The Swing States - US Election

Lets have a look at the two most important Swing States in the 2012 race folks, these are Florida and Ohio.  

Lets have a look at the RCP poll averages for these States.

Ohio: 

In the RCP average of State Polls we have the following, President Obama leads Governor Romney by 48.5% to 47.8, a 0.7% lead.

Sidebar: POTUS has taken so many visits to Ohio he should buy a house there, he or the VP are there that often.   As Ohio is part of the old industrial states there are Unions on the ground that will help POTUS in November. 

Florida:

In the RCP average of the State Polls we have the following, Governor Romney leads President Obama by 48.0%  to 47.3%, a 0.7% lead. 

Sidebar: The Obama team can afford to lose Florida, as long as they pick up Ohio they WIN.   They have much more of an easier path to a 2nd term.    The Jewish vote in Florida because of the tensions between POTUS and Israel might swing the State to Romney.   Also there is the Cuban vote that on the whole does not trust Democrats when it comes to Cuba.   Thus lets give Florida to Romney but Ohio to Obama, thus a 2nd Obama term. 

Romney vs. Obama - Gallup

Gallup ( LV ):  Reports on its daily tracking poll of likely voters, in today's poll Governor Romney leads President Obama by 49% to 47%. A 2% lead.

Lets Get Real:

The kind readers of this blog might be asking as this is Republican/Conservative Blog why it still thinks that President Obama is going to win, three reasons folks, in the next debate POTUS is going to come out fighting, nothing like a cornered Chicago Pol, thus expect a Reagan type comeback in 2nd debate.   The Democrats have collected multi millions in donations, also they have their ground game going, also with the help of the Unions in the Industrial States.    The Romney team has giving it a good fight, it will be close, but it will be 2nd term for POTUS but with a Republican House and Senate.   A good debate and a few good polls do not do a victory folks.