Wednesday, November 14, 2018

The House of Commons and the Brexit Deal - Brexit Update 3 - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

The pressure on the Conservative Chief Whip just increased, it is his job to count the votes, he needs to be honest with the PM and the Cabinet.  IF the votes are not there, then the PM has to go to Plan B, the question is what is plan b.   The PM should be ready to go for a no deal Brexit, this would get the hard Brexit supports back in line, she would have to dare the hard remainers to bring the Conservative Government down.   It will be interesting to see the House of Commons tomorrow, how many MPs support the PM from within the Conservative Party and will any Labour MPs support the Brexit deal.  Brexit is like a Vampire, it never goes away!

Is the UK PM on weak ground ? - Brexit Update 2 - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

Those in the Cabinet who opposed the UK - EU Deal will be taking soundings from their fellow MPs and Brexit supporters, do they stay and see the deal defeated in the House of Commons or do they jump ship. It can be argued that if the deal is going down it is better to be out of the mess, then come back and say they have the history but also understand what the Conservative Party and Country wants. Politics is a RUTHLESS business, one minute you are out of the office and the next you are out of office. It will be interesting to read what the right wing and left wing papers say about the deal.

UK Cabinet supports UK - EU Deal - Brexit Update - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

Thus the UK Cabinet has support the PM, it has been reported that 10 Ministers opposed the deal, it will be interesting in the hours and days ahead to see if ANY of the Cabinet resign.   The last time PM May got an agreement about Europe it lead to the resignation of her Brexit Secretary and Foreign Secretary within a few days.  The next hurdle in the House of Commons, if the hard Brexit supporters, and the hard remainers with the Opposition oppose the deal it will fail.   Thus the PM has to SELL the deal, that goes for the Cabinet too.   The Hard remainers will face pressure to support the deal if the EU supports the deal, tricky time for them.   Also it can be assumed that some LABOUR MPs will also support the government as they want OUT of the EU.   Is the PM up to the task, so far so good for her.