Thursday, November 22, 2012

Iran and Gaza


Lets Get Real:

Thus folks this why Israel will not let go of the Gaza blockade, should Israel have to strike Iran it does not need the worry that that Gaza will turn violent again with either rockets or technology supplied from Iran, thus Israel will expect that Egypt will enforce a military blockade of Gaza, if Egypt fails expect the WAR to start again soon, this is just a temporary true that suits all sides for the MOMENT.   Iran is playing a deadly game folks, it needs Gaza and Syria up in flames, this diverts Israel while Iran gets the bomb, the Israeli Cabinet has to make sure it does not get suckered in to a war on two fronts, with Gaza and Syria, one could see Iran forcing Syria to give some of its chemical weapons to Hamas, then they hit Israel, thus forcing Israel to act, thus more time for Tehran to get the bomb and have endless pointless talks with the Oval.   That is the game of the Middle East folks. 

Israel and the Gaza Blockade

Telegraph: Reports the following on the ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas, " ..talks will begin to address Hamas's demand that Israel's blockade of Gaza be lifted. ".

Lets Get Real:

This is will NOT happen folks, the Israeli Cabinet with a WAR with Iran on the horizon can not afford for Tehran to re- supply its ally Hamas with longer missiles, the Israeli Intelligence service Mossad will be looking for Egypt to enforce a strict military blockade of Gaza.   The US and the West has made a long term mistake with Hamas, its is undercutting the Palestinian Authority in the West Bank.  Hamas is a terrorist group that has close links to Iran, its ONE objective is to destroy Israel, this is not Northern Ireland folks, you can not deal with these people, they seen any weakness by the West as a victory for their terror tactics, they will push again and Israel will have to take action, that is the nature of the Middle East folks, weakness get you killed, go ask Gaddafi what happens when you are seen as weak and loser, a bayonet in not a nice place.   The West and even Israel might regret not taking out Hamas in the long term, but Iran has to be the main target at the moment. 

Gaza Ceasefire - Middle East

BBC News: Reports that the ceasefire between Israel and Hamas is holding so far after the ceasefire agreement. 

Lets Get Real:

This is temporary deal folks, Hamas have taking a beating, their leaders wanted a deal as not to get killed by Israeli strikes, while Israel got what it wanted, no more rocket attacks from Gaza for a time, the operating world is TIME folks.   This deal with breakdown in a few weeks or months, the question from a strategic point is can Israel use that time to get ready for a strike on its major enemy Iran.   This deal is a blow for Iran, it had a hopped that a Israeli ground war in Gaza would lessen the chance of an Israeli strike on Tehran, thus expect Tehran to rearm Hamas with longer missiles that can hit further in to Israel, this will move will be a try to counter any Israeli strike on Iran.   The game is not over folks, it never ends. 

Obama and the Gaza Ceasefire - Middle East

The White House: Here are the readouts of the telephone chats between POTUS and PM Netanyahu of Israel and President Morsi of Egypt.  To Israeli PM the Oval stated the following, " President Obama spoke to Prime Minister Netanyahu today and reiterated his commitment to Israel’s security.
The President said that he was committed to seeking additional funding for Iron Dome and other US-Israel missile defense programs. ".  Thus POTUS placed pressure on Israel to take the ceasefire, in this case it was the right move, the Israeli people do not support getting sucked in to ground war in Gaza, it would be bloody and the World Community would not support such an over reaction from their point of view, its Iran that Israel has to worry about.   That is the next major crisis folks. 


President Obama reaffirmed the close partnership between the United States and Egypt, and welcomed President Morsi's commitment to regional security.  ".  Lets recall POTUS of late would not call Egypt an ally, this is a test for the new Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt, can they keep Hamas under control, prevent the ceasefire breaking down in a few months and the US and Israel pointing the finger at Egypt.   This blog is not holding its breath folks, this will not last, they never do in the Middle East.