Telegraph Poll of Polls - UK 2010 Election

A look at the present State of the UK parties in the UK polls, lets recall 1992 folks, the Labour Party was expected to win and the lost. Simple fact folks the UK voter does not tell the whole truth when asked who they are going to vote for, this blogger does not see the Labour Party on 30%, more between 27% - 29% and the Conservatives on between 38% - 41% and the LibDems on 17% - 19%. The Debates could be important lets see, the chance to close the deal as our American friends would say in their elections.

Veto Power - Karzai of Afghanistan

Fox News: Reports on a UK Sunday Times Story that the President Karzai of Afghanistan could veto the latest NATO attack on Taliban/Al Qaeda in the Kandahar province due to pressure from local leaders. As stated many times in this blog the War in Afghanistan; Obama's War; could be the issue that brings down President Obama in 2012, Karzai is the modern version of Diem of South Vietnam, does Obama have the nerve to replace him, in essence making Afghanistan a colony of the United States. In this case Obama cant use the race card or do rhetoric tour of Afghanistan, the Secret Service would say a big NO, they have the legal authority to veto any such idea. Thus the Obama White House is stuck with a War that was loved by liberals as a way to attack Bush 43, its different when it becomes your War. Also the Obama White House has seen an increase in the violence in Iraq after the recent election, there are calls for the Obama White House to delay its removal of US troops from Iraq. The problem for Obama is that he has not shown that he copes well when countries such as Iran or North Korea tell him to get lost, in fact he seems to grovel to these evil regimes, a lot like Neville Chamberlain did to Adolf Hitler before World War Two. It seems that the US voter has elected a Chamberlain not a Churchill.

What is Obama's Nuclear Policy ?

CBS News: Interesting comment by the US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton that should the US be attacked by weapons of mass destruction, in this case biological weapon and that it can be traced to a country, the " then all bets are off ". Lets take a case example, the US is attacked by a chemical or biological weapon, there are hundred of thousands of deaths, the Congress will not tolerate some mild conventional attack because Obama does not have the guts to take total action, that is the point of nuclear weapons, takes an arrogant fool to take the threat off the table. Thus the US Congress in such a case would force Obama to take action under threat of Impeachment if hundred of thousands even millions of Americans had died, also this message by the Secretary of State is a warning to her own President, the Clintons never forgive, they still haven't forgiven Obama for using the race card in 2008 against Bill Clinton, thus is this a warning to Obama that if he is weak then Secretary Clinton could resign in 2011 and run against him in 2012, lets recall the Polls folks, also Secretary Clinton is no Edward Kennedy of 1980, when Kennedy ran against Jimmy Carter and lost, if Clinton goes after Obama she will do it because she can win. Thus if your in the Oval its not just Iran or North Korea you have to worry about its your own Secretary of State.

Obama's Polls and the 2010/12 Elections

Let see President Obama has passed the biggest change in the domestic agenda of the US since the Great Society with his health care reform, and of late he has signed a new START Treaty with Russia and his polls are going South in a big way. All three major polls has Obama on the wrong side of approval. I will use the following key for these polls, A ( Approval ) D ( Disapproval ), in the Gallup Poll we have Obama on 47%A - 48%D. This comes down to one issue folks, Obama has pushed health care reform down the throat of the US voter, he has started to believe his own press statements. Then we come to the Rasmussen Poll, this has Obama on 47%A - 53%D, this blog has a lot of trust in the Rasmussen Poll as it had the 2008 election on the nose as we say in the horse racing. Also the Rasmussen Poll is over likely voters, those that will acutely vote, in the Gallup Poll its Average voters, these tend to be younger voters who support Obama but when it comes out to voting would rather surf the net and that actually go out and vote in the rain. Then we come to the Fox News Poll, liberals hate Fox news but Fox News this blog has found is very fair and balanced when it comes to its hard news, thus Fox News found the following, Obama 43%A - 48%D. The Fox Poll is based on those voters that are registered to a Party. Thus if your Oval you start to worry, all ways of doing Polls has found that the President in the mid 40%, if Obama cant turn this around by late November the Republicans will take the House and a good shot at the Senate, its to far away in objective politics to say that Obama is finished in 2012, but if your Democrat you start to worry, do you need as in 1980 someone to run against Obama in the Democratic race, if Reagan can take on President Ford in 1976 then Obama will face that risk should his polls still be going South in 2012.