Obama on Iran

Courtesy of the White House: President Obama

White House Blog: Statement by President Obama on Iran. The President stated the following, " The Iranian government must understand that the world is watching. We mourn each and every innocent life that is lost. We call on the Iranian government to stop all violent and unjust actions against its own people. The universal rights to assembly and free speech must be respected, and the United States stands with all who seek to exercise those rights....The Iranian people will ultimately judge the actions of their own government. If the Iranian government seeks the respect of the international community, it must respect the dignity of its own people and govern through consent, not coercion....Martin Luther King once said - "The arc of the moral universe is long, but it bends toward justice." I believe that. The international community believes that. And right now, we are bearing witness to the Iranian peoples’ belief in that truth, and we will continue to bear witness. " It seems President Obama does not want to be on the wrong side of history, even as expected the religious elite keep control in Iran, the Obama idea of talking to Iran is out of the window. The images from Iran used in a thirty second political commercial would make it very difficult for Obama to talk to the present regime, he would face mauling from the right and Blue Dog Congressional Democrats would disown him, they are up for election next year. Those Conservative Democrats in the House will not allow Obama to define them as appeasers. Thus in many respects the protesters in Iran have defined their government but also gutted the Obama policy of talking to Iran with the present regime in charge.

The Government of Iran vs The People - Who Wins ?

The New York Times: Has an Opinion - Editorial article by Thomas L. Friedman on Iran, Mr Friedman looks back on the 1979 revolution and the events today in Tehran, Mr Friedman writes on what is faced by those on the streets, " But we and the reformers must have no illusions about the bullets and barrels they are up against. " As we have seen the Government of Iran has no morality about shooting its own people, the Government in the past has bought the people off due to its Oil revenue but the present Government has caused massive damage to the economy, thus it could be that the religious elite don't have the money to buy off the protesters, the credit crunch just might have a silver lining after all. The religious elite know that if they bow to the pressure of the protesters its over for them, also the numbers are against them in the long term. Lets be honest I have been critical of the youth of Iran in the past, I was tired of hearing that a majority of the population was under 30, well I stated it was about time for them to get off the dime and did something. They have over a stolen election, the question is do the morale courage to keep the streets even when faced with bullets from the Government, that is the test folks. Lets hope they have a brave heart to face the battle head.

UK PM Brown out in the New Year ?

The Daily Mail: Reports that UK PM Gordon Brown could resign in the New Year. I don't think this will happen, he waited ten years to become PM, he ousted Tony Blair and for him to leave before an election would show great political courage, he thinks the Labour Party has affection for Lord Mandelson, any one under that illusion thinks he can win an election. Thus at a guess it can be argued that Gordon Brown will lead New Labour to the biggest defeat in its history.

Ready for Death - Mir Hossein Mousavi

The Sunday Times: Reports that the Opposition Leader in Iran, Mir Hossein Mousavi is ready for death in his fight over the Presidential Election. Lets be honest here, this can only end two ways for Mr Mousavi, he wins and becomes President of a new Iran or he is a dead man walking. The religious elite will show him no mercy if they win, that goes for the people too, this is Judgement Day Part two in Iran. The next couple of hours and days will show if the people of Iran can follow through, as in 1940 when the UK was alone against Hitler, we either stood up or Hitler would take us over, that is the situation in Iran, but the enemy of the people is the Government of Iran. The question is can Mr Mousavi be their Winston Churchill, or will the good people of Iran faces the darkness of a totalitarian state.

Why the Protests in Iran

The New York Times: An article praising the Obama policy on Iran and rebuking Bush 43, the usual Liberal nonsense from the NYT but while doing this does get to the heart of the protests in Iran, the NYT writes the following based on the views of Iranians talking to pollsters, " it was about Iran and its own problems, notably a highly disputable vote count and the performance of its president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. " Thus it can be argued that this powder keg was set to explode if either Obama or McCain had won in 2008. The point the Liberal NYT misses is the simple fact that if the religious elite keep power after a bloodbath in Tehran the Obama policy is history. There are Congressional Elections in 2010, you can see adverts of Obama if he still tries to talk to Iran being compared to Jimmy Carter or worse Neville Chamberlain, it will argue that Obama will sell out Israel, that his own arrogance could be a problem, Obama sometimes gives the impression that he still thinks he is back at Harvard in a Law Seminar, International Politics is not about finer aspects of the Law, his mistake over Gitmo shows that, its about power and winning for your side, on the word stage and at home. Thus Reagan called the USSR an Evil Empire, the Liberals in the USA went bonkers, they could see beyond their own narrow political ideology, Obama is stuck in that, if he thinks he can talk to Iran after the Government has killed its own people he will lose Congress in 2010 and the Presidency in 2012.

13 Killed by the State - Iran

BBC News: Reports that thirteen people lost their life's yesterday in the Demonstrations in Iran. Other news wires have ten killed and a hundred injured. Also some Twitter reports from Iran state that those taken to Hospital are being arrested, there are confusing reports of those injured yesterday going to Foreign Embassies for help, but also reports of those Embassies being blocked by the forces of the State. This page is about brutal honesty, even with the Demonstrations it can be postulated that the forces of the State have the upper hand, they shoot people, in less the Demonstrators can turn some of the security forces it is going to be a bloodbath in Tehran. In pure political terms this helps Obama and Israel, Obama might have wanted to talk to Iran over its nuclear ambitions but if there is a bloodbath in Iran that is out of the window, Israel can argue that you are not dealing with an Islamic State but a totalitarian state in the mold of Nazi Germany. President Obama had set a deadline for the end of the year for Iran to meet him half way, does not matter now, Obama can not afford to be seen as another Jimmy Carter or worse Neville Chamberlain, he can not appease the religious elite in Iran, thus expect after a bloodbath in Tehran and once the religious elite secure their positions for a while, for Israel to hit the nuclear bases of Iran, harsh but the most likely end of this mess.