Trump on winding down Iran War and the Strait of Hormuz- Update

BBC News: Reports in its 9.22pm post the following, " Strait of Hormuz will have to be policed by nations who use it - US does not', says Trump "

Let's Get Real:

Thus POTUS is getting bored with WAR in Iran, it was mentioned at the start by the press that he would get bored.  It can be postulated that VP Vance is against the War, he is seeing his campaign for 2028 going up in smoke, leading MAGA leaders have come out against the War.  Also there is the November Mid Terms, the War is not popular with American people, thus Trump wants out of this war.

The Strait of Hormuz security will be left to others, this is Trump's payback for NATO not supporting him, he argues thar the US does not need the oil from Iran.  This is not true, why would prices gone up in the US, from oil to food.  Thus NATO could be left with an unsecured Strait, and the Americans know where in site.  Trump has shown he is erratic and a wimp!

US could take Kharg Island with Ground Troops - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 11.31am post the following, " US' considers occupying Iranian island' - and why that would be 'really serious' for Tehran  " 

Let's Get Real:

If US takes Kharg Island it would force Tehran not to threaten the Strait of Hormuz, Kharg Island is the tap of Iranian oil, therefore the US could turn the tap off and on for Iranian oil.  That would bring the Tehran Regime to its knees.  This would mean placing ground troops on Iranian soil, the Democrats would go mad, but could be useful for the Republicans in the Mid Terms in November.

Russia offers its oil - Putin

BBC News: Reports in its 7.09pm post the following, " Putin says Russia ready to help Europe with energy supplies  "

Let's Get Real:

The West should not touch this offer with a very long barge pole, its a Russian trick to get out of sanctions or separate Europe from the Ukraine, the Russian Bear is devious and will manipulate Europe and the US.   BE WARY EUROPE and US.

Ukraine Front - Update

 Sky News: Reports " Russian missile strikes have killed seven people in Kharkiv, Ukraine's second-largest city. "

Let's Get Real:

Back to the Ukraine Front, while the News networks cover the War Iran, Putin's Russia still attacks the Democratic Ukraine, one should not forget this Long War, its like WW1 with its Trench Warfare.  This War could lead to WW3, whatever Trump thinks of the War. Putin will try to increase pressure on Ukraine, as he knows the WORLD is looking at this new War in the Middle East and fearing about the World economy as oil prices go up.

Mass Protests in Iran - Update

Sky News: Reports on a bloody Saturdy in Iran, protests by the people against the implosion of the economy of Iran and violent actions by Tehran Regime in response.

Lets Get Real:

The reason the Iranian economy is down the toilet is  due the Tehran Regime, it is under heavy sanctions by the US and the actions of Regime, supporting terrorism around the Middle East, Iraq, Lebanon and Syria.   The people of Iran have the chance for freedom from the theocracy, they should not expect support from President Trump, he just wants the oil from Venezuela, the Trump Oval, will only take action if Iran attempts to go nuclear or increase its Ballistic Missiles ability.  There will be casualties, but freedom is the price.

VENEZUELA Defenc Minister calls for the return of Maduro - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 4.40pm post that the Venezuela Defence Minister has stated that Maduro should be returned as President.

Lets Get Real:

The Trump Oval might say its running Venezuela, but that depends on the Maduro Regime playing ball, otherwise the US might need troops on the ground, tricky after Afghanistan and Iraq, the US might need to put the fear of God in to the Regime, do as we say or there will be another military strike.  INTERESTING to see who blinks first, Trump wants the oil and the return of Democracy to Venezuela or what is the point of the action.

US to RUN Venezuela - Trump

Sky News: Reports in its 4.46pm post that the US will run Venezuela after the capture of ex President Maduro, as stated by President Trump in Florida.

Lets Get Real:

Thus move by Trump will get a critical reaction from those that opposed Maduro in Venezuela.  The US Democrats will be up in arms, suddenly the US has an Empire.  This blog does not see Trump giving up Venezuela, all that oil that Venezuela has,  he will want the US to have payback, does Trump really mean to run Venezuela, we shall see over the next few hours and days.

US pursuing third Venezuela tanker - Update

BBC News: Reports that US is in pursuit of the Oil Tanker Bella 1.

Lets Get Real:

This blog was misinformed yesterday that the USA had taken Bella 1.  This blog normally takes two sources to confirm a story! It took that it was reuters story it was right.  SORRY to blog readers for bad information.  IT is reported that POTUS will have remarks to the Country at 9.30pm D.C time, 2.30am in the UK, let's hope it is not another repeat of his domestic hits so far!!

Act of WAR by Trump47- Former Russian President

Sky News: Reports in its 9.10am post that the Former President of Russia Dmitry Medvedev and a firm supporter of Putin, has stated that the oil sanctions by the US is an Act of War.

Lets Get Real:

The Former President has been a HAWK on every aspect of the Ukraine War, he has stated many times that Western action would lead to WW3, he has no real influence, Putin listens to his dog more than Medvedev, this just shows that the oil sanctions might work in the end.

US to give Ukraine long range missile intelligence- Ukraine - Russia

Sky News: Reports in its 9.30am post that the US will give intelligence on long range missiles for the Ukraine to hit Russia.

Lets Get Real:

The Trump Oval is increasing pressure on Russia and Putin, it seems that Trump has had enough of being conned by Putin, this is payback for making POTUS look like a lapdog to Putin and worse has made the US look foolish.  One hopes that the Intel will hurt Russian resources, such as oil depos and arms manufacture, drone making.  Thus time for some Ukraine success.

Trump HAILS talks in Moscow with his Special Envoy - Trump47

Guardian: Reports " Trump hails ‘great progress’ after Witkoff meets Putin for talks on Ukraine....US president calls meeting ‘highly productive’ amid unconfirmed reports on halt to long-range strikes "

Lets Get Real:

Good talks in White House talking point, but the secondary sanctions will still go in to place on Friday, as far as we know, the article states that there might be a deal to halt long range strikes, the truth will be in the pudding.   Thus far Putin's Kremlin has played Trump like a fool,  it could be that Trump is praising the talks while still keeping the sanctions on board, thus his secondary sanctions in India.  Of course Trump could fold and allow himself to be played, and not place the extreme secondary sanctions on Russia, the US Senate Bill is on the extreme side, we shall see on Friday.

Ukraine hits Russian Oil Depo - Trump47

BBC News Reports that the Ukraine has hit a big Russian Oil Depo on the Russian Black Sea.

Lets Get Real:

The US has to pull its finger out and end this WAR, this Trump's Woodrow Wilson moment, Wilson who had kept the US our of WW1 in till 1917, had enough by 1917, also the German threat from Mexico pushed Wilson to act.  Thus Trump must use secondary taxes on Countries buying Russian oil, he must close down the Russian economy, he has to be brave and take the fight to Moscow.  END this endless WAR.

Iran could close the Strait of Hormuz- Trump47

The Hill: Reports " Iran reportedly moves to close Strait of Hormuz after US attacks  "

Lets Get Real:

This would be a massive mistake by the theocracy in Tehran, it would destroy their funding through the selling of oil, and cause damage to the World economy, the Trump Administration would be forced to act as did the Reagan Administration in the late 80s when the US had to convoy tankers through the Gulf.  It is more likely that the Iranian Regime will target one of the US bases in the region, this would be a mistake, this would also force the US to act.  If Tehran was smart it would DO NOTHING, complain yes but nothing, Iran cannot win a war against the US, Iran is not Iraq, there would be no US troops in Iran, as Tehran killed US Soldiers through the region since 1979 revolution.

Two Iranian Soldiers killed in Israeli strike - Middle East Crisis - Biden Era

BBC News reports in its 9.27am post that 2 Iranian soldiers were killed in the Israeli strike on Iran.

Lets Get Real:

Sir Keir Starmer has called on Iran not to counter strike, its good advice, Iran cannot win a war against Israel.   The US so far has persuade Israel not to go after Irans oil and nuclear facilities, Jerusalem will only hold back for so long, Tehran should take its medicine and get over it, an all out WAR, would be a disaster for the Middle East.

Biden does not want Israel to hit Iranian Oil Sources- Middle Eaat Crisis - Biden Era

 Guardian  reports in its 7.42pm post that POTUS does not want Israel to hit Iranian oil sites.

Lets Get Real:

POTUS is a security risk, he does not want Israel to hit Iran's nuclear sites, NOW its Iran's oil sites.  ONE does hope that the Israeli Government does not listen to the Oval, Biden is an appeaser, on his way out.  At least Trump supports Israel NOW, we shall see if this helps Trump  in the Swing States.   In Biden, Tehran have its own Neville Chamberlain, the appeasing PM of the 1930s.

OPEC+ BACKSTABS the US over Oil - Biden Era

The White House: Has a Statement by the White House on the decision of OPEC+ to reduce Oil in the system and thus increase prices, "  The President is disappointed by the shortsighted decision by OPEC+ to cut production quotas while the global economy is dealing with the continued negative impact of Putin’s invasion of Ukraine. At a time when maintaining a global supply of energy is of paramount importance, this decision will have the most negative impact on lower- and middle-income countries that are already reeling from elevated energy prices......At the President’s direction, the Department of Energy will deliver another 10 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to the market next month, continuing the historic releases the President ordered in March. The President will continue to direct SPR releases as appropriate to protect American consumers and promote energy security, and he is directing the Secretary of Energy to explore any additional responsible actions to continue increasing domestic production in the immediate term.....In light of today’s action, the Biden Administration will also consult with Congress on additional tools and authorities to reduce OPEC’s control over energy prices.....With the passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, the U.S. is now poised to make the most significant investment ever in accelerating the clean energy transition while increasing energy security, by increasing our reliance on American-made and American-produced clean energy and energy technologies.  "

Lets Get Real:

One can assume that the Presidential visit to Saudi Arabia did not build bridges with the regime, that is what happens when you castgate its leader in your Presidential campaign, as Biden did in 2020 and then go and ask for a favour.  Less oil in the system, helps Russia with its fight with the West, Putin's Kremlin will be very happy, thus the Biden Oval will have to make sure that oil prices do not go up before the November Mid Terms, and also that Western Allies have enough power to prevent power cuts, in that case this would be Germany.  It could be a very cold winter in Europe.   Thus one can see the Putin strategy, weaken Europe through the Winter, force them to place pressure on Ukraine to give up areas to Russia, also if that does not happen, have a low yield nuclear bomb ready to go if the Russians take more losses, even Russia State media is starting to brake, the Russian people cannot say they do not know what is going on, the young men of Russia are heading for the borders, the gossip about the deaths will get through, this happened during the Russian invasion of Afghanistan in the 1980s.  Putin does not have all the time in the World. 

West MUST SUPPORT UKRAINE - UK PM - Ukraine - Russia War - New Cold War 2

BBC News: Reports " Boris Johnson has said leaders must be honest about rising costs due to the Ukraine war, but said the price of Russia succeeding was "far higher".  "

Lets Get Real:

The US and the West faces a cost of living crisis, coming out of COVID - 19, then there is inflation, in part inflation is being driven by the Ukraine - Russia War, the fact that oil prices have gone up, due to the WAR.  Also the Russians are keeping grain of Ukraine has hostage, thus a part of the cost of living crisis. The Russian President has no shame, he has shown that he is a WAR CRIMINAL, he has allowed his troops to do WAR CRIMES with no action.  The destruction of the East of Ukraine, is a WAR CRIME.  The Western Leaders have to explain to voters, that the West cannot afford to allow Russia to WIN, any success by Russia is a threat to Europe, also it might to LEAD to World War 3. 

Joe Biden's Approval rating at 41.3% - Toast Time for Joe - Mid Terms Nov - General Election 2024

Gallup: Reports " During Joe Biden's fifth quarter in office, which began on January 20 and ended on April 19, an average of 41.3% of U.S. adults approved of the job he was doing as president.  "

Lets Get Real:

It is toast time for Joe Biden, he needs inflation to go down by November, or look like its going down, he has to beat Putin in the Ukraine, and he needs to give the impression that he has not gone gaga.  Let's be clear, Biden is no Reagan or Clinton, will he change if he gets a thumping in the Mid Terms, from his present polices so far one has to say that Biden does not know how to outrun his base and get on the good side of the US voter.  In a few weeks Title 42 comes to an end at the border, after this finishes one can expect a massive migration surge, that will not go down well with the voter, they will see migration as a threat to jobs, also inflation could go up and Putin ambitions might not just be the Ukraine.  Thus POTUS has snookered himself, as reported in my previous post, Biden has told former President Obama that he wants to run again in 2024, if the Republicans take the House and Senate by big numbers, there will be pressure for Biden not to run, and for other candidates to comes out, otherwise Trump or someone Trump light could WIN in 2024. 

Biden TALKS to WESTERN LEADERS about Ukraine - Russian - Ukraine War - New Cold War 2

The White House: Readout of President Biden's talk with fellow Western Leaders, " President Joseph R. Biden, Jr. held a secure video call today with President Emmanuel Macron of France, Chancellor Olaf Scholz of Germany, and Prime Minister Boris Johnson of the United Kingdom.  The leaders affirmed their determination to continue raising the costs on Russia for its unprovoked and unjustified invasion of Ukraine.  They also underscored their commitment to continue providing security, economic, and humanitarian assistance to Ukraine.  In addition, they discussed their respective recent engagements with the Ukrainian and Russian presidents.  "

Lets Get Real:

The WEST has gone far with sanctions and various companies cancelling their links to Russia.  This HURTS the Russian people, and should get them out on the street to protest against Putin, the Russian President has had his forces arrest thousands of people, from OLD WOMEN to Children.  The WORDS WAR and INVASION has been made illegal when discussed in the context of the Ukraine, teachers have been told what to teach when it comes to the WAR in the UKRAINE.  The pressure is good and Putin himself has stated that the sanctions are akin to a declaration of WAR.  The pressure in Russia needs to be increased, the WEST, in this case the US, UK, Germany, Italy and the Netherlands have to cut their oil and gas consummation from Russia, this will really hurt Russia, if Putin cannot supply money to his WAR then the Russians will need to retreat.  Also the US and the West has to consider a NO FLY ZONE, who really thinks Putin will stop in the Ukraine if he wins, there is Poland next door and the Baltic States.  Thus better for the West to take charge of this Ukraine WAR, dare Putin to shoot down a NATO Plane, he might back off, there are no guarantees in WAR, but worth the risk, if WW3 has already started then time to advance WESTERN interests and dare Putin to ACT.

The West is addicted to Russian Oil and Gas - Russian - Ukraine War - New Cold War 2

BBC News - Live Blog: Reports in its 1.53pm post the following, " Now the taboo of taboos, known as energy security, looks like it may be smashed too. Russian violence against Ukraine is heaping pressure on the EU to impose energy sanctions. The bloc depends on Russia for 40% of its natural gas and a quarter of its oil imports....What’s the point of all the EU’s financial sanctions, if Vladimir Putin’s war chest is filled on a daily basis with oil and gas revenues, you might ask?  So here we are: the US and Ukraine’s indefatigable President Zelensky are leaning on Brussels to slap sanctions on oil imports at least.  "

Lets Get Real:

As noted in the article Germany, Italy might have a problem with the banning of Russian gas and oil, today oil is running $130 dollars, what might happen if Western Europe has to go and look for other area for oil.  It can be postulated China will take the extra oil, they might get it at a lower price from Putin, thus spurring on the ECONOMY of China as the WORLD comes out of COVID - 19.  The West has to make Putin lose in the Ukraine, otherwise the Russian Federation will be up to the Polish border, how long before Putin's complains about that and we risk Putin placing pressure on Poland and the NATO States, thus a chance of World War 3,so whatever happens in the Ukraine, Russian and PUTIN must be stopped whatever the cost to the consumers of OIL AND PETNROL, its that on World War 3 down the road.  The economic sanctions of the West will hurt Russia and the Russian people, but half of the population support the action in the Ukraine, they have been feed Russian lies by Putin, he controls TV and the Press.  The word INVASION and WAR has been declared illegal by the     Russian Duma and men, women and even children are being arrested if they oppose the WAR.