Sunday, January 22, 2012

Florida Polls - RCP


RCP: Has the average of the polls for the Florida Primary, leading is Governor Romney on 40.5%, way back in 2nd is Speaker Gingrich on 22%, in third is Rick Santorum on 15%. Thus folks since Romney has the money and the ground game in Florida one has to say that it would be hard for him to lose this State to Gingrich, but lets recall Romney had a big lead in South Carolina and this morning UK time he lost by double digits to Gingrich. Thus lets see the effect of the South Carolina result and the debates, the Romney tax issue should be off the table after Tuesday, while one would expect Gingrich to get a bounce out of SC it is not assured, Romney won big in NH but lost big in SC. If Romney does lose Florida and it’s a big IF folks then he has to look at his strategy going forward, he might need a new Campaign team folks, Reagan after losing Iowa in 1980 but before winning NH fired his Campaign Manager and the rest is history folks.

Money and Florida - Republican Race


The Hill: Reports that former House Speaker Newt Gingrich has asked his supporters to donate after his win in South Carolina. The TV Advert market is expensive in Florida. All the polls in Florida show a healthy lead for Governor Romney, but lets see the polls to see the effect of the SC result, there might be no change, Romney won New Hampshire but had a major defeat in SC. Also there are two debates in Florida, so the Speaker can show he is a great at debates, at lest the tax problem is off the table for Romney, of course that’s based on the idea that there is nothing in the tax records. More Polls folks, fantastic.

Romney's Taxes and the Republican Race


CNN News - Politics: Reports that Governor Mitt Romney will release his tax records for 2010 and his estimated tax bill for 2011 on Tuesday. Thus a win for the liberal NYT folks, they asked for this in their editorial, but the win was made sure when it become an issue in the Republican race, in the recent South Carolina debate Newt Gingrich released his tax returns half way through the debate, the Romney arguments up to this point was that he was not going to give political bullets to the Obama re-election committee, well with the loss of SC he has been pushed in to the move by his Campaign Staff. But it should be noted that on strategy that Governor Romney was right, this is a tactical mistake, the Obama Campaign wont use anything they find in till General Election, they will have months to go through the records. The Republican field has to learn it is in a knife fight, the Chicago political mob don’t play fair, they play to win, thus a win for the Democrats folks.

Bond Holders and Greece


Guardian: Reports that Greek bond debt negotiators have left Athens, Greece without an agreement but talks will go by phone. Yes folks the phone, okay it’s the 21st Century and you can talk without being in the same building as a different person, but we are talking here about Greece defaulting on its debt, do you really want a deal based on good telephone line or a good broadband provider. As reported the hedge funds who own a large amount of Greek debt would be better off with a default, they are insured, any legal demand that they accept a 60% to 70% cut can be seen as a default. Lets see if the Troika of the EU/IMF/ECB will take any deal or will they demand a real deal, this could go down to the wire folks. Poor Greece.

The Gingrich COMEBACK - Republican Race


Sunday Telegraph: Reports in his winning Speech in South Carolina former House Speaker Newt Gingrich again called President Obama the greatest Food Stamp President in history. One of the reasons that the good people of South Carolina voted in great numbers for the Speaker is the fact that he will take the fight to President Obama, the elite media see any attack on President Obama as a form of racism, yes folks if you say he is should not give up the day job to sing ( for some reason POTUS sang at a campaign event ) then you’re a racist. The elite main stream media was in the tank for Obama in 2008, thus expect little critical comment of POTUS, if either Gingrich or Romney discovered the cure for cancer the elite media would say it was racist and Obama should get credit even a Nobel ( sorry they already given him that for nothing! ). Thus we Conservatives on the Internet that to keep an eye on POTUS, tell the truth about his failures in the 1st term. The real press folks is not the liberal NYT or the elite TV media, we don’t shiver with pride very time POTUS makes a over long speech.

Gingrich WINS South Carolina - Republican Race


BBC News: Reports that former House Speaker Newt Gingrich has beaten Governor Romney in South Carolina by 40% to 28%. Thus folks we have a long race, next is the even bigger State of Florida, that takes a lot of TV advert buys, thus money and a good ground operation. As Romney has the money and the campaign structure and is leading in the Polls in Florida its important that he WINS Florida. If Speaker Gingrich can use the win in South Carolina to take Florida then we due have a very long race. But as the Speaker was honest today he does not have the money of a Romney, but he does have his Super Pac and it can be postulated that Conservatives will start to give money to Gingrich because he did win BIG in SC. More debates folks, Governor Romney should release his tax returns, get the issue off the table, also he should use the fact that he is wealthy, greed is good as someone once said, thus Romney should argue that since he made himself wealthy he can make the US wealthy again after Obama.