Friday, February 07, 2020

New CNN Poll for New Hampshire - NH Part 3 - 2020 US Election

CNN Politics: Reports on its latest poll for New Hampshire,  " Senator Sanders 24%, Mayor Pete 20%, VP Biden 17%..."

Lets Get Real:

The Bidne campaign will be hoping that VP Biden comes out firing with good lines in the debate tonight, he needs a moment when he can show he is the front runner, he can not afford another average performance or a poor show.   The former VP needs to go after Mayor Pete as to young and Sanders as to LEFT WING, he needs funny lines, like Reagan's put down of Walter Mondale in 1984.  Thus the VP needs to be in the top two after Tuesday, anything else and he will have to win Nevada, another caucus State ( God help us )   

Is Biden FINISHED in 2020? - NH Part 2 - 2020 US Election


Lets Get Real:

The Biden campaign lowered expectations for the early States. in this they were right, the point of a campaign is to beat expectations, in that the Biden campaign is failing badly, if Biden comes in 4th in New Hampshire there will be questions if Biden is up to taking on Trump in November.   The firewall for Biden is SC, the majority back vote is supporting him,he was Obama's loyal VP for eight years, the question is how deep is the black vote for Biden, will they see him as needing their support or will they go to someone else, NH and Nevada could make or break Biden.

Sanders just Leads Mayor Pete in New Hampshire Poll - NH - 2020 Election

Boston Globe: Reports on a new poll that shows that Mayor Pete is surging in New Hampshire, just behind Senator Sanders, " Sanders held steady at 24 percent, while Buttigieg nipped at his heels with 23 percent. Biden slipped to 11 percent, below Warren’s 13 percent."

Lets Get Real:

The Iowa results are in, it was a tie between Mayor Pete and Senator Sanders, with the Mayor just ahead by half a %.  The question for NH voters is simple, do they think that Biden is DONE, the moderate lane has been taken over by the Mayor and if the can carry on the success of Iowa he would have taken the first two States of the Democratic race, while if Sanders wins he will have won Iowa with the Mayor and NH.   VP Biden has to refresh his act, he can not afford another 4th place finish, will his firewall in SC last, if the African American voters see that Biden is a no hopper against Trump in November.   There is a debate tonight, let's recall Reagan's famous line at a debate in NH " I paid for this microphone Mr Green ", that made him the nominee, it can be argued even President.  Will the VP match that level, one does not have much hope in that area.