With the resignation of PM Gordon Brown as Labour Leader and the stalled talks between the Conservative Party and the Lib Dems we can now see a future Lib Dems / Labour Pact. The problem with the Lib Dems as was shown in Wales after the recent Assembly Elections is the fact that it is full of people who prefer opposition and don’t want real power. Thus this my prediction, the left wing of the Lib Dems will force the leadership to go with Labour, thus even with the MP’s from the Labour and Lib Dems you don’t have a Commons Majority, this will force the new Government to seek the support of the National Parties from Northern Ireland, Scotland, and Wales, these Parties will not want public spending cuts in their backyard, thus the cuts will be in England. Lets look at the political consequences for the Labour Party, they could lose many more English Seats and after the next election, and folks there will be a next election as the Conservative Party in opposition will make every vote count in the Commons for the Lib Dems/ Labour Government. The Lib Dems had a chance for stability but they have become a one issue Party, they want PR and the Labour will support this move, thus England will have real cuts while the rest of the UK will get away with no cuts. This if the above happens could see the end of Labour in England.
Monday, May 10, 2010
Prediction of Next UK Government
With the resignation of PM Gordon Brown as Labour Leader and the stalled talks between the Conservative Party and the Lib Dems we can now see a future Lib Dems / Labour Pact. The problem with the Lib Dems as was shown in Wales after the recent Assembly Elections is the fact that it is full of people who prefer opposition and don’t want real power. Thus this my prediction, the left wing of the Lib Dems will force the leadership to go with Labour, thus even with the MP’s from the Labour and Lib Dems you don’t have a Commons Majority, this will force the new Government to seek the support of the National Parties from Northern Ireland, Scotland, and Wales, these Parties will not want public spending cuts in their backyard, thus the cuts will be in England. Lets look at the political consequences for the Labour Party, they could lose many more English Seats and after the next election, and folks there will be a next election as the Conservative Party in opposition will make every vote count in the Commons for the Lib Dems/ Labour Government. The Lib Dems had a chance for stability but they have become a one issue Party, they want PR and the Labour will support this move, thus England will have real cuts while the rest of the UK will get away with no cuts. This if the above happens could see the end of Labour in England.
Gordon Brown Resigns ?
BBC News: Reports on the resignation of PM Gordon Brown as Labour Leader. This is a neat trick by Labour, they get Brown out and then replace him with a new leader. The one problem with this move is that a new Labour Leader in a Labour/Lib Dem Pact would become PM without the consent of the voters. If the Lib Dems go down this road they will go in to political oblivion. This does recall the Lib/Lab Pact of the 1970s, that was a disaster for Labour and Lib Dems, lets hope this is not history repeating itself, David Cameron might be of the mind to let the Lib Dems go use his 306 seats in the new House of Commons to make every vote a vote of confidence for the Government. It would be ironic if New Labour helped destroy the Labour Party at the end.
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