Obama vs. Republicans - Syrian Crisis

The Hill: Reports that Republican Senators have been critical of the Obama policy in Syria, they want the President Obama to arm the rebels " or take other unilateral measures to stop the bloodshed and replace Assad. ".

Lets Get Real:

The Syrian Crisis if it goes on for months, with constant deaths on the nightly news could be a problem for President Obama, the Republicans want to define Obama as weak, his restart button with Russia has been a disaster, he sold out Poland and the Czech Republic for nothing, the Russian bear sees Obama as weak, a leader who thinks his rhetoric is reality, in other words a push over, the Russians and US voters do not respect high minded weakness, they respect a strong leader, thus in 1980 Reagan was seen as a strong leader, while President Carter was seen as weak after the Iran hostage crisis blew up in addition to the Russian invasion of Afghanistan. The Oval should keep very close eye on Syria, its implications might not just be regional, it might change the President in the US in 2013.

US and Syria

Guardian Live - Syria: Reports the following in its 6.26pm post on Syria, " The White House says it does not support extending the UN observer mission in Syria, criticising Russia and China's vetos..".

Lets Get Real:

The Arab Spring could be a problem for the Oval, it has been seen a slow to respond, the rot started with the elections in Iran when the Tehran Regime shot its own people and Obama in essence did not say a word, the people of Tehran were on the Streets looking for Western help and Obama thought his rhetoric was more important than the people. Then in Egypt the Oval was seen as slow to support those that wanted to get rid of the old Mubarak Regime, in Libya the NATO mission was lead by the the UK and France, while the Oval stated it was leading from behind, great campaign slogan. Thus we come to Syria, how many nights of Syrian deaths will it take the Oval to act, one can postulate that the Oval is waiting for the US election, it might not have that much time, if Assad uses chemical weapons then the Oval will have to act, and from the front this time.

Is Assad about to Flee ? - Syrian Crisis

Telegraph: Reports the following from Syria, " Opposition sources and a Western diplomat stated Mr Assad was in the coastal city of Latakia...".

Lets Get Real:

The move to Latakia from Damascus allows Assad to get out of a battle zone but also allows for a quick getaway from Syria should Damascus falls to the Syrian rebels. Also lets not discount the chance that it would allow Assad to use chemical weapons on the rebels in Damascus, this would be the last throw of the dice, one has doubts that even the Russians would still be able to to support Assad should he use WMD on his own people. If the Centre can or will not hold then the Regime is finished, one can postulate that the rebels will try to take the TV and Radio stations, if they can take these they would have a powerful weapon, but its a long shot folks, the Syrian defence forces are very good, this bloody civil war could last months, or it could end in a flash. The major problem folks as stated in this blog is the fact that the Syrian conflict is a proxy war between the US and its allies on one side, the CIA is supporting the rebels via Turkey, and the Russians and Iran supporting the Assad Regime, if Assad falls then Putin is out of the Middle East, and Tehran losses a close ally, if Assad gets away with the killing of this own people then Obama is seen as weak, Turkey is seen as being weak for not reacting, and the CIA has another failure. Thus folks the powers have a lot to lose, this Syrian Civil War is gong to get bloody before there is any peace.

Syrian Civil War - Syrian Crisis

BBC News: Reports that the UK, US and France have stated that the UN has failed in Syria.

Lets Get Real:

This is rather harsh on the UN folks, the UN was and will always be a talking shop, in the Cold War it didn't do a dam thing, it did not bring the sides together or help with the end of the Cold War. It is the modern version of the League of Nations, good intentions but can not deal with the REAL WORLD. The Russian Bear does not want to lose its warm water Port, the Tehran Regime sees the Assad Regime as its proxy War with the West, its a great diversion from the growing Iran crisis. Thus folks the Assad Regime will stay as long as it is backed by Putin's Russia and China, thus many more people will die, and the UN will look feckless and out of date, the only way for there to be a game changer is if the Assad Regime was to use chemical weapons, the West would have no choice but to take action, even Russia could not prevent NATO action, lets hope the Assad Regime is not that stupid folks.