Containment and Iran

The New York Times: Reports that President Obama in an interview has stated that the US will not follow a containment policy when it comes to Iran. The question folks for Israel is will Obama follow through on any pledge to Israel, could the man who won the Noble Prize for doing nothing really sanction the a first strike on Iran by the US. This blog has its doubts, it can be argued that Obama is trying to hold off Israel before the US election and then try to force a deal on them that allows for a nuclear armed Iran. That is more likely than the idea that Obama would start another War in the Middle East. Lets recall his action in Libya didn’t go down well with the US left, and lets get political here folks, POTUS can not afford for the left to stay home on election day, thus if Israel as stated many times in this blog, it is the time to strike Tehran, remove the threat, POTUS will have to support you, he does not have a great poker hand.

Obama and Israel

Guardian: Reports on the forthcoming visit to the Oval Office by the Israeli PM Binyamin Netanyahu, it is expected by Israel that the US will give a “ ..clear US commitment to military action if diplomacy and sanctions fail. ” with Iran. Folks Israel has to ask does it trust the Oval Office, will Obama in a 2nd term go for broke, sell out Israel to help create a Palestinian State, at the expense of Israel and also allow Iran to get the bomb, it will be then to late for Israel to take action. Lets look at the Obama record when it comes to US allies, he has sold out Poland, Czech Republic, allowed a close ally Hosni Mubarak to be overthrown, he had to be shamed by the UK and France to overthrow Colonel Gaddafi, he failed to support the reformers in the 2009 Iran election, he has undermined the Pakistan Government for going for a splashy end for Bin Laden rather than a covet hit job, he has walked out of Iraq when that Government wanted him to stay and he wants out of Afghanistan, so the question folks, would you trust Obama if your Israel.

Spain and the EU

Telegraph Live - Euro: Just as 25 EU Countries sign a Fiscal Pact, it is reported that Spain will miss the EU deficit target. As Spain hit’s the skids folks, to be followed by other EU Countries, Italy ect, expect this fiscal compact to be dropped, the French left is expected to win the French Presidential Election, the left in France has stated that it wants changes in the new EU Treaty, also the latest from the left, it wants a 75% tax bracket, if that does not send the French economy down the toilet then nothing will, the French left and other liberal left Parties in the EU don’t want to see the real world, they just want to spend, and expect the wealth to pay, the problem is folks it is never the wealthy that pay, but the middle class and poor, that is why the right always comes back, the left destroy while the right create and build.

Obama vs. Israel and Iran

BBC News: Reports that President Obama has stated that Iran can never have the bomb but taking pre-emptive action would be wrong. In other words folks the Oval wants it both ways, it can not afford for Iran to get the bomb, the Israeli Lobby would accuse Obama of selling out Israel, as he sold out Poland and the Czech Republic over missile defence, the Oval wants a VETO over Israeli military action in Iran, Obama needs to keep the liberal left in the US on side before the November election, he can not afford for them to stay at home and not vote. The problem that the Oval has is the fact that Israel does not care if its flushes Obama down the toilet when it comes to its security, it can be argued that Israel might strike at the end of October and shame Obama in to supporting Israel, he would have no political choice either support Israel or become another Carter, a one term Democratic President. Its high level poker folks, and Obama might think he has all the cards, but sometimes the TRUTH and PR are different, does POTUS know the difference, one suspects not in this case.