Trump on Gingrich - US Latest

Guardian - US Politics Live: Reports in its 3.19pm post the following  " Presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump told Fox News this morning it was “inappropriate” for former House speaker Newt Gingrich to criticize his racialized attacks on a federal judge in the multi-state fraud suit against Trump University. Trump’s remarks perhaps put a damper on rumors that the one-time Georgia congressman is being vetted as a potential running mate. "

Lets Get Real:

In his remarks the former House Speaker was spot on, one can almost argue that Trump needs him more that Gingrich needs the Trump Campaign.   The former Speaker has two good point, he can be an attack dog and and was a former House Speaker, if the Republicans keep the House it would be good for  President Trump to have Gingrich has his VP, he knows the Halls of power, the Donald is showing why he is not fit to be President.    Someone in the Trump Campaign needs to be take the Donald in hand and tell him some few home truths, being critical of an American born Judge is not the greatest political move, shows all the weakness as stated by HRC. 

Thoughts on the Off Year Elections - 2nd Obama Term

BBC News: Reports on the re-election of Republican Governor Christie in New Jersey and the election of Hillary Clinton ally Terry McAuliffe as Governor of Virginia. 

Lets Get Real:

So what does this tell us about 2016, well the victory of Christie was expected, the BBC call him a moderate Republican, let see if he runs in 2016 what they will call him, one can guess, as for the McAuliffe victory in Virginia it was a lot more narrow than expected, in this the Democrats were helped by the fact that northern Virginia is a suburb of Washington D.C, thus a lot of people need a BIG US GOVERNMENT, thus they vote Democratic, even then it was a VERY narrow win, and the Democrats spent a lot more than the Republicans.     As to 2016 Hillary Clinton is the expected nominee, that was the case in 2008, and she lost,  Mrs Clinton is not Bill, she is not that good on the campaign trail, thus if you were a betting man you would bet she would be a the Democratic Nominee, but you might not bet the house.   As for the Republican side, Christie has a good message, a fiscal conservative, but moderate, this could be the ticket for the Republicans in 2016, if that is the case Governor Christie will need a right wing VP, some that will make the base happy, what about Newt Gingrich for VP on the ticket.   Let the speculation start, its fun. 

Obama's Playing Politics with the Shutdown - 2nd Term Blues

The White House: A Statement that President Obama will no be going to Asia due to the US Government shutdown, " Due to the government shut-down, President Obama’s travel to Indonesia and Brunei has been cancelled. The President made this decision based on the difficulty in moving forward with foreign travel in the face of a shutdown, and his determination to continue pressing his case that Republicans should immediately allow a vote to reopen the government.  Secretary Kerry will lead delegations to both countries in place of the President.

The cancellation of this trip is another consequence of the House Republicans forcing a shutdown of the government.   This completely avoidable shutdown is setting back our ability to create jobs through promotion of U.S. exports and advance U.S. leadership and interests in the largest emerging region in the world.  The President looks forward to continuing his work with our allies and partners in the Asia-Pacific and to returning to the region at a later date. ".

Lets Get Real:

The question that moderate and conservative Democrats in the House and the Senate have to ask would President Obama be loyal to them IF his political future was at stake, he does not have to run again, Democrats face a fight in 2014 and 2016.   This is not like the US Government shutdowns of the 80s and 90s. the elite media does not control the message, the growth of conservative talk radio, Fox News and blogs means that the ONE message of the liberal elite does not control what the rest of the voters see, now the American people see the failure of the ObamaCare websites, it is being taken down over the weekend because it does not work.    Thus the Republicans have to stick together, the should not give an inch on the CR or the debt ceiling, if the Oval wants to go Over the financial cliff so be it, he can join President Hoover as a failed President.   The Oval is listening to itself, a recent job approval poll on Gallup had Obama on 41% job approval, while 52% of Americans Disapprove of the job performance of the President Obama.   Lets recall folks President Clinton had a 52% job approval before and after his shutdown.   Thus folks the Republicans start at the bottom in approval, they have nowhere to go, while Obama can drop further, thus the Republicans should play Chicago hardball, and WIN folks, lets the Oval take the US over the cliff and deal with the results. 

Gingrich OUT - Next Tuesday

The Hill: Reports that former House Speaker Newt Gingrich will leave the Republican Race on Tuesday and support the presumptive Republican Nominee Mitt Romney.

Lets Get Real:

It sad to say folks but Speaker Gingrich has not mattered for weeks, this departure was on the cards for weeks, there was no way Gingrich could win the Republican Nomination, also with the withdrawal of Rick Santorum the nomination was in the hands of Romney. Lets look to the general election campaign folks, Romney needs a VP that will bring the Christian Republicans and the Tea Party movement, but more important he needs a VP that will be a attack dog, someone who will take the fight to the Oval, someone that the main stream media will make public enemy No 1. Also the Republicans have to take in to account the Democratic Strategy of creating an impression that Republicans are at war with women. Thus Governor Romney needs a female VP, but someone that has been vetted and will not cause problems for the Nominee. As stated yesterday the Romney Campaign should think about selecting a VP early, its risky YES, but with risk comes reward, Romney could be in the Oval in 2013.

Good Night for Romney - Three WINS

BBC News: Reports on Governor Mitt Romney winning Maryland, Wisconsin and the District of Colombia in the Republican Nomination fight. Folks this fight is over, as this blog stated last night in its tweets its time for Senator Santorum to start thinking of 2016, if Romney does lose against President Obama and that lost is seen in part due to the long fight with Santorum it will be hard for Santorum to get the nomination in 2016. As Speaker Gingrich does not matter in electoral terms it does not really hurt him either way, in or out, one cant see Gingrich running in 2016. The Republican Party has to come together to support Romney, its going to be a Chicago no hold fights folks, the Chicago political mob play dirty, time for the Republicans to stop firing at each other and start to take on President Obama and his Administration.

The Pivotal State of Wisconsin - Republican Race

The New York Times: Reports on the heated election contest in the State of Wisconsin, and how Governor Romney leads Senator Santorum in the Polls of the State. It is really time for Senator Santorum to think of 2016, lets get real here folks, Governor Mitt Romney will be the 2012 Republican Nominee, if Romney is defeated and it is seen in part because of the long Republican Race then Santorum and to a lesser extent Gingrich will be blamed. These two are giving political arrows to the Obama Campaign, its time for them to get out and support Romney. Lets not forget that the real opposition is President Obama, every day that the Republicans attack each other, the more likely that Obama will win re-election and change the USA to picture the welfare States of Europe. Lets get Chicago real here folks.

50% Job Disapproval for Obama - Gallup

Gallup: Reports on its daily tracking poll on the job approval for POTUS, today President Obama has a 43% Approval rating, while 50% of Americans Disapprove of the Obama record. Thus folks its down to the price of gas and the troubling developments in Afghanistan, its turning in to Vietnam, the growing tensions with Iran, but on the positive side, you have more Americans getting jobs, the US economy is growing, Wall Street has the big MO. The Republicans are in long term civil war for the nomination, thus in pure political terms it still looks good for POTUS.

49% Job Approval for POTUS - 2012 Race

Gallup: Reports on its daily tracking poll on the job performance of President Obama, today POTUS has a 49% Approval rating, while 43% Disapprove of the Obama record. Thus folks you have to feel confident if your the Obama Chicago Re-Elect Committee, every month of late we have seen hundred of thousands of jobs being created in the US, the economy is growing, Wall Street is on a high, the Republicans seem to be going through an endless civil war, thus it looks good for the Oval.

Ohio - Poll of Polls - RCP

RCP: Reports on its average of the Ohio polls before Super Tuesday, as of now, the candidates have the following support, Santorum 34%, Romney 31.3%, Gingrich 15.7% and Paul 12%. Santorum leads Romney by 2.7%. It has been noted that Romney after winning Arizona and Michigan has surged in the Ohio polls, thus a 2.7% lead by Santorum is nothing if Romney has a good ground game in Ohio, if Romney can take Ohio another rust belt State like Michigan this will make Romney the presumptive Republican Nominee, the difference this time between Ohio and Michigan is while Romney was born in Michigan and his father was a State Governor there, that is not the case with Ohio. Thus if Romney takes Ohio it will show that his economic argument is working, that he as a former business man can bring jobs back to these old Industrial States. If on the other hand Santorum wins, this means a long race and a great chance of a Obama victory in November.

Romney and the Michigan WIN - Republican Race

Guardian: Reports the following on the Romney win in Michigan, “ ..we can say that Romney is now the clearer than ever favourite to win the Republican nomination….But his party does not love him.. ”. Both these statements are true folks, Romney should have the BIG MO going in to Super Tuesday in early March, but it can be argued that Southern States might go for Gingrich, thus the game of the Republican race will still be on. The question that is being asked is will any of the Candidates have a majority of the delegates by the Republican Convention, if this blog understand the rules after the 1st vote the Delegates are free to change their votes if no Candidates has enough delegates to become the nominee. The Republican Party could look at Governor Jeb Bush, a two term Governor, popular in his State of Florida, not seen as right wing as Bush 43 his brother, more in the moderate role of Bush 41. The question then will be asked, can the US elect another Bush to the Presidency, it would seem a family job lot, it has been noted that Jeb Bush is seen as the brains of the Bush sons, thus it can be argued that the Republican Party might take the risk, could this be the time for Bush 44.

Republican Debate - Review

BBC News: Reports that Republican frontrunner former Senator Rick Santorum came under attack from other Republican Candidates in the Republican Debate. At the end this blog called it a split decision, it can be argued that both Romney and Santorum had a good night, Santorum showed he could deal with a combative attacks from fellow candidates. His one weak area is his arguments on social issues, they are very Conservative, and hurt him with Independent voters in a General Election. While Romney showed he could be tough but without losing his cool, also his answers on the Middle East that he could go toe to toe with President Obama in a Foreign Policy Debate. The Brains on the set was former Speaker Newt Gingrich, his vast knowledge showed, but will it help him, he needed to keep his answer short and to the point. As to Congressman Paul, he is crank, he makes Neville Chamberlain look tough, a crank in other words folks. His Iran position was so weak it would be funny if the issue was not so serious. Thus Super Tuesday comes folks, lets see who has the BIG MO.
　
　
　
　
　
　
　
　
　
　
　
　

The Republican Race - Gallup

Gallup: Has its latest poll on the Republican Race, today Senator Rick Santorum leads Governor Romney by 35% to 29%, a 6% lead. If your in the Romney Camp you have to worry, what if you lose Romney’s home State to Santorum, and then on Super Tuesday you see both Santorum and Gingrich in the South taking States. The idea that the Republican Convention might meet with no Candidates having a majority NOW looks more likely. If this happens, what about nomination Governor Jeb Bush with Rick Santorum as VP. Just an idea folks.

Romney vs. Santorum - The Republican Race

The New York Times: Reports that the Romney Campaign is going to go after Rick Santorum after his triple win, also they are going to hit back hard. This is why Governor Romney will win the Republican Nomination folks, after South Carolina he went after Speaker Gingrich and took him apart in Florida, so expect the effective Romney Campaign to go after the Santorum record while Mr Santorum was in the US Senate. The Romney Campaign play to win, thus expect Rick Santorum to get hit hard for his deals while in the US Senate. The Obama Re-Elect play hard folks, its good to know that when Romney faces POTUS the gloves will come off, its Chicago political rules folks, last man standing wins.

Triple WIN for Santorum - The Republican Race

BBC News: Reports on Senator’s Rick Santorum wins in Missouri, Minnesota and Colorado. As ex Speaker Gingrich predicted it was a good night for Rick Santorum, he had double digit wins in Missouri and Minnesota and took Colorado from Romney, the question is what is the end game for Senator Santorum, even with the best will in the world this blog does not think Santorum will win the Republican nomination, the Republican voter wants a winner to face President Obama, Mitt Romney has the money and the campaign structure, thus this blog still states he is the presumptive Republican Nominee, thus what of Rick Santorum, one can postulate that the ex US Senator wants the VP spot, it can be argued by the Santorum Campaign in private that with him on the ticket the Conservative Tea Party movement will back the Republican Nominee in November. Thus VP spot on the ticket might not be the choice of Romney, lets see of Santorum can win more States and if Romney has a firewall in later Industrial States. It could be a very long fight folks, and lets not forget Newt Gingrich folks, his argument is that once we get to Southern States he will win further States after South Carolina, time will tell folks. This could be Republican rerun of the Carter/Kennedy fight of 1980, while the presumptive nominee/President has to deal with an insurgent fight his chances for election- re-election are destroyed before the General Election. Or in Republican terms, the Ford vs. Reagan fight of 1976. It should be noted that in 1976 Carter had a very narrow win over Ford. Thus a tough fight does not mean doom. Nothing is that new in US politics folks.

Romney vs. Santorum - The Republican Race

The Hill: Reports that the Romney Campaign is aiming its political arrows at ex US Senator Rick Santorum, the article notes the following, “ Santorum is poised to do well in two out of the three GOP nominating contests on Tuesday. ”. There are three elections today folks, Minnesota, Colorado and Missouri, the first two are caucuses States with delegates, although the article notes the result is not biding on the delegates, while the Missouri Primary is a straw poll, a beauty contest in may respects, also the Speaker is not on the Ballot. As posted yesterday the Speaker Gingrich has predicted that Rick Santorum will have a good night, if the ex Senator can cause an upset this will keep the race open, this might help Speaker Gingrich, if Romney does not win all three he can argue that once the process gets to Southern States he will start to win the big states, such as Texas. Lets recall folks the Obama/Clinton fight went down to the wire, also it can be argued that Senator Santorum might be looking to be Romney’s VP pick, that would make the Conservative base happy, also leave Speaker Gingrich in the cold. Long night folks, make sure you have plenty of coffee!.

A WIN for Santorum ? - Republican Race

CNN: Reports that former House Speaker Newt Gingrich has stated that former US Senator Rick Santorum could win in the caucuses States tomorrow. This would be an upset, one would think the Republican voters in Colorado and Minnesota would want to support a winner, but as the article notes the Romney Campaign has turned its attention to Rick Santorum due to his poll numbers getting better for Tuesday. If Santorum can win it would create a challenge for Conservative voters between him and Speaker Gingrich, this helps Governor Romney as it split’s the vote in the race. It seems Tuesday will be a long night folks.

Nevada Review - Republican Race

BBC News: Reports on Mitt Romney's win in Nevada, with 70% of the vote in Romney leads Gingrich by 48% to 23%. Thus it’s a matter of time before Governor Romney becomes the Republican Nominee, the Romney Campaign has already moved its focus to General Election. In his victory speech Governor Romney attacked President Obama and his record. In a recent poll of battleground states by CNN Romney and Obama are tied, thus its time for the Romney Campaign to develop a strategy beyond the General Election for the battleground States, its these States that will decide who in President in 2013.

Romney WIN in Florida - Republican Race

BBC News: Reports on Governor Romney beating former House Speaker Newt Gingrich in Florida, by 46% to 32%, a lead of 14%. This was a BIG win for the Governor, now his Campaign has to turn its attention to President Obama, if they thought the Florida fight was rough they have not seen anything yet, the Chicago political mob play dirty. Thus expect a lot of TV Adverts with the message that Romney is part of the 1% rich Americans while 99% of Americans are poor. The Adverts can expect to have those fired by Romney while he was in business, also the charge that he is a flip flopper, that he has gone extreme to win the Republican nomination. The Romney Campaign should expect the left to call Romney racist for wanting illegal immigrants to self deport, for business to crack down on illegal workers, the usual emotive attacks from liberals. Its going to get harder for the Romney Campaign folks.

Republican Race - LIVE REPORTS 2

Guardian Live - Florida: Reports that former House Speaker Newt Gingrich has invoked Ronald Reagan “ ..61 times in 19 debates .. ”. The Speaker is the Conservative in the race but Reagan was about winning at the end of the day, Reagan never closed down the US Government, he knew how to deal in Washington D.C, in any deal he would take over 50% and come back for what was remaining later, lets recall Reagan was President of the Screen Actors Union, Producers in that period make Putin look like a Democrat! Reagan in his time was hated by liberals, in fact Democrats wanted to run against Reagan in 1980, they thought he would be easy to beat, yes folks Democrats of that period needed a therapist. As stated in this blog one can argue that Reagan would not have had much time for either Gingrich or Romney as the Republican Nominee, Gingrich is the modern Barry Goldwater, cant get elected, while Romney is the new President Ford, weak in the General Election. Thus on high Reagan must be smiling, all the Republicans want to be Reagan, while Democrats want a liberal Reagan, Obama is not that, he might have been but he has blow it big time with ObamaCare.

Florida WIN for ROMNEY ? - Republican Race

BBC News: Reports that before Tuesday’s vote in Florida Governor Romney has a average lead of 12% in the Polls. Thus folks the Polls would have to be totally wrong for Florida not to be a BIG WIN for Romney. The question is can Republican Elders get Gingrich and Santorum to get out of the race, a long draw out contest helps President Obama, it can be argued that the Obama/Clinton fight of 08 was long draw out, but then the liberal main stream media was and still is supporting President Obama. The left wing media once the race is over will start to say that the Republican Party is split, its in a civil war, while forgetting the 08 race. Thus folks the Republicans have to finish this race and move on, get the money in to fight the Chicago machine. If as expected Romney wins big this race is over, those that stay in are just doing so for political vanity.