Thursday, January 31, 2019

All Politics is LOCAL - Brexit Update 2 - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

This is a bribe to the Labour voters in poor Labour Constituencies, it will place pressure on Labour MPs to support the May plan 2 when it comes before the House of Commons in two weeks time.  Of course the PM has to keep the HARD BREXIT supporters on side, also the DUP.  If the Labour Leader Jeremy Corbyn has some political talent, he would allow the May plan to pass, if it works then he can say that he followed the will of the UK voter in 2016 and if it is a disaster he can say that Labour would have done a better job.  The HARD REMAINERS within the Conservative and Labour Parties will still try to THWART Brexit.   The idea of a 2nd Brexit vote had died a death, MPs do not want it, it would break trust with the UK voter.  One hopes that PM May has something in her handbag, she needs a new plan, that keeps various factions on board. 

EU STONEWALLS over UK Brexit DEMANDS - Brexit Update - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

The EU is stonewalling for NOW, the PM has to stare them DOWN, if need the PM should consider sending the Houses of Parliament in to recess and go for a No Deal Brexit.  One's political gut sees a deal, IF May and Corbyn can agree on a Customs Union, one that the UK can get out when it wishes, then one can see a DEAL.  Of course the Hard Brexit supporters will not be happy, but it's better to get OUT of the EU first, then a new Conservative PM can restart the talks after winning a majority in a fresh general election.  The main PRIZE is getting out of the EU.  The HARD REMAINERS will NEVER be happy, the EU has become an article of FAITH FOR THEM, they still want a 2nd Brexit vote.  It is expected that the PM will go to Ireland and to the EU to have FRESH talks, if the EU is playing funny games then the PM should say so in public, the UK voter will not tolerate being treated badly, thus more support for a No Deal Brexit. 

National Security and President Trump - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

If you have a BRAIN CELL and your are POTUS you do not dish your Intelligence services, they know ALL the secrets.   President Trump has been WEAK over North Korea and Russia, he has trusted the North Korean leader who has fooled him in to believing that North Korea will give up its nuclear weapons.   On Russia the Kremlin must have something on Trump, whatever other reason can there be for the fact that Trump is kissing the backside of President Putin.   On Iran POTUS might have a point, the Tehran Regime since 1979 has been a threat to the US and Western interests.   Why on earth the Republican Establishment is keeping faith with Trump is beyond this blog, they should be supporting someone to challenge the President in 2020.   It can be postulated that Trump will lose in 2020, the Republicans should considering getting their majority back in the House and keeping the Senate Republican.   Of course the Democrats could nominate a Candidate that goes down like a LEAD BALLOON in the FLY OVER States, politics is an art not a science.