Is the Sunday deadline by the European Parliament a sign of a breakthrough - Brexit Update 4 - Transitional Phase

Guardian: Reports " Michel Barnier has raised hopes of a weekend Brexit deal after persuading the European parliament to stretch its deadline to last thing on Sunday – even as UK ministers put the chance of an agreement at less than 50%. "

Lets Get Real:

It will be interesting to see who plays the PR expectation game better, the UK or the EU.  One can postulate that the sides are close to a DEAL, but the main problem is fishing, its represents a symbol of Brexit for most people, any sell out will be seen as a betrayal by the UK Government to the EU.  Thus the UK side should be demanding at least 60% of fish caught in UK waters should be taken by UK ships registered in the UK or mainly owned by UK interests.  The deal should not crash because of fish but on the other hand, the PM needs to show a big win there.   Let's see who is the best poker player.  The UK as a Sovereign Nation after 31st December needs to control its waters, border and make it own laws.

A Sunday DEADLINE by the European Parliament - Brexit Update 3 - Transitional Phase

Daily Mail: Reports on the latest opinion from the European Parliament, " they are ready to hold an extraordinary session at the end of December if an agreement is reached by midnight on Sunday December 21. "

Lets Get Real:

The European Parliament will be lucky if this deadline is held by the joint delegations, last Sunday's deadline did not happen and the latest news seems gloomy from the UK side.  One does wonder what the delegations are talking about, how many times can you look at the subject before you hate the policy and the other delegation.   These talks have lasted longer than some of my affairs, and they actually liked me.  It seems that the European Parliament is showing its teeth, pity they are rotten and no one cares.  If the delegations reach an agreement by 5pm on the December 31st then UK Parliament and the European Parliament will be expected to pass ANY DEAL.  Sad when we finally leave the EU on the 31st December we can not celebrate as all the pubs will be CLOSED.  It says a lot about our relationship with the EU over the decades.

A Brexit Deal by Friday ? - Brexit Update 2 - Transitional Phase

Sky News: Reports " Two EU diplomats have told Reuters that they did not expect a deal to come together by Friday.  "

Lets Get Real:

The EU and the UK are playing the expectations game, the EU looks at the rainbow and sees gold, while the UK sees thunder and awaits for the storm.  That is why the UK and the EU was never a good fit at the best of times, and this is not the best of times.  The truth is somewhere in the MIDDDLE, this blog expects a DEAL by the weekend, well at least before the European Parliament deadline of Sunday, this would give the Parliament a chance to read the summary if not the whole DEAL, it is believed to be over a thousand pages!

What are the CHANCES of a Brexit Deal ? - Brexit Update 1 - Transitional Phase

BBC News: Reports " Brexit trade talks: Less than 50% chance of deal, says Michael Gove "

Lets Get Real:

The House of Commons has been sent home, with the warning that they could be recalled if there is a Brexit Deal within the next few days, now this warning by Michael Gove, that a chance of a Brexit Deal is about less than 50%.  The PM and the Conservative Government is playing HARDBALL with the EU, the deal is close, but the Government must not sell out UK fisherman over UK waters or that the EU can direct UK law through the backdoor.   One the whole this blog predicts a DEAL, but one that might be contested by the ERG, if they go through it in detail, thus the need for a quick approval by the House of Commons and the House of Lords.   The PM is facing the EU but looking over his shoulder at his own Party, tricky politics.