Sunday, September 13, 2009

A Deal in Afghanistan ?

Guardian: Reports on pressure from the West for President Karzai of Afghanistan and Dr Abdullah Abdullah to do a deal over the governance of Afghanistan. It can be argued that the Obama Administration needs a deal more than Karzai and Abdullah, the US this year has lost as reported by icasualties.org, 200 of its Armed Forces Personnel, and it only September folks. Thus if the political elite in Afghanistan can not come to together, the Obama Administration will have to decide what horse it wants to support. As noted in the Guardian article there can not be a new election due to weather conditions in Afghanistan are about to get worse, also whats to stop another fraudulent election. Thus the Obama White House might have to think outside the box, the West either cares about the election or it does not, is the mission to nation build Afghanistan or to get the terrorists, they are not the same thing folks. It can be argued that President Obama should allow President Karzai to have another term, but give him a warning, that Diem of South Vietnam didn't change, and his government was removed by a green light from Washington D.C. This is why Afghanistan is such a nightmare folks, no easy way to win but a lot of ways to lose.

Iran Style RIOTS in Afghanistan ?

The Sunday Times: Reports that Afghanistan could face Iran style riots over the fraudulent election. This is the last thing that the Obama Administration needs, it is already under fire from the liberal left who do not want to send more troops to Afghanistan, it has been reported by CNN that the Defence Secretary Robert Gates wants to send three thousand more troops out to Afghanistan to deal with the IEDs on the roads, this would be separate from the predicted need to send another forty five thousand troops out just to have a chance of winning in Afghanistan. It would be a PR nightmare if the opposition to President Karzai went on the streets, Karzai would be another Diem, the Obama Administration would have to decide either to support Karzai or get a new government. Either action would have an Imperial tone to it, as it would be the USA taking over the old British role of placing a friendly power on the throne of Afghanistan. One has to wonder does Obama get that Afghanistan will be his Afghanistan what ever he does, he seems obsessed by health care reform, what he is missing that when it comes to Afghanistan it not his base that will support him in Afghanistan, its Republicans, Blue Dog Democrats and Independents. The question President Obama has to ask himself, if he goes nuclear on the health care reform and pushes it through with just Democrats and burns Republicans, they can flush his Administration down the nearest singularity, inside a Black Hole when it comes to voting for more money for Afghanistan, Republicans can support Democrats who want to get out of Afghanistan. The American voter might take Obama's health care reform but they will throw him back Chicago if they think they have another Jimmy Carter in their hands. Thus does Obama get it, his best friends might not be his base if he wants to keep US presence in Afghanistan and win re-election in 2012, it might be Republicans. Lets recall when Bill Clinton lost health care reform in his first term he had to move to the centre as the Congress had gone to the Republicans. This move to the center lead to his re-election in 1996. If Obama does not move he will lose big in 210 Mid Term Congressional Elections and for re-election in 2012. Also riots on the streets would hurt UK support for the War, its already in the toilet, PM Gordon Brown can not afford to be seen supporting a Chicago type fix in Afghanistan.

Health Vote = NEW MARCH ?

The New York Times: Reports on a massive demonstration in Washington D.C against President Obama, the NYT writes the following, " A sea of protesters filled the west lawn of the Capitol and spilled onto the National Mall........... opposition to a health care overhaul............broader...........government. " Am impressed that the Liberal New York Times even reported mass demo against Obama. I guess it was to big to be called a bunch of crazies. The Liberal New York Times of course picked out those that are on the edge of the demo, of course missed Democratic scandals and of course Stalin. Lets have another mass demo when the House of Representatives vote on any Bill that is not the compromise Senate Bill that does not have the public option. On the whole support the compromise Senate Finance Bill.

Afghanistan Front News

MOD: Has released the name of the soldier killed on 9/9/09, the soldier was " Corporal John Harrison from The Parachute Regiment " Lets hope there are no more deaths this month in Afghanistan.