Friday, February 13, 2015

Ukraine Latest Part 2 - The New Cold War 2


Lets Get Real:

It is simple strategy, the Russians want a land route to the Crimea and to hold as much of Eastern Ukraine as they can, thus they will  have a VETO on any plans of the Western Kiev Government to joint NATO or the EU.  One can expect PR of tanks and soldiers moving out of East Ukraine, but this will be just PR, the Kremlin will make sure its allies have the heavy weapons needed to keep the fight on going, when the TV news is covering another crisis the Russians will move back in, one would not be surprised to see the Russians going for Kiev later in the year.    The Russian bear and its claws can not be trusted, the only old good Russian bear is one that has been put in its place, in other words real military and economic threats from the US and the EU.   This crisis in Eastern Europe is not over, there will be more deaths, it even could lead to a hot war in Europe.  Leaders have not learned from the 1930s. 

Fighting in Eastern Europe, Latest - The New Cold War 2


Lets Get Real:

The Russians want to gain are much ground in East Ukriane before the Minsk ceasefire comes in to force, the Kiev Government wants to hold the land it has and regain some of the land it lost after the 1st ceasefire agreement failed.   As stated by this blog the new deal has about 50/50 chance of working.   The West, and that includes the US and the EU has to be ready to force the Russians to back off, the Russian bear needs his paws slapped hard, that means more and tougher economic sanctions.   Interesting few days ahead in East Ukriane.