Friday, June 14, 2019

Trump on Iran, Part 2 - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

Thus NOW that the Trump Oval has draw a red line over the attack on oil tankers what will the US do, will Trump be like President Reagan who took action in 1987/88 when tankers came under threat from Iran or will be like President Obama who drew a red line over the use of WMD and Syria and did not follow up.  The Tehran Regime will be looking carefully at the reaction of the Trump Oval, if they see WEAKNESS they will attack more, the Trump sanctions on Iran is WORKING, but if Tehran sees weakness they will play down the clock, in the hope that the Democratic Nominee will beat Trump in 2020, someone like Mayor Pete who wants to return to the Obama nuclear deal with Iran.  Politics and the real world often clash. 

Also let's be very honest here, a short sharp WAR with Iran would be good for the Trump poll numbers, it's the right policy call and good politics, as long as IRAN does not draw the US in to a long term ground war.  That is what the Tehran Regime wants, what it does not want is the  US using Tehran as a practice for the mother of all bombs, sanctions and bombing could finish the Regime.  The heavy sanctions are bringing the Tehran Regime to its knees, it just needs an extra push. 

Is the US at the Brink of WAR with Iran? - Trump Era

Lets Get Real:

Let's see if the Trump OVAL does something, in the late 1980s the Reagan Administration re - flagged oil tankers as to allow for US protection of oil tankers after they came under attack from Iran, also attacked Iranian assets in the region*. At present there is a naval carrier fleet in the Gulf, will they take the fight to Iran, or will they just try to prevent naval attacks by Iran.   The Trump Oval so far is ALL TALK, it has sent out conflict messages when it comes to its armed forces, on the one hand Trump wants to remove US forces from the region, but due to the threat from Iran it has increased its forces in the region.  The World will see if President Trump has a backbone, will he just use rhetoric or actually take action as the great Gippper did in 1987*.