Friday, December 08, 2017

What happens in March 2019 - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

Thus the next phase is very important, it could be argued that we require a specific deal for the UK after the we leave the EU, in some sectors we shall need to follow closely the rules of the EU as to allow for free movement of products.   On the other hand we must be free to make a new deals and create more jobs after the UK  leaves the EU.   The cost of the divorce should be between 20 - 30 billion pounds, why should the UK pay for new EU policy decisions.   The firm Brexit supporters need to keep No 10 on its toes, they should make sure that the DUP remains firm with the PM May.  Thus a interesting year ahead.

Brexit and Phase 2 - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

On the whole the Brexit members of the Cabinet have come out in support of the PM, but let us not forget that the real hard part of talks start now, well in the New Year.   In the phase 2 the final part the UK  has to discuss the final divorce bill, how long the European Court Justice has power over UK courts and its citizens, and of course the final trade treaty with the EU.  Any trade deal should keep us close the EU but allow us to make other trade deals, this policy could cause a major flare up.   Thus expect more heated discussion between pro anti EU Conservative MPs, even Labour is split on the EU.    This is just the start of the end, but there are still major fights ahead. 

Brexit - Phase 1 of the Divorce Agreement - Brexit Deal

BBC News: Reports " PM Theresa May has struck a last-minute deal with the EU in a bid to move Brexit talks on to the next phase.  "

Lets Get Real:

Thus phase 1 of the Brexit Deal has been achieved by the PM, the tone from Brexit supporters in the Cabinet is good, the monies to be given to the EU is down on published reports, the article states it is between 35 - 40 billion pounds, down from a 100 billion, and there is no border between Northern Ireland and Ireland.   The rights of UK Citizens and EU is protected.   If there is no deal after the year of talks for the Brexit date then the UK will follow the EU closely, but that is down for discussion in phase 2. 

Thus in phase 2 we come to trade talks and the final divorce bill and how long the UK follows the European Courts while the UK is in transition.   If there is no deal then the UK will follow the EU closely.   The Shadow Brexit Secretary was very clear, it is in phase 2 that we get the final agreements on the above, thus the importance of getting to phase 2.   It will be interesting to see the tone of the left and right as the day unfolds.