US Support for the Ukraine could LEAD to Conflict - Russia - Ukraine - Russia War - Biden Era

BBC News - Live Blog: Reports in its 1.03pm post the following, " Russia warns US of direct military clash risk....The US's decision to send more military aid to Ukraine "increases the danger of a direct military clash" between Russia and the West, Russia's ambassador in Washington has warned.  "

Lets Get Real:

The Russians are losing in the Ukraine, the Ukrainian Army is pushing the Russians faster than they can run, and there must be a FEAR that Putin will use a low yield nuclear bomb in the the Ukraine sector.  The Russians are moving their nuclear train close to the Ukraine border, one does hope that Putin has not gone MAD, is there any one in the Kremlin bunker to tell him to STOP.  The reason the Russian soldiers could be moving to fast could be they think that Putin has decided to use a nuke, and they do not want to fall victim to that, that is just a THEORY of this blog.  Putin is like a cornered rat, he might bite at any time and any direction.   KYIV Government has the Russians on the run, they should push hard before winter comes and the ground and weather makes it cold to fight, very much like World War 1 over again. 

Nord Stream 1 & 2 pipelines Sabotaged - EU

BBC News: Reports " The EU has said leaks in two major gas pipelines from Russia to Europe were caused by sabotage - but stopped short of directly accusing Russia.  "

Lets Get Real:

Thus the West has Russia in the FRAME for the leaks in the Nord Stream pipelines 1 &  2, the operation is complex at that depth, either the Russians sent expert crew down to place the explosions or they sent a bomb through the pipelines, either way it benefits Russia, the Kremlin will want to divert attention from the 4 referendums in the Ukraine that will allow Russia to annex 15% of the Ukraine.  The question why would the Russian sabotage their own pipelines, that is easy, there is no gas going through them at the minute, the Russians want the West to have extreme economic pain when it comes along, they can say, if the West had not placed on sanctions on Russia, then the Russians would have made sure that no accidents happened to the lines, thus making the point, if you want gas for the winter, for individuals and business you have to play ball with the Kremlin.  One can expect the French, Germany, Italy to buckle, there people from individuals and business need Russian Gas while they look for gas in other areas.  Thus the Kyiv Government will come under pressure to do a DEAL with Putin, the question is will the US and the UK back Ukraine, it could be a very cold winter. 

Truss Government to CAP Energy Costs = 150 Billion - Truss Era/After Boris/After Brexit

Sky News: Reports " Liz Truss to set out plan to help households and businesses with soaring energy costs....reported to cost up to £150bn.  "

Lets Get Real:

PM Truss is going BIG, she knows that this decision on a cap on energy prices will either lift her in the polls, ready for the 2024 general election or it will sink her.  The freeze of gas prices should go down well with the voters, and help for business will save jobs.  Also inflation will go down.  The cost of the scheme, will be paid by future generations, life is tough, but then in the decades ahead, most of us will be pushing up the daises, thus not our problem.  The Labour Party will find it hard to argue that the scheme is WRONG, the Truss Government is nicking their idea, that is the problem with Opposition, you might come up with a good idea, then the Government takes it on and their idea.  The Labour Party wants a windfall tax, Truss has said a CLEAR NO, this is against Conservative theory, the Chancellor Sunak has already taxed the companies with a windfall tax, this was opposed by Truss in her leadership contest with Sunak.  The polls will be interesting, one would think that the Conservatives would narrow the lead with Labour, also the tax cuts should also gain support.  Thus far so good for Truss. 

No Gas from Russia to Europe - Reaction to Western Sanctions - Ukraine - Russian War

Guardian: Reports " Russia will not resume gas supplies to Europe until sanctions lifted, says Moscow...Kremlin blames western sanctions for failure to deliver gas through Nord Stream 1 pipeline  "

Lets Get Real:

This shows that the Western sanctions are working, the Russians are using the only economic tool they can against Europe.  The Germans are going to spend 65 billion to help the German people, this is down the gas hikes on the market due to the fact that Russia has invade the Ukraine and the West is supporting the KYIV Government through the use of sanctions, it is expected that PM Liz Truss will spend one hundred billion on keeping the gas prices at a lower level for customers due to the price hikes on the market.  One can only hope that it will be a mild winter, otherwise the West will be tested, one only hopes that the British people show the spirit our great grandfathers and grandfathers showed during WW2.  A testing time for the West. 

Luhansk Update - Ukraine - Russian War - New Cold War 2

BBC New - Live Blog: Reports in its 12.37pm post the following, " Losing Luhansk 'a setback for Ukraine'.....The main news out of Ukraine today is the fall over the weekend of the strategically important city of Lysychansk in the eastern region of Luhansk - part of the industrial area known as the Donbas - which Russia says it is fighting to "liberate".  "

Lets Get Real:

It has not been a good few days for the Kyiv Government, it has lost numerous cities in the Donbas Region, it did retake SNAKE ISLAND, but these victories are few, the Biden Oval will have to decide sooner or late, to either cut bait, that mean no more high class military weapons for the Ukraine or start to send in combat troops, the US and the West must have gone through their stores of defensive weapons, it will take Western troops to push the Russian back, its coming sooner or later, with the US its always LATER, in 1917 and 1941, at least this time the UK does not have combat troops in the fight, but how long can that last. If Putin is ILL, he will want to take as much of East Ukraine as possible, the West must rearm the Kyiv Government, or it could become a LONG WAR of attrition, the Russians have the men while the West has the weapons for now, something has to give either on the military side or the political side. 

West MUST SUPPORT UKRAINE - UK PM - Ukraine - Russia War - New Cold War 2

BBC News: Reports " Boris Johnson has said leaders must be honest about rising costs due to the Ukraine war, but said the price of Russia succeeding was "far higher".  "

Lets Get Real:

The US and the West faces a cost of living crisis, coming out of COVID - 19, then there is inflation, in part inflation is being driven by the Ukraine - Russia War, the fact that oil prices have gone up, due to the WAR.  Also the Russians are keeping grain of Ukraine has hostage, thus a part of the cost of living crisis. The Russian President has no shame, he has shown that he is a WAR CRIMINAL, he has allowed his troops to do WAR CRIMES with no action.  The destruction of the East of Ukraine, is a WAR CRIME.  The Western Leaders have to explain to voters, that the West cannot afford to allow Russia to WIN, any success by Russia is a threat to Europe, also it might to LEAD to World War 3. 

EU afraid to CUT OFF Russian Gas - Latest on Sanctions- Russian Gas - Russian - Ukraine War - New Cold War 2

BBC News - Live Blog: Reports in its 12.13pm post the following, " There is no consensus among the EU's 27 members on winding down the use of Russian natural gas - a fuel which has not yet been targeted by EU sanctions " 

Lets Get Real:

The main reason that the EU cannot cancel Russian Gas is that some members need the GAS to keep their economies  going on, the main culprit is Germany and it will take a some time for Berlin to find other sources to replace the Russian Gas.  The money that Berlin is sending to Russia is BLOOD MONEY, the reason being that Putin funds his war in the Ukraine with the money from Germany.  Thus in a indirect manner Berlin is supporting genocide of the people of the Ukraine.  The Germans should bend their heads down in SHAME, have they learned nothing from World War 2, the Kremlin must laughing its backside off.  The EU has shown in many respects a UNITED FRONT, with some harsh sanctions on Russia, but they have failed to take down PUTIN by saying NO to Russian Gas. 

Hungary ODD MAN OUT - No on SANCTIONS - Russian - Ukraine War - New Cold War 2

BBC News - Live Blog: Reports in its 12.43pm post the following, " The EU has been agonising over energy sanctions for weeks.....Hungary, in particular, is seen as a potential road-block. It’s heavily reliant on Russian supplies, while the government of the recently re-elected Hungarian Prime Minister, Viktor Orban, has voiced clear opposition to sanctions.  "

Lets Get Real:

The Hungarian people must have forgotten the 1956 invasion of Hungary by the then USSR.  The re-elected leader of Hungary is CLOSE to Putin, the US and other EU and NATO Allies must place pressure on Hungary, do they want to be in the EU and NATO, how can we trust them if they are loyal to the Kremlin.  The EU on the whole must ACT AS ONE, when it comes to sanctions, the Hungarians have a VETO as all Countries do.  The EU is sending billions to Putin due to its need of Russian gas, the EU, and individual countries as such as Germany and Hungary really need to cut ties with Putin's Russia.   When it comes to more tougher action by the EU and NATO one can see Putin using GAS as a blackmail to get these Countries to get these Countries to block sanctions or prevent Sweden or Finland becoming members of NATO.  The West has to be hard and firm with Putin, that is the only thing he understands, Putin if he ever had one is stamped with KGB running through it.

France increases military and humanitarian support for Ukraine - Russian - Ukraine War - New Cold War 2

BBC News - Live Blog: Reports the following in its 2.09pm post, " France promises to increase military and humanitarian aid to Ukraine.....The US, France and other allies have provided Kyiv with hundreds of long-range artillery pieces to help it counter Moscow's offensive in the Donbas region of eastern Ukraine.  "

Lets Get Real:

Thus one can assume after getting re-elected the French President feels he has a free hand when it comes to foreign policy, also one can postulated that Macron was tired of being lied to by Putin in face and over the phone.  This follows the US President's request for 33 billion from the US Congress as to support the Kyiv Government, 20 billion of that going to military support.  The Biden Oval has come around to the idea that they MUST WIN in the Ukraine and Putin cannot be allowed to have a victory rally that he wants on May 9th.  The Ukraine Army has to push the Russians out of the Ukraine and if possible  OUT OF THE CRIMEA.  The War in the Ukraine should be Putin's 1905 moment, when the people came out on the street of Russia and demanded reform, thus the Tsar had to give a bit to end the revolution, thus Putin must be forced to give Russia back its DEMOCRACY.  Putin is the problem and his removal is the solution. 

Russian THREAT to other Western consumers of Russian Gas - Russian - Ukraine War - New Cold War 2

Guardian - Live Blog: Reports in its 12.51pm post the following, " Russia warns it may cut natural gas supplies to other EU countries....Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov has warned that other European Union customers may be cut off from Russian natural gas supplies if they refuse to pay in roubles.  "

Lets Get Real:

This is a BLUFF by Moscow, no money and they cannot carry on with the WAR in the Ukraine.  Will they really cut off Germany, one has doubts, the Germans would find someone else to give them the gas and make sure they cannot be blackmailed by the Russians.  The West as a whole, should decide to CUT ALL GAS from Moscow, this would end the WAR in the Ukraine faster than any military supplies and force Moscow to peace talks.  If the West, well Europe can find other suppliers the Russia would find itself BROKE in a matter of weeks or months.  Putin wants to switch the Russia view to Asia, does China really want to get involved in the Ukraine War and cause sanctions to be placed on itself, one hopes China is to SMART to do that. So Putin bring your best game, the West will out last you and your regime. 

US STOPS Russia paying its debts, could lead to default - Russian - Ukraine War - New Cold War 2

Guardian - Live Blog: Reports in its 10.46am post the following, " US stops Russian dollar bond payments in bid to raise pressure on ..... The US government has ratcheted up the financial pressure on Russia, by halting its ability to make debt payments in dollars through US banks.  "

Lets Get Real:

The WEST and in this case the US as leader of the WEST should place an embargo on ALL RUSSIAN GOODS, the Russians economy is being hurt with the sanctions but it has not forced the people on to the streets to protest, after the August Coup of 1991 the Russian people got on to the street and protested, and they WON, in 1917 there was the Russian Revolution because WW1 had gone WRONG for Imperial Russia. That lead to a default by Russia, there was a technical default in 1998 but then the IMF saved the Russian bacon, they will not this time. The Russian people have to be forced on to the street, there should be no WESTERN IMPORTS in to Russia, the Russians should see empty shelves, for older Russians it should bring back memories of the  old USSR.  Putin wants to take Russia back to his glory days of the OLD USSR, well we should help him, STOP ALL TRADE with Russia, force the Russian people to start asking questions about the WAR IN THE UKRAINE and get them out on the street to protest, large crowds, to overwhelm the Russian system.

Russian Gas and the Western Europe - Russian - Ukraine War - New Cold War 2

BBC News - Live Blog: Reports the following in its 11.34am post, " Russian gas accounts for about 40% of the EU's natural gas imports but the bloc says it is working to reduce its dependence. If this supply was halted, Italy and Germany would be especially vulnerable.  "

Lets Get Real:

As long as the WEST funds the Putin Government the war in the Ukraine will not come to an end, Germany and Italy must be forced to see the TRUTH, their consumption of Russia Gas is leading the killing of innocent people.  If Berlin and Rome turn off the gas they will need support from the rest of the Western Europe when it comes to a replacement, the Germany and Italian economy will take a major hit, but it will STOP the war in the Ukraine, as Moscow will run out of money.  The banking sanctions, freezing the assets of banks, the sanction of those rich close to Putin ha snot worked so far, the Russians are still causing havoc in the South East Ukraine, they want o create land corridor between the Crimea and East Ukraine.  The West has to arm the Ukrainian Forces, with all that they need, the Russians must lose and be seen to lose.

Will Russia HALT Gas to the West? - Russian - Ukraine War - New Cold War 2

Guardian - Live Blog: Reports in its 2.48pm post the following, " Germany and France have again rejected demands by Russia that European countries pay for its gas in rouble as an unacceptable breach of contracts, adding that the manoeuvre amounted to “blackmail”, Reuters report.  "

Lets Get Real:

Putin is trying to con the West the he will STOP the gas to the West, he cannot do that, the Russian economy would founder and Putin could not afford to carry on with his WAR in the Ukraine.  The above is KREMLIN move to see if it can split the West on the issue of gas and its support for the Ukraine.  One does wonder if Putin is that out of it, that he only sees what he wants to see and cannot accept that the WAR was a massive mistake.  If Russia cuts off the GAS the European economy would take a major blow, but it would show that the West could not be blackmailed by Russia.  The West should still pay for its gas through using DOLLARS or EUROS, if the Russians have a problem, then its their fault, they invaded the Ukraine and NOW they are paying the political price. 

The THREAT to CUT OFF Gas from Russia to Europe - Russian - Ukraine War - New Cold War 2

Sky News - Live Blog: Reports in its 1.39pm post the following, on the Russian demand that Europe pays for its gas in Roubles, " Germany's energy minister has said meeting the demand would be a "one-sided and clear breach of the existing contracts".....He added that "payment in rouble is not acceptable and we will urge the companies affected not to follow [Russian President Vladimir] Putin's demand"....In retaliation, a Russian politician said the G7's refusal will definitely lead to a halt in supplies, according to Ria news agency.   "

Lets Get Real:

The Russians are bluffing, without the money from the West the Russian State would fall apart and the War in the Ukraine would be OVER FAST,  and the Western economy would be stalled.  Thus the Russians have bluffed using the WRONG weapon, if they threatened a NATO country that would get the attention of the West and the US.  That is also a bad move, NATO has 30 Countries and Russia just has Russia at the end the day, the West would wipe the floor with the Russians, and any major defeat from that would bring down the the Putin Regime, of course that is based on Putin being semi sane, if he has gone off his rocker that is a different game, and the West should be calling for REGIME CHANGE.  The question is, is Putin a great poker player or has he lost the deck and is striking at what he can.   The next few days will be interesting on that count.