Biden and Trump TIED in Poll Math Up for 2024 - 2024 Candidate/Presidential Election

The Hill: Reports " Biden, Trump virtually tied in hypothetical match-up: poll... The Quinnipiac University poll, released Wednesday, found that 47 percent of respondents would support Biden and 46 percent would support Trump in a hypothetical general election match-up between the two.  "

Lets Get Real:

This is the reason that President Biden could lose to Trump in 2024, it cant be a Democratic Prosecutor that brings Trump DOWN, it would make him a political martyr and the US would suffer for the long term.  A Republican candidate among the pack has to go through Trump to gain the nomination, Governor Christie  has become the 2nd choice of Republicans in a recent poll in New Hampshire , while the Governor of Florida has fallen back to the pack.  All those candidates that have no hope have to unite behind a moderate candidate who can win Republican voters and moderates in 2024.  All the legal noise will make the voter a law graduate by the end, it should be about politics and what is god for the USA and Western security not about getting Trump.  There is a Republican Debate next week, it looks like Trump will not turn up, he is miles ahead, why would he, Trump has to be beaten in the public square.  The stake is the future of the US and WESTERN security and the fate of the Ukraine. 

New New Hampshire poll for 2024 - 2024 Candidate/Presidential Election

The Hill: Reports "  Christie pulls ahead of DeSantis in New Hampshire GOP primary: poll....Christie leapfrogged DeSantis for second place in the Granite State, garnering 9 percent support. DeSantis’s support, on the other hand, fell to 8 percent from 17 percent in March. Christie’s 1-point lead over DeSantis falls within the poll’s plus-or-minus 3.4 percent margin of error.  "

Lets Get Real:

The former Governor of NJ should not be celebrating yet, its only a 1 point lead, also he has been on CNN nearly ALL the time being critical of Trump.  The former President has a massive lead, also Christie has broken the Reagan gold rule, never attack a fellow Republican, and should by some miracle should Christie win, the uber liberal news networks would go after him, those Republicans on CNN are either never Trumpers or they have sold out to the liberal media elite.  They will never be forgiven by the broad Republican Party.  CNN and NBC have shown they have lost the plot, its the same story ever hour, the woes of the Trump legal problems.   At least The Hill recalls it is about politics, only one poll, there will be other polls after the DEBATE.

The END game for Trump and Sanders - Election 2016

Guardian: Reports " At some point many pundits still expect more moderate candidates will catch both Trump and Sanders. Clinton could yet blow her opponent out of the water quickly if she holds Nevada and takes South Carolina with a decisive win among minorities. March will probably be a decisive month, starting with the Super Tuesday test across 13 states. "

Lets Get Real:

As stated if HRC can take Nevada and South Carolina this Democratic race will be over, she has the money and the ground work, SO she should not lose, if she does we are talking a different game.    On the Republican side, if Trump wins South Carolina big its all over, also he has the benefit that there are still a crowded  lane in the Establishment field.  By the time the Establishment works out who is their candidate it could be over, the Donald has been lucky so far, will he be luck in the South. 

How will the vote go in New Hampshire - Election 2016

Telegraph - US Politics Live: Reports in its 2.58pm post the following, " Local officials are predicting turnout of up to 75 per cent of registered voters here in New Hampshire. That's far higher than we saw in Iowa, where the complicated caucus format depresses turnout, and could be good news for the front-runners. "

Lets Get Real:

If the above happens then Trump and Sanders could have a very good night, the question on the Republican side is who will come 2nd and how close will the other candidates be, who will drop out and who has the money to carry on, it is expected that Jeb Bush as the money to carry on to the South.  The Bush Campaign has stated that Bush 41 will support his brother in the South, as to the Democrats, it will NOT depend on the margin, what ever the result, the Clintons will go South and win, and then its ALL over for Senator Sanders, this blog has no reason to see Sanders having any success in the South.   The Reports need a race on the Democratic side to justify their rooms and bar bills, otherwise they know it ALL over. 

Bill Clinton on Senator Sanders - Election 2016

The New York Times: Reports on the following remarks by former President, Bill Clinton, " The former president, addressing a few hundred supporters at a junior high school here, portrayed his wife’s opponent for the Democratic nomination as hypocritical, “hermetically sealed” and dishonest.  "

Lets Get Real:

The former President has a nerve, talking about honesty, he shamed the US for over year before admitting he had an affair with a White House intern.   The truth only came out after the Clintons had poll tested when it was the best time to come clean.   On the other hand if you really love someone, e.g Bill and Hillary you have to a duty to tell them they are NOT great political candidates.    As this blog has stated, it will support HRC over Sanders, Trump or Cruz, but it has to be honest, it has NO fondness for HRC, thinks the truth and HRC are not that connected and worse, she is bloody bad candidate, you can see her mind moving to cover any political risk.   Lets hope the New Hampshire voters come to their senses and vote for HRC, please,  on the Republican side, this blog would be quite happy to support Rubio, Kasich or Bush, they are moderate and just might make great Presidents. 

Third Party Candidate for the 2016 Election

Guardian - US Politics Live: Reports in its 9.23pm post the following, " Billionaire media titan and former New York City mayor Michael Bloomberg has stated for the first time that he is considering a run for the White House. "

Lets Get Real:

Another billionaire, for goodness sake, but least Michael Bloomberg is a moderate, and is anti guns, and pro Western economic system.   The question is does he stand a chance hell of getting elected, he has the money, his record as Mayor of New York after 9/11.   It depends if the Democrats and the Republicans go over the cliff with the nomination of either Sanders or Trump/Cruz.   It could be argued that the two party system needs a good challenge, let's see what happens after New Hampshire. 

The Trump on the War on Terror - Election 2016

Telegraph - US Politics Live: Reports " Donald Trump: 'I'd bring back a hell of a lot worse than waterboarding' "

Lets Get Real:

The liberal press elite are NOW going to start to target the Donald, they do not think there is a need a for a War on Terror and they oppose ALL torture.   This blog is starting to like the Donald, there needs to be a tough war on terror, and torture works, when information is needed and the suspect will not spill his guts there needs to be tougher methods, Water boarding, loud noise, no sleep or food, and many other methods.  If one session of water boarding saves just 1 life, then it should be used, terrorists do not have any rights, they should never be given POW statues, they are murders etc, they have no rights, the Donald just might turn me in to a Trump supporter. 

Governor Christie on Rubio - Election 2016

Guardian - US Politics Live: Reports the following on Governor Christie of NJ, and his debate in its 5.39pm post " Christie’s performance in the debate - where he came out firing at Rubio and carried on pulling the trigger for two-and-a-half hours - had resonated with the crowd, as well as with himself. "

Lets Get Real:

The question is can Senator Rubio keep his 2nd place in most New Hampshire polls, if he falters and is replaced by either Christie or Kasich then the rest will have to go home.  It will be a three man race, Trump, Cruz and ? that is the interesting question, this blog still thinks Rubio could beat Hillary Clinton, depends who the Republicans in NH think is the best candidate.  It can be postulated that Jeb Bush still has the money to carry, if they are not 2nd in NH it could be good night from Christie, Kasich and Carson.  A few days to go, how will it end in NH?

Rubio roasted by fellow Republicans - Election 2016

BBC News: Reports the following on Senator Rubio at the Saturday debate in New Hampshire, " Senator Marco Rubio was attacked by several Republican rivals for the party's nomination to run for the White House, in a fractious TV debate. "

Lets Get Real:

The moment Senator Rubio came a strong 3rd just behind Trump in the Iowa vote he has a become a political target for others wanting to be the Establishment Candidate to fight Donald Trump, thus Governor Christie a former Federal lawyer put the boot in, he has called him a boy in the bubble, and then scripted, well the Florida Senator did not help himself, he repeated his stump speech, that Obama knows what he is doing, by some counts he said it 8 times.  One the whole Trump, and Cruz had a good night, with one exception, Trump got in to a battle with Jeb Bush, those in the hall booed the Trump, but Trump turned it around by stating that they represented Establishment of money, thus he won.   Projection for NH, Trump, Rubio, Kasich, we shall next week how the voters voted. 

Jeb Bush ATTACKS Rubio - Election 2016

Lets Get Real:

It is pity that Governor Bush was not this combative at the start of the Campaign, one has to question can he get a good finish in New Hampshire, it seems that the Establishment candidate has become Senator Rubio.   Of course it is a couple of days to the New Hampshire primary and anything can happen, is it enough time for Governor Bush to become the new Establishment candidate? The voters of NH will decide the future of a few of the Republican candidates on Tuesday. 

The Rubio Surge AFTER Iowa - Election 2016

BBC News: Reports " US presidential hopeful Marco Rubio has seen a surge in high-profile endorsements, after a surprisingly strong finish in the Iowa caucuses. "

Lets Get Real:

This is Senator Rubio's chance to become the Establishment Candidate, he needs a good showing in NH before going on to the Southern States, a win would be a great but one can assume that the Trump will make sure he wins New Hampshire, this is his stepping stone to the South, and the Republican nomination.   The problem is he is grumpy after losing in Iowa, the Donald has to get over himself, otherwise he will learn what happens when ratings go down for a TV Show, it is pulled, the Donald has to set him mind on NH and the threat from Rubio. 

The Donald vs. Cruz - Iowa Charge - Election 2016

BBC News: Reports " Donald Trump wants Iowa rematch, accusing Cruz of 'fraud' "

Lets Get Real:

The reality star has meet political reality and he does not like it, one has to assume that Donald Trump does not lose that often in his business or private life.  The fact that Trump is still going about Iowa shows that he does not understand the political process, Iowa is finished, its New Hampshire NOW, the Trump machine, if it has one has to get its operation going in NH as to make sure that Trump wins, he has lead in all the polls, if Trump does lose New Hampshire to Rubio it could be over for Trump.   The same goes for Senator Sanders, he has a huge lead in NH, if HRC can beat him or come a close 2nd the race is over, its HRC all the way to Oval. 

The Republican Debate - Election 2016

Telegraph - US Politics Live: Has the following review of the Fox Presidential Debate, " A very successful stunt by Donald Trump to skip the debate and steal the headlines. But, in terms of who won the debate itself, Mr Trump's absence also helped Jeb Bush shine - he was unburdened, light-hearted and seemed to have a bit of energy back. It's still a long way back for the self-proclaimed "establishment candidate" though. Ted Cruz failed to handle the increased attention on him. Another of Mr Trump's rivals had a good night - Megyn Kelly was an excellent host. "

Lets Get Real:

The real question is can Jeb Bush use this success when it comes to votes on Monday night, at least without Trump around the other politicians could relax and debate real issues, Cruz by general agreement did not have a good night, ALL the other candidates went for him as Trump was missing.  Thus either Jeb Bush or Senator Rubio could be the Establishment choice to take on THE TRUMP, the question is what will be their vote share on Monday and how well they do in New Hampshire. 

The Debate Ratings - Election 2016

CNN - Politics: Reports on who won the ratings in the Presidential debate, " Answer: Fox's debate. But it was the second lowest rated debate of the season. So Trump is certain to take credit for hurting the channel's total viewership. "

Lets Get Real:

At least serious candidates to be POTUS took to the Fox debate, the elephant in the room Donald Trump had his how show and he lost the ratings.   One can only hope that the voters of Iowa punish Trump for his move to snub the debate.   The Republican Establishment has to pick a serious candidate and back him up with money and support, there is only one real choice, that is Senator Rubio, it sad to say that Jeb Bush has left it to late, lets hope Rubio gains from his strong presence at the debate. 

The Republican Debate - Verdict

BBC News: Reports " With a few notable exceptions, all the candidates kept their balance and stayed on their talking points. It's as if the unconventional Trump's absence from the hall made everyone a bit more restrained and, well, political. "

The reviews are mixed, it seems Cruz got it the neck as he has been 2nd in most of the polls for Iowa, Rubio, Bush turned up at last.   The question is will the Donald Trump suffer for not attending the debate, that is up to the voters of Iowa, lets hope they teach the Donald a lesson, in life you have to turn up. thus even the great Gipper lost Iowa in 1980 but after that never failed to attend a debate.  The question is will Trump be a new Gipper who loses Iowa, but takes New Hampshire and later the Presidency, or Bush 41 who won Iowa but lost the Republican nomination to Reagan in 1980.  Time is ticking away before the Monday vote. 

Is Doctor Ben Carson a racist? - Election 2016

BBC News: Reports " US Republican presidential hopeful Ben Carson says he does not believe a Muslim should become president. "

Lets Get Real:

The above remark is racist, one will be interested to see if the liberal press in the US go after Carson because of the remark, the liberal press is loathed to go after African - Americans if they say something racist, of course the exception could be if its a Republican African - American.   This blog had moved to support Dr Carson after the last debate, that is revoked, one should judge a candidate for President by his or her character, not the colour of their skin or what faith the follow.   Thus this blog is going back to supporting Jeb Bush, just wish Bush had more fire in the belly.   Otherwise at the end if its a choice between Trump or Clinton, this blog will support HRC. 

The raise of Carly - 2016 Election

BBC News: Reports on the Republican Presidential Debate at the Ronald Reagan Library, it notes the following on Carly Florina,  " She proved she belonged on the big stage. And could she prove to be Trump's kryptonite? "

Lets Get Real:

The best time to consider a debate result is after a good night sleep, as the debate was on at a early morning in the UK, this blogger watched the first hour then later in the morning, the question this blogger asked is what could I recall of the debate.    In the view of this blogger the best lines came from Trump and Bush, when they were asked what would be their Secret Service codename, Bush went with Eveready, while Trump went with Humble. In many respects this shows what the candidates were really think, Bush looked more on form last night, like he had fresh batteries, going after Trump for bringing in his wife in to the debate about immigration.  While Trump it can be argued was trying not to look an ego maniac, it worked for the debate.   On the verdict of the BBC on Carly Florina she could be a real contender, lets see the polls after a few days, while Dr Carson was his quite self. 

The Trump Surge - Election 2016

BBC News: Reports " The latest poll by Monmouth University puts Mr Trump way ahead with support from 30% of Republicans, and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson running a distant second with 18%.  "

Lets Get Real:

It has been interesting that the Clinton Camp has been critical of Jeb Bush but so far has not gone on the attack with it comes to Donald Trump, could be that Trump does attack back, and the Clinton Camp is worried how far he might go, lets face it he has the money to outspend the Clintons.   It is only September but it looks llike that Trump is running away with the nomination.   The rest of the Republican candidates have to start to take on Trump, otherwise the Republican nomination fight is over and Donald Trump with be the Republican Candidate for President. 

Trump NOT to RUN as a THIRD Party Candidate - 2016 Election

Guardian: Reports " Donald Trump signs pledge not to run as independent..GOP frontrunner meets with Republican National Committee chair on Thursday to sign pledge vowing to support Republican nominee for the White House  "

Lets Get Real:

Thus this keeps Trump out of the Republican race should he lose the nomination fight.  Of course he has to lose that fight, thus far he is winning, when will the Bush Camp show some fire in the belly  and take out Trump.   The candidates with lower share of the vote should start to considering leaving the race as to allow the anti Trump Camp to form around one candidate.   That could be either Jeb Bush or Dr Ben Carson.   It would be a nightmare to have Trump as POTUS, that would be worse that the present Obama Presidency.   The Clinton Campaign has to get the email mess out of the news, so far it has not had much success.    At this rate it willl not be a rerun of the 1992 race. 

The Trump Factor - Election 2016

Guardian: Reports " Donald Trump puts third-party run on back burner as poll lead balloons..Trump tells conservative radio show he would rather not run independent campaign, as poll released on Thursday puts him 16 points clear of Ben Carson  "

Lets Get Real:

The Bush campaign has to up its game, the Donald is running away with the nomination, they have to spend their hundred million of dollars in taking down Donald Trump, one can assume after his comments on women that the Trump will lose a majority of the female vote in 2016, his immigration plan will lose with those of an ethnic background, how can you throw out millions of people, it is not American.    On the other side Biden IF he is getting in to the race has to act, Iowa is not that far away in election terms, also there is the need for money.   2016 in its own right could be a very interesting race.