Friday, October 07, 2016

The Russian BEAR has woken from his long sleep - New Cold War

Lets Get Real:

The Russians are pushing to see how far they can go before the US either reacts or gets a new US President.   Latest deal between Assad's Syria and Russia shows how much influence the US has lost, the US with Obama in the Oval Office is no longer seen as a threat that has to be handled with care, thus if the Russians re-open their bases in Cuba and Vietnam it will show how much of a disaster the Obama Administration has been to World Security.   The next US President, and lets assume its HRC, will have to stand tough when it comes to Putin, this could cause a crisis in itself, a new Administration could no show weakness or its power in World affairs would be over.    Thus watch this space, it could get frosty fast.

The Russian THREAT to the West - New Cold War


Lets Get Real:

The real THREAT to Western security is not the up and downs of the economic markets it the growing threat from Russia.   They have taken over the Crimea, they are in the Eastern Ukraine, they have just done a deal to with the Assad Government to remain in Syria in til the end of time.   The Russians are a present and long term threat, the good old days of pushing Russia around as long gone.   The Russians want the old USSR back or something close to a Greater Russia.    The next US President, and all the trends suggest it will be HRC will have to deal with the failure of her restart with Russia in the first Obama Administration and the growing presence of Russia in the Middle East.    Syria could be a flashpoint for the next Cuban Missile Crisis, what if HRC sets out a no fly zone in Syria and the Russians start to shoot at US airplanes, yes it could get that serious fast.   The clock is ticking and it is closer to Midnight than many people expect.

The Pound and Brexit - May Era


Lets Get Real:

The UK economy is in great shape, the pound it can be argued is expected to go lower, the UK exit from the EU sounds more like a HARD exit, thus the UK will not be in the single market.   In pure market terms it makes sense for a £ sell off, in fact it can be argued that a drop helps with exports.   Thus it would not shock this blogger to find the pound is equal to the Euro by the end of the year or even lower.    Thus in pure speculative terms SELL and you would make money, as the pound will go lower, of courses this blog does not have the money to play those kind of games, the markets go down faster than the knickers of a high class escort.