Other Crisis Part 2 - US and the Iran Nuclear Deal - Biden Era

CNN - Politics: Reports " Biden administration believes it has until end of month to salvage Iran nuclear deal "

Lets Get Real:

The BIDEN OVAL has to decide if it is going to appease Iran or STAND UP to Iran, the frosty relationship with Russia does not help, and one does wonder if Tehran is looking at the Russian and Ukraine CRISIS and wonder if they should go for their own nuke.  As stated in this blog before, in the 1990s Ukraine gave up its nukes, they were a holdover of the fall of the USSR.  One assumes NOW that Kiev regrets give up its nukes, the Russians would never think of invading if Kiev had nukes.   Thus Tehran it can be argued is leading the Biden Administration on, it wants to see if Biden is a Neville Chamberlain or Churchill.  If the Russians invade the Ukraine, will he WEST really have heavy sanctions, or will they be weak because of France and Germany.  Thus the result of the Iran talks will depend on the result of the Ukraine crisis.  This blog postulates that Biden will appease Iran, it has already lifted some of the US SANCTIONS, POTUS does not have the backbone to take them on, also it can be argued that the US is really looking to appease RUSSIA without getting any heat from Kiev and the rest of the World and more important  American voters.

UK Foreign Secretary off to Moscow - Ukraine Crisis

Sky News: Reports " Ukraine: Truss heads to Moscow for first talks in four years as ambassador says Russia 'behaving like racketeer'...Liz Truss will stress to Russian foreign minister Sergey Lavrov that diplomacy is the only solution to the Ukraine crisis. Her visit comes a day before Boris Johnson flies to Poland to visit British troops and meet the country's leader.  "

Lets Get Real:

All this Shuttle Diplomacy by the UK and Europe could WORK for Putin, if he plans to invade the whole of the Ukraine he has to wait for the ground to firm up on the Russian and Ukraine border, and also the ending of the WINTER OLYMPICS in China, Putin wants China as a friend and thus will not want to upset them by having the news changed from there to the Ukraine border.  Also he might be thinking that he might get some of the concessions he wants from Europe if he applies enough pressure, or better to cause division in NATO and the EU.  In this case this would be FRANCE and GERMANY.  In the case of France, Macron faces re-election in a few months time and he also wants to be seen as the leader of Europe.  On the German side they get a big part of their gas from Russia, and thus want to see the gas pipeline between Germany and Russia go ahead.  What is in the mind of Putin, your guess is a good a mine.