Sunday, October 14, 2012

Obama vs. Romney - Sunday Polls

Lets have a look at the Sunday Polls folks.  These are the Rasmussen and Gallup daily tracking polls of likely   voters.  

Rasmussen Reports: In its poll today we have Governor Romney leading President Obama by 49% to 47%, a 2% lead.

Gallup: Reports in its poll that Governor Romney leads President Obama by 49% to 47%, a 2% lead.

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks we have Rasmussen and Gallup having Romney on a 2% lead among likely voters.   As  stated this blog still gives the election to Obama, what will be interesting for this blog is if Obama has any coat tails, can he help the Democrats in the House and can he keep the Senate Democratic.    Also one could find the reverse of 2000, that Romney wins the popular vote but Obama wins the electoral college.   This theory being on the assumption that Obama wins Ohio and and thus election but that Romney wins the popular vote.  This blog will postulate that it will be a long election night, even the Courts might come in to play, it did in 2000, not that it did much good for Al Gore.   In the 2nd debate expect POTUS to come back like Reagan in 84 and Bush 43 in 2004, the liberal base wants some fight.    The 2nd term Obama team have to play Libyagate scandal with care, no false evidence under oath, its always the cover up that kills not the original crime.   The Oval has already thrown Hillary Clinton under the bus, expect more of that, also that Senator Kerry might get the nod to be Secretary State, what a bore that will be to the press, someone who likes his own voice more that Obama.     Lets be honest Obama can not do any worse than his 1st debate.   Thus Obama win in second debate and 2nd term. 

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