The Closing Stages - 2012 US Election

Guardian: Reports the following from the US Election, " Influential New York Times election blogger Nate Silver put Obama's current chances of winning at around 80%. ".

Lets Get Real: 

The blog on the whole does not agree with the uber liberal NYT when it comes to most things, but on this occasion their blogger is right, Romney was no Reagan, this year was not 1980 again!  In many ways this a repeat of 2004 when Bush 43 beat Senator Kerry by winning the State of Ohio.    For Republicans it is time to start looking at 2016, never to early folks, one has to say that the front runners are Governor Christie of NJ and Rep. Ryan.   The US election cycle never ends folks. 

The Fall of an Empire - 2012 US Election

Telegraph: Andrew Marr of the BBC writes the following on Obama's America, " I have to admit that to visitors, America no longer feels quite like the future. ".

Lets Get Real:

All Empires fall folks, in the norm its the rot from within, in the case of the British Empire the UK was broke after WW2, and India had the right to self rule.  Thus modern America has a debt of 16 trillion, 23 million people either out of work or in part time work, or work that does not match their educational standard.   The US unemployment rate is at 7.9%.  The Welfare State of the US can not be afforded, that is the only thing the Democrats can offer, thus half the population is on some kind of welfare, thus one of the reasons that POTUS will get a 2nd term.   The banker of the US is China, how long will they bail the US out, at some point, and it will come folks they will ask for their money back, and the US will be shown to be a paper tiger.   The US voter will find that the US is no long that Shining City on a Hill, its 2nd rate power, with a system that can not be afforded, the political parties loath each other, that is the fall of Empires folks. 

The Polls - 2012 US Election

BBC News: Reports on the average of the latest polls in the US Presidential Election, the latest is a tied race, both President Obama and Governor Romney on 49%.

Lets Get Real:

Honesty is the best policy folks, this blog is looking for a 2000 or 2004 type race, in 2004 it was down to Ohio, as it could be this year, as of now one would have to give Ohio to POTUS, nearly all the polls have him tied or leading in the State.   On the other hand, if its really close race we could see Court Cases as in 2000, even the US Supreme Court coming in to play, that would be fun.   This blog has called the race for Obama, the fun for this blog as stated is looking at the final result and which Pollster got it right.    Lets hope this is not 1948, a lot of us would have big egg on our faces, voters do not to that, it would show that you have been laying through your back teeth or ALL pollsters are bent.   That is the fun of politics folks.