down his neck for four years.

Greek General Election - 2nd

Guardian Live - Greece: Reports in its 3.57pm post that the 2nd Greek General Election is expected to be held on June 17.

Lets Get Real:

Thus the Greek voters will have a choice folks, Greece has come to a crossroads, the voters can either conform their last vote which gave a clear message that the Greek people had finished with the EU imposed austerity package, or the voters can say that the last vote was a protest vote and return to the main Conservative and Socialist Parties that support keeping Greece within the Euro and thus want Greece to follow the agreed deal between the Troika and Greece. If Greek voters support extreme right and left wing Parties that want to dump the deal then Greece will have made a choice, the Germans will not back off the terms of the deal, any movement and President Hollande will try to dissolve the new agreed EU Treaty. Thus the Germans cant move on any new Greek deal, the Greeks in a odd way might be paying the price of a Socialist wining in France. That is irony folks.

Greece and the EU

Telegraph Live - Greece: Reports in its 5.31pm post that EC President Jose Manuel Barroso has stated that Greece should leave the Euro if it cant follow the agreed austerity deal of the previous Government.

Lets Get Real:

Folks this looks like Greece is heading to the end game one way or another, will the EU wait for another Month before Greek elections or will it make clear that Greece has broken its agreement and its time for Greece to EXIT the Euro. This humble blog could not believe its ears when it heard last night that out of the previous five billions euros that the EU had agreed to give to Greece it had in fact given four billion euros, so EU has thrown billions down the toilet when the Greek people have told the Greek political Elite to tell the EU and in this case Germany to get lost. Think about this folks, that is about two and half billion pounds, how many Schools, Hospitals could that build in the EU Countries, how many young people could be hired for job training. The EU is on LSD folks, its started to believe its own press statements, reality and the EU is are different, its the people of the EU that will suffer the flashbacks folks, not the elite, they never get hurt.

Greek Deadlock - Eurozone Crisis

BBC News: Reports that political talks in Greece between the main and minor Parties has failed to produce a Coalition Government.

Lets Get Real:

The Greek elite of the right and left has taken Greece down the toilet, they can not be trusted with the mandate to run Greece for the next couple of years. When it comes down to it, the Greek people have a choice, its about time the Greek political elite told them the truth, either they follow the austerity plan agreed by the previous Greek Coalition Government or they get out of the Euro. Those are the only choices that Greece has, what should Greece do? That is a hard question, in near future it should close its borders once night, freeze Capital transfers from banks and introduce a new currency, that currency should be local and backed by the Greek Government. One can postulate that before Greece would start such a policy it would get agreement from the EU/IMF/ECB to support the new Greek currency as the Greek Government could not go the money markets to raise cash, thus it is dependent on the Troika above. If Greece does not want austerity but is willing to accept tough times for a limited time period it should get out of the Euro and rebuild its economic structure, then the EU/IMF/ECB can have a firewall for the rest of the EU and its banks. Lets see if the Greek politicians have the will to make the tough decisions, it going to be tough in Greece folks.