Sunday, January 20, 2013

2nd Obama Term

Courtesy of the White House,  20/1/2013

Lets Get Real: 

Thus the Obama Era starts its second term, POTUS is now in a selected club of Democratic Presidents who have won two terms, in the modern era that is FDR and Bill Clinton, it should be noted that Clinton never got over 50% of the vote.   Thus lets hope that POTUS has a good 2nd term, if the US is doing good so is the rest of the World.   Lets wait and see folks. 

Godfather Obama - CIA Drone Strikes


Lets Get Real:

This is a good move by the Obama Administration, the killing of the Al Qaeda leadership in Afghanistan and Pakistan has forced Al Qaeda to go franchise, it has less capacity to create another 9/11 or 7/7, the mode of operation for old Al Qaeda was a massive terrorist attack, the Oval use of drones has stopped this, in this the Oval has shown courage, it has taken on the liberal base of the Democratic Party and the US Courts,  the Oval has saved lives, of that it can be proud, it has let the CIA off the lose, innocent people have been killed, a lot, but that is the cost of the WAR ON TERROR, its not a nice world out there folks, its Chicago rules, and either kill or get killed. 

Israel NO to 1967 Borders - Middle East

Guardian: Reports that the Israeli PM has stated the following, " Binyamin Netanyahu rejects calls for Palestinian state within 1967 lines ".

Lets Get Real:

This will go down like a lead balloon in the Oval Office and the UK Foreign Office, the Oval has tried to push for a peace deal, and host gotten nowhere, if the Oval tried to force Israel the US Congress, House and Senate would push back, the UK Foreign Office has always been pro Arab, its always the fault of Israel, on the whole this has been countered by a more 10 Downing Street support for Israel.      The Israel political field has gone more right wing, the people of Israel are tired of giving for a peace deal and only to get back bombs from Gaza.   Thus the new Israeli Government might annex the West Bank and take over Gaza, while at the same time bombing Iran.   Thus 2013 folks could be very interesting in the Middle East. 

The 2nd Obama Term - Clock for 2016 +1

BBC News: Reports that President Obama has been sworn in for a 2nd term. 

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks the clock for 2016 stars, the power of any 2nd term President starts to fade within the first year, the President on his desk after the formal ceremony tomorrow, has to deal with the US debt, the growing threat from Al Qaeda in Africa, the Muslim Brotherhood taking over Egypt, this could be a threat to the Israeli and Egypt Peace deal of the Carter years.  The Israeli Election is expected to move Israeli politics further to the right, thus it can be expected that Israel will strike Iran with or without the approval of the Oval. The Israeli Government did this is 1981 and 2007, and the in the Oval was Reagan and then Bush 43, seen as friends of Israel, this can not be said of POTUS.   Then we come to 2016, the Candidates in the Democratic and Republican Parties will start to visit Iowa and NH at the tail end of 2013, full throttle in 2014, then we have the Mid Terms,  can POTUS retake the House and more important can he keep the Senate, then we come to the dumping period, if Obama is low on the polls or his base only comes out to vote for him the Democratic candidates will need a fair space between them and the Oval, just a fact of life.  Also VP Biden is not a serious candidate, thus it is for Hillary Clinton, former, First Lady, Senator and by then Secretary of State to lose the race, on the Republican side it could be Governor Jeb Bush,  a Clinton vs. Bush race, Back to the Future folks.