Sunday, October 14, 2012

No more LOVE Mr President - NYT



Lets Get Real:

This lack of loyalty should worry the 2nd term Obama team, 2nd terms always have major downs, what is going to happen when that happens to Obama, is his support so THIN, that when the tea bags hit the fan there will be no back up for the Oval.    Also 2016 is around the corner, thus if Obama polls take a dive in a 2nd term Democrats will want some distance, they will want ever further distance should VP Biden decide to run in 2016, that would be GOD send to the Republicans.  Both Reagan and Clinton had their supporters when they faced political oblivion, one has to ask will Obama.    The fact that ubera liberals have jumped on Obama after his disaster of a 1st debate shows that that the Obama support is very thin, and that they will run away should there be a major disaster in a 2nd Obama term.    The President will come out strong in the 2nd debate, its a town hall format, thus expect the Obama Team to drill Obama to fake like he is happy to be there, goes after Romney, but not like he needs prozac, like his VP.    The Oval should remember who jumped ship after the 1st debate, keep them close so they do not throw tea at the Oval tent. 

Obama vs. Romney - Sunday Polls

Lets have a look at the Sunday Polls folks.  These are the Rasmussen and Gallup daily tracking polls of likely   voters.  

Rasmussen Reports: In its poll today we have Governor Romney leading President Obama by 49% to 47%, a 2% lead.

Gallup: Reports in its poll that Governor Romney leads President Obama by 49% to 47%, a 2% lead.

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks we have Rasmussen and Gallup having Romney on a 2% lead among likely voters.   As  stated this blog still gives the election to Obama, what will be interesting for this blog is if Obama has any coat tails, can he help the Democrats in the House and can he keep the Senate Democratic.    Also one could find the reverse of 2000, that Romney wins the popular vote but Obama wins the electoral college.   This theory being on the assumption that Obama wins Ohio and and thus election but that Romney wins the popular vote.  This blog will postulate that it will be a long election night, even the Courts might come in to play, it did in 2000, not that it did much good for Al Gore.   In the 2nd debate expect POTUS to come back like Reagan in 84 and Bush 43 in 2004, the liberal base wants some fight.    The 2nd term Obama team have to play Libyagate scandal with care, no false evidence under oath, its always the cover up that kills not the original crime.   The Oval has already thrown Hillary Clinton under the bus, expect more of that, also that Senator Kerry might get the nod to be Secretary State, what a bore that will be to the press, someone who likes his own voice more that Obama.     Lets be honest Obama can not do any worse than his 1st debate.   Thus Obama win in second debate and 2nd term.