Lets Get Real:
The view from the Ukraine military is that Putin will invade in late January or early February, of course Putin might think, what hell, why wait, invade while Biden is dealing with low poll numbers and wanting to get his domestic agenda through, it has gotten through the House the Senate is the problem. The Kremlin might think that Biden is WEAK and is the new Neville Chamberlain, the appeasing UK PM in the 1930s after his actions over Afghanistan. Also Iran might be the focus of the Biden Oval, it has just been reported that the IAEA has failed to get an agreement with the Tehran Regime to review its nuclear progress while the US - Iran has been frozen with the Trump Oval leaving the agreement. It can be postulated that the liberal Democratic West is in the same phase as the 1930s, to frighten to do anything and when its to late, leading to WAR, so Putin might try his luck, one hopes the Western Leaders kind find their inner Churchill or Reagan. Putin wants to reform the OLD USSR or as close as he can get, what next after the Ukraine, the Baltic States?