Iran, Russsia and Israel

Fox News: Reports that Advisers to the Obama Administration will warn that Iran could have a nuclear bomb within the year, and could produce another 49. Also reaction by Israel could come faster due to new military equipment bought from Russia that could negate a Israeli Air strike. The Obama Administration has to do something about Iran and this year, talk or hit, the way Iran is developing it could over shadow, Iraq and Afghanistan. If Israel sees that the USA will do nothing it will hit Iran, if it sees that Iran will get better protection from Russia military equipment it will hit Iran. Israel has not been shy in the past, Iraq in 81 and of late Syria. Thus Obama needs to pull a rabbit out of the hat or Iran could define his Presidency in a negative manner, and cost him the Presidency in 2012.

Liberals vs Bush 43

The New York Times: Reports on pressure for an Investigation of the Bush Administration when it comes to its terrorism policies. The Republicans should push for an investigation, it could be a major landmine under the Democrats, let them show themselves to be more interested in the protection of terrorists than the protection of the American voter. The last thing the Obama Administration wants is bonkers Democrats having Congressional investigations and there being a terrorists attack on the United States. The Democrats would be finished in the Mid Term Elections of 2010 and Obama could lose in 2o12.

Iran " No " to Obama

BBC News: Reports that the olive branch from the USA to Iran has been rejected by Iran. This is as expected, it depends what happens behind closed doors, lets hope the Obama Administration is in secret talks with Iran over its nuclear armed plans. As Iran is close to becoming a nuclear power the Obama Administration cant just wait for that 3am call to be informed that Iran hast joined the nuclear club. They day Iran goes Nuclear the clock starts as to when Israel will hit Iran.

USA, Russia and Iran

CNN News: Reports that President Obama is back tracking on the idea that he has offered a deal to Russia, if they help with Iran and their nuclear plans, the USA will not place missile defence in Eastern Europe. The problem is that even if Russia wanted to help they cant when it comes to Iran, Iran has seen how much attention Pakistan gets, the reason is that Pakistan is a nuclear power. Iran wants to become a nuclear armed power, Russia cant help with Iran, it having kittens because of Ronald Reagan and SDI. Also it sees Eastern Europe as her backyard, they have not gotten over the end of the USSR. Obama will just have to accept the fact that if he wants a policy of containment for Iran he will need to annoy Russia and place missile defence in Eastern Europe.

North Korea vs Japan

The Times: Reports that Japan will shoot down any missile that is launched from North Korea that is seen as a threat to Japan. The Japanese will use the Son of Star Wars, in other words Reagan's SDI project but a scale down version. Thus we have Iran in one corner and North Korea in the other corner, really depends which gets to annoy first and is seen as a threat, would not like to be President Obama in either case, all the options are bad, and in some respects your dealing with leaders will not all the bricks in the Wall. Ah for the good days of the Cold War.

Another Failed State = Pakistan

The Times: Reports on how the terrorists attack on the Sri Lankan cricket team has its origins in the internal politics of Pakistan, her relationship with India and the appeasement of the Taliban/Terrorists in the Swat Valley. If Pakistan fails the West has a major problem on its hands, Pakistan is a nuclear armed power, the West can not afford for the Terrorists to get hold of these nuclear weapons, thus the West has to think outside the box, does the West send in troops in to Pakistan. Its not the solution any one wants but it might be the only answer. The USA and the UK might have to sent troops in to the badlands of the border between Afghanistan and Pakistan, clean out the terrorists that have created bases in this region. Also take out the terrorists in the Swat Valley, through Air Power and covert action, as a last resort, the use of ground troops. Its that bad folks. Read of the Day.

The Slow Obama Agenda

CQ Politics: Reports how the Obama Agenda is giving heart burn to Conservative Democrats in the House of Representatives, how many facing the Mid Term Elections in 2010 might oppose the Obama Agenda. Lets recall that the Presidential Race was two years in the making, also the Democrats own D.C. They have the votes in the House and Senate, thus Democrats in Conservative States have to think about their own political futures, not that of the Obama Administration. If the Obama poll ratings go down due to the present recession/depression these Conservative Democrats will be the first to face the music of the voters, thus expect Obama having to get votes from his own side first before getting Republicans.

Meeting of Minds ?

BBC News: Reports on the meeting between UK PM Gordon Brown and the US President Obama, it went well. It would not matter if they could not stand each other, the US and the UK are tied to the hip when it comes to the International System. The close relationships between FDR and Winston Churchill, Ronald Reagan and Lady Thatcher had at its core a shared mutual interest, in World War Two it was winning against Germany and Japan, in the 80s it was standing up to the Soviet Union at the time of the Cold War. Today the USA and the UK are in Afghanistan, the UK is still in Iraq with the USA. Thus mutual interest is at the core of the Special Relationship. Also we cant stand France. The new Obama Administration cant get to close to Gordon Brown he might lose the General Election in the UK in 2010.