Thursday, July 16, 2009

Conservative Democrats and Obama's Health Reform

CNN News: Reports that Conservative Democrats in the House could block the Obama's Health Reform. The simple reason is that these House Representatives come from Conservative districts, a major concern for more conservatives areas of the USA is the money that Obama is spending, the health reform package has been estimate to cost over a trillion dollars, yes TRILLION. The failure of the Hillary Clinton health care reform in the 1990s cost the Democrats the House of Representatives, thus Obama is looking at 2012 and his re-election, he needs a major policy success, the economic plan that Obama pushed through Congress does not seem to be working, thus any new big ideas are looked at with suspicion. If the Republicans can keep together and the Blue Dog Democrats bolt the Obama plan will fail. Looking at the morale side it can be argued that the USA needs a health reform bill, it is not morale that people cannot get health care, the problem is the cost, as with the NHS in the UK, it gulps money, and thus any plan in the USA is going to cost. Taxing the rich during a recession/depression is not a good idea, thus Obama might find that he has to cut programmes that Democrats normally support. Obama cannot cut Defence, the War in Afghanistan is hotting up, and the USA is still in Iraq. In addition, Obama faces the problem of North Korea and Iraq. Thus Obama might find that his promise not to tax those that earn less that two hundred fifty thousand will have to be thrown out of the window. Thus one way or another Obama will lose the 2012 election, he will fail to pass health care reform, thus seen as a domestic failure or he will break his word on tax and be seen as another Bush 41.

Hundreds Killed in Iran

Guardian: Reports that hundreds of people in Iran could have killed after the stolen election protests. On the whole this is not a great surprise, the Government of Iran had to act brutally to stay in Office. It would explain why the Demonstrations have had less people in attendance. The Government of Iran is following the model of Nazi Germany and the USSR under Stalin. The Government in Tehran has to repress the people, they have crossed a bridge that they cant come back from, they have killed innocent people. This is the start of the process that will lead to a bloody revolution in Iran, those that are repressing the people will be the first against the wall when the revolution comes to Iran.

H1N1 ( Swine Flue )

The Times: Reports that the wife of the former UK PM Tony Blair, Cherie Blair has come down with H1N1, the swine flue. Lets hope she gets well soon, but it shows that any body can get H1N1. Also it should be noted that the Spanish Flue of 1918 was more severe in the second round. Thus the UK should expect more people to go down with H1N1, also one should expect the death toll to go up, it is reported that it has reached 29. If the H1N1 turns in to the version of the 1918 flue it can be argued that we have been let down by the UK Government. At the start of the H1N1 problem in Mexico we should have closed down the UK, yes the economy would have been hurt, the civil rights groups would have gone up the wall, but we might have prevent the disease coming in the UK. Thus if we have lost 29 individuals due to the H1N1 there should be a public inquiry in the action of the UK Government under PM Gordon Brown.