Jim Jordan the NEXT Speaker ? - 2024 Candidate/2024 General Election

The Hill: Reports "  Jordan clinches Speaker nomination in GOP’s second go at the gavel...Jordan, currently chair of the House Judiciary Committee, earned 124 votes to win the nomination  "

Lets Get Real:

Former President Trump will be happy, he endorsed Jordan, and Jordan is in charge of the Committee investigating Biden for impeachment, of course he needs to get 217, the question is, it has to be asked, is the Republican Majority broken, does ever member see himself or herself as the next SPEAKER.  The DEMOCRATS are very united, they should win the HOUSE in 2024, the Republicans have made themselves a laughing stock, the have showed how not to run the people's HOUSE. There could be more fun if Jordan does not get to 217.

Rep. Jim Jordan has the support of Trump - Speakership vote - 2024 Candidate/General Election 2024

BBC News: Reports " Trump endorses Jim Jordan for House Speaker.. Donald Trump has endorsed staunch conservative Congressman Jim Jordan's bid to become the next Speaker of the House of Representatives.  "

Lets Get Real:

There was talk that Trump would not mind being temporary Speaker of the House, that has faded with this news from Trump.  Jordan would follow the whims of Donald Trump and will go ahead with the impeachment of President Biden should Trump want it.   Thus far a lot of smoke from the impeachment inquiry but no hard facts as CNN keeps saying.  The Republican nomination fight is looking like a coronation for Trump, Haley or DeSantis have to take the fight to Trump, take him down before Iowa and New Hampshire.  Otherwise it is a re-match between Trump and Biden. It will lead to the same result, a Biden win, the Ukraine needs American money and weapons to win. 

The bid to oust the House Speaker starts - 2024 Candidate/General Election - Biden Era

Guardian: Reports "  Matt Gaetz introduces motion to oust Kevin McCarthy as House speaker....Far-right congressman files motion after expressing outrage at speaker’s bipartisan effort to avoid government shutdown  "

Lets Get Real:

This is all about Matt Gaetz wanting to get rid of the Speaker, because they do not like each other, its personal.   Matt Gaetz did state that he was worried about the national debt, he has a point, but everyone knows its personal hatred, there for he has only a few supporters, but all he needs is 5 members of the Republican majority to support him, then the Speaker it out, as long as Democrats support the motion, will they sit on their ands or save the Speaker because of the Ukraine.  politics at this micro level in fun, no one can be trusted!! 

Update:  

The Speaker was ousted , the first time in history, 8 of fellow Republicans voted against him and the Democrats took short term pleasure in getting rid of the Speaker, the results is that the House is on pause, and Former Speaker Pelosi has lost her private office.  One of the candidates to replace McCarthy has already said that he opposes further funding for the Ukraine.  As Spiderman says, with great power comes responsibility, the Democrats would have been better off with a weakened Speaker in debt to the Democrats.  Thus the Democrats and Republicans have failed at basic politics. 

Special Counsel appointed to look at Classified Documents found in Biden residences - Biden Era

Sky News: Reports " Special counsel appointed to investigate classified documents found in Biden's home and former office...The first batch of documents were reportedly found in a "locked closet" on 2 November at an office the president used from 2017 to 2019. Now, aides have discovered a second batch at his home in Delaware.  "

Lets Get Real:

It can be postulated that the US Attorney General Merrick Garland has played this in a fair manner, in many respects he had no choice, he appointed a Special Counsel for the former President  Donald Trump, also the Republicans in the House and the Senate would have hit the roof if he had tried to keep the issue within the DOJ.  The question that has to be asked, will POTUS now run for a 2nd term, in the view of the DOJ a sitting President can not be charged with any crime, thus what if it becomes serious and the faults lie with Biden, will the US House impeach him ?, YES, is the simple answer if they think they have a case, the Democrats in the House and the Senate should keep their powder dry, they might not want to jump on the Biden boat if it turns out to be the Titanic.  Interesting times ahead, if nothing else to see the CNN anchors getting their knickers in to twist is stating that the Biden and Trump case are not like, good luck with that, people hear the term Special Counsel and assume the worst. 

The Biden Secret Files found and the POLITICAL reaction - Biden Era

The Hill: Reports " Biden gets new political headache with discovery of classified documents...The White House has downplayed the news that a small number of classified documents were found in an office Biden used between his vice presidency and presidential campaign  "

Lets Get Real:

The liberal elite media seems to have missed the point, the President held on to secret documents for six years, and four years out of office and two years as President, they were only found by his personal lawyers, on the day of the Mid Terms, it's not the finding them that will be the problem for the Biden Oval, it's WHY the Country was not informed of the matter on election day.  Who gave the word for the news to be withheld, that is the first question, who else saw the documents over six years, who handled them in ALL those YEARS.  Those on the right should expect the liberal elite to give Biden a PASS, they did that in 2020 when he was in his bunker.  The liberal elite press hate Trump, its has made them lose the plot.  As reported the secret files, were of the top rage, and covered the Ukraine, Iran and the UK.  The UK should also be asking questions, was there anything that could damage the UK, also the KYIV Government should be asking questions.  This story will go away, in less the Republican Congress can find something more, the rest of the elite media will try to duck the story, we have a Presidential election in 2024, they will bend over backwards to protect their guy in the Oval Office. 

McCarthy takes the House - Mr Speaker - 2022 Mid Terms - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports " Kevin McCarthy elected US House Speaker after 15 rounds of voting....Kevin McCarthy has been elected Speaker of the US House of Representatives after heated exchanges which almost saw fellow Republicans come to blows.  "

Lets Get Real: 

It took around 7am Saturday morning for the new Speaker to be elected, the US public saw what happens when the extreme got to decide who is the Speaker.  The new Speaker will be constrained by the extreme right, thus every thing that goes through the House will need their support, they will have a VETO over anything controversial, thus we come to the Ukraine WAR, will they support the Biden Agenda of supporting the Kyiv Government or will they support President Putin of Russia, as followed by President Trump.  The future of the Ukraine might hang on the Republicans in the House, IF I was in the Ukraine I would be very WORRIED.  The President of the Ukraine might have to visit the US again, to shore up support for the Ukraine. 

US House Speaker Vote or Votes - Day 4 - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports " Kevin McCarthy hopes for deal as US House Speaker fight hits day four...."

Lets Get Real:

This endless face of voting and voting has to come to an end, for once Former President Trump could be of use, he should threaten to support any candidate that challenges the Republican Rebels if they do get a move on.  It seems that Kevin McCarthy will have no power if he gets the gavel, he is making concessions ALL OVER THE PLACE.  The role of Speaker is only as powerful as the Speaker, if the Speaker can be thrown out at any time by any member it leads to chaos in the political process.  The Democrats do not get away from blame either, they could support some of their members getting to vote with the Republicans, no deals, just the right thing to do, think the TV show, West Wing on LSD, of course that will never happen, the costs are to much, and any deal like that would FALL apart as the Republicans still have 218 seats, a 4 seat majority.  Another long day then, get out the coffee. 

The House Speaker Vote - Day 3 - Biden Era

The Hill: Reports " GOP discusses new concessions in behind-the-scenes talks on making McCarthy Speaker...  "

Lets Get Real:

The last few days have been a disaster for the Republicans, the Democrats have come across as united when they are not, and the Biden Oval must be thinking that a Republican Congress will not be that BAD, if this is the way they behave to each other.  There are only so many concessions you can give as Speaker or it is pointless to have the job, if you go to talks with POTUS, he knows that you might have real difficulties in getting anything through the House Republicans never mind the Congress.  The arch problem is that the Trump supporters are no longer listening to him, they have gone rogue, and have gone off the reservation, how does the former President get them under control again, he should threaten to support any candidate against those that remain rouge, his influence might be low State wide but in the Republican Primary his can be the support that pushes a candidate pass the winning line.  These endless votes cannot go on, nothing can be done on the Hill without a Speaker. 

US House Adjourning till 8pm Tonight - Biden Era

Guardian - Live Blog: Reports in its 9.39pm post the following, " House is adjourning until 8pm ET...This will give members about three and a half hours to hash things out. McCarthy could try to make deals with Republican holdouts – or bow out.  "

 Lets Get Real:

This has been a disgrace by the Republican Party, where are the elder Statesmen of the Party, and more important how come former President Trump has not done more, they are his followers, or have they gone totally rogue, the US image around the World is taking a battering by the extreme right in the Republican Party.  The Democrats will be drinking out of these past two nights for years, the extreme right is making the Squad on the Democratica side look stable, and that is saying something.   It is time for some back room deals, it has to be made clear to the 20, that when the Republicans take the Speakership that their actions will not be forgotten if they carry on this way, one can see the political adverts already for 2024, Biden will be laughing his backside off, the Republicans have to unite behind McCarthy or someone else, and it has to be done either tonight or tomorrow, the Party of Lincoln and Reagan are making the US look like a banana Republic, this has to STOP.   

Trump BACKS Kevin McCarthy for Speaker - Biden Era

Sky News: Reports " Trump backs Kevin McCarthy for new speaker as Republican hardliners block appointment amid chaos in US House...It is the first time in 100 years that a nominee for House speaker failed to be appointed on the first vote with the process leaving the Republicans bitterly divided, despite taking control of the House in the recent elections.  "

Lets Get Real:

Thus TRUMP has spoken, the question is will the extreme right even listen to him, in the Mid Terms Trump got his candidates to be the nominee, but they LOST BIG TIME, Thus there are limits to the power of the Trump when it comes to general election, the extreme right might think they can buck Trump, as Trump might not be the nominee the next time, let's not forget his legal problems and his base in the Party is about 30% to 35%, it depends how many candidates there are for the nomination, if there are a lot the base vote that Trump has could be enough to get him the nomination.  Thus Trump must really place pressure on those holdouts in the House, he should remind them that he can get candidates to run against the in the Primaires, let's see if he has the guts to play hardball with his own followers.  Fun day ahead with new rounds for the choosing of a House Speaker.  No prediction from this blog on the outcome of this election, the freedom caucus is bonkers!

The Speaker of the House Part 2 - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports " US House in chaos after Kevin McCarthy loses speaker votes  "

Lets Get Real:

The House Democrats must be having fun, seeing the Republicans tear themselves apart, they should worry also, if the Party gets a Republican Speaker, that does not mean Kevin McCarthy or it might be him,  he will have to follow the wants of the extreme right, thus a lot of Congressional investigations in to Afghanistan and Hunter Biden.  Down the road the Biden Oval will be looking at moderate Republicans who might vote with the Democrats on different parts of the Biden Agenda, and to see how they can get these Republicans to agree to go against the party will.  One hopes that after a good night's rest and some deals in smoke filled rooms, the Republican Party can nominate a Speaker who can get 218 votes.  It is always good to have oversight of the a Administration, the Democrats allowed the Biden Oval to get away with its disastrous Afghanistan policy and showed no interest in Hunter Biden.  It could be a long day, it's fun watching the sausage ( how politics really works ) as its being made.  That is why US politics is so fun, and now the Yanks cannot complain about our three PM's in a year and our mini budget.

Crisis Point 1 - Ukraine Drones hits Russian Base in Russia - Ukraine - Russian War - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports " Ukraine war: Drone attack on Russian bomber base leaves three dead "

Lets Get Real:

This is BAD PR for the Kremlin, the Ukraine Air Forces is starting to hit Russia prober with Drones, just as the Kremlin is using Iranian Drones to hit the Ukraine.  As the article notes the Russians have used that base as a launch pad for their attacks on the Ukraine.  The WINTER WAR will be one of attrition on the ground, the Ukraine and Russian Forces will be fighting from the trenches, and will have to cope with the snow, mud, water, all the typical hallmarks of World War One is Western Europe.  The Ukraine Government has stated that they expect a Russian attack from the North and that Putin will try for Kyiv in the NEW YEAR.  There has been speculation that Belarus might join the War in the support of Russia, as their leader owes his time in OFFICE to President Putin.  President Biden must keep his nerve, he must not allow another Afghanistan, and the Reagan Republicans in the Republican Party have to support the funding of the Ukraine and its forces.  One does think about the poor people of the Ukraine, in bomb shelters, no power or light, to think this happening in Europe in the 21st Century. 

President Zelensky of the Ukraine arrives in the US - Ukraine - Russian War - Biden Era

BBC News - Live Blog: Reports on remarks by the US Secretary of State on the arrival of President Zelensky to the US, in its 5.35pm post, " Blinken welcomes Zelensky with $1.85bn military aid package....US Secretary of State Antony Blinken has released a statement welcoming the Ukrainian president - and outlining new military aid...Blinken confirms the US will provide Ukraine with the advanced Patriot air defence system to help Kyiv counter Moscow's missile attacks.  "

Lets Get Real:

The Ukraine President will be wanting carry on the relationship with the Biden Oval but also make an impression on the in coming Republican majority in the House.  It is clear that Trump supporters in the Republican Majority want to scale back the money and military kit that the US gives to the Ukraine.  Thus the Ukrainian President will have to bring his top game to his meetings with Biden and to the speech before the US Congress.  There are still Reagan Republicans and moderates, who have not fallen in line with Trump, also by recent polls is a busted flush, a LOSER BIG TIME.  The US and the Ukraine Presidents meeting will upstage Putin, the Kremlin is still going on with its WAR in the Ukraine and blaming the West, there hardly seems any real opposition to Putin in Russia, not many stories of people going out in the street to protest the WAR on the Ukraine, it only happened at the start of the War and when Putin called up men to fight in the Ukraine.  It seems it will take a Court Coup to get rid of Putin, his very rich friends have seen what happens to those that oppose Putin, either they end up DEAD by falling through windows or they find that their assets and taken away from them, or they end up in jail.  The all cannot be fleckless cowards!

Kyrsten Sinema Leaves the Democrats in the US Senate

BBC News: Reports " US Senator Kyrsten Sinema says she will leave Democratic Party "

Lets Get Real:

This in effects makes Senators Sinema and Manchin the most powerful Democrats in the US Senate, the Democrats have a nominal  51 to 49 majority over the Republicans, thus if the past is an indicator, these two Senators will not support scrapping the filibuster, thus helping the Republicans to block the Democratic Agenda.   The Senator has been a wildcard for the past few years, she will sit as an Independent in the US Senate, when difficult votes comes up, it will be she and Manchin who decide its fate.  The Republicans should be taking Senator to a lot of dinners, to try to butter her up, and stress the fact that the Democratic Party has gone HARD LEFT with Biden in the White House, and if she wants to get re-elected in 2024 she will need the backing of the Republicans is she cannot win a Democratic Primary.  Thus on the whole not good news for POTUS, he has had a good winning streak, so far, the economy is good when it comes to jobs, it looks like former President Trump wants to be the Republican nominee in 2024, thus far he is burning up his own candidacy, he has gone extreme right, he wants to suspend the US Constitution, and has had a dinner with a racists, he seem to have LOST THE PLOT. Thus good chance Biden can win in 2024 if keeps up this winning streak and does not do another Afghanistan. 

Iran and the bomb - Developing Crisis - Biden Era

CNN: Reports  " Nuclear watchdog says Iran enriching up to 60% at underground Fordow nuclear facility...Weapon-grade uranium is considered to have been enriched above 90%.  "

Lets Get Real:

The Tehran Regime is sending a CLEAR MESSAGE, that it is going nuclear, one can assume that Iran has been enriching weapon grade uranium in secret, the Tehran Regime has shown that it can lie and kill its own people will ease.  This is a fast developing crisis, one would not be shocked to wake up with breaking news that Iran has the bomb or that it has been bombed by the US or its Allies, in this case being Israel.  It can be stated that Israel will never allow IRAN to have the bomb, they have being saying this for years, one has to assume that Iran already has the bomb, and the latest news above is an attempt to slow walk to the the acceptance that Iran has the bomb.  The Biden Administration has failed to appease Iran with getting the Obama - Iran nuclear deal back on track, in that time Iran has used its time well.  The Tehran Government faces mass protests in the streets due its religious rule, the Tehran Regime might want to divert attention by going or getting the bomb.  The Biden Oval does not want another North Korea, thus better to deal with the problem NOW, and not regret it later.

Trump declares 3rd Run for the US Presidency - Biden Era/General Election 2024

Sky News: Reports " Trump says he's back to 'make America great again' - now prepare for the mother of all fights....Mr Trump has made the first move; the first Republican to announce his candidacy for president. Prepare now for the mother of all internal power struggles. "

Lets Get Real:

NO,NO,NO, PLEASE NO, not another Trump campaign to become POTUS, 2016 was bad enough and he won, he lost 2020 to Biden and has never accepted the votes of the US public.  The Republican Party will go in to civil war, the D.C Establishment has to Crown ONE candidate to take on Trump, if there are lot of candidates then Trump wins, he holds around 30% of the Party, and that could be enough to give him the nomination.  The thought of another Biden vs Trump match up drives this blog to drink.  They are both to OLD and it is showing, Biden is not all there, and Trump is just self deluded and dangerous to the US national security.  If it comes down to these two candidates, then this blog will be supporting Biden, God Help the US and the West.

A NEW wave of Russian Missile Attacks on the Ukraine - Ukraine - Russia War - Biden Era

Guardian - Live Blog: Reports the following in its 2.14pm post, " The US ambassador to Ukraine, Bridget A Brink has described the series of attacks launched today by Russia on Ukraine as “another round of cruel attacks.”....She has tweeted to say....We will continue to stand with Ukrainians who have stayed strong in the face of Russia’s needless onslaught for months - and with those fighting to defend Ukraine.”  "

Lets Get Real:

The US NSA gives the impression that he wants to talk to the Russians, that is what the Russians want, they just want to talk to the US, they want to go back the old days, when the super powers alone decided what happened next.  The Ukraine victory in Kherson has to be countered in the view of the Russians, thus this new wave of attacks.  There can only be two results to the WAR, either the Ukraine wins with the support of the West, or the Russians win and we start the road to WW3.  The Biden Oval will have to get the drinks out if the Republicans take the House and get the moderate or Reagan Republican over for a drink, get them to support Biden Aid package to the Ukraine.  It can be argued that a lot of the new Republican members are on the same page as Trump, thus slow to pay for aid for the Ukraine, they might need Presidential pressure to support the US against Russia.  Also it  is expected today that Trump will announce his third run at the White House, the Biden Oval has to frame Trump as weak on national security and danger to the DEMOCRACY of the US, if Biden runs then this blog will support him against Trump any time.

The Republicans to TAKE the HOUSE - 2022 Mid Terms - Biden Era

The Hill: Reports " Republicans are one seat away from securing the 218 members they need to take control of the House chamber with key wins projected in Arizona and California late Monday.  "

Lets Get Real:

Let's assume the Republicans pick up the one seat they need, the CNN Label is starting to get on my nut, why are they behind RCP and the LIBERAL New York Times, they both have the Republicans on 2017 and CNN on 215, it is as if they do not want to displease their viewership.  CNN's early show is the toilet anyway WITH its ratings, they need to be seen as the Channel that gets the NEWS first, not waiting for everybody else to announce the results.  One can assume that the Biden Agenda is DEAD in the HOUSE, in less Biden can pick a few Republicans to support his aid to the Ukraine.  One still hopes that there are Reagan National Security types in the HOUSE after the Mid Terms.  The Winter is coming to the Ukraine, one can expect the WAR to calm down a bit, that allows the Russians to train their troops and give them update weapons, while the Kyiv Government can get new supplies from the West.  The Biden Administration should be ready to be investigated every way possible, HUNTER BIDEN should get some very good and expensive lawyers, the HARD NUTS of Republican membership will be looking to charge him for something, and if possible link it to his FATHER, POTUS.  The 2024 Race starts today, if as expected Donald Trump announces that he is running for a 3rd time, his losses during the Mid Terms would make most politicians wait, not the Donald, he needs the spotlight, the Republicans need a new face, what about the Governors of Virginia and Florida, thus that would be an interesting race. 

The Democrats KEEP the SENATE - Mid Terms - Biden Era/2024 Cycle Starts

BBC News: Reports " The Democrats will retain majority control of the US Senate after winning a pivotal race in the state of Nevada.....Republicans could still take control of the US House of Representatives as votes continue to be tallied... "

Lets Get Real:

The Mid Terms were a rebuke for Donald Trump and the Republican Party, the Trump has destroyed the national security, low taxes, small government agenda of Ronald Reagan, a great President.  The Republicans could still take the House, but his blog is not counting on that, the results so far have been dire for the Republicans.  On the whole POTUS can smile, the best result a President has had in decades, but, and there is always a BUT, the Democrats have to worry if Biden is heads the ticked in 2024 and the Republicans chose any one but TRUMP, this blog endorsed Hillary Clinton in 2016 and Joe Biden in 2020, if the Republican Party can get its ACT TOGETHER, then this blog might look again at the Republicans.  POTUS has a 40% approval rating, the US has high inflation, and wages are not matching inflation.  POTUS should have LOST THE CONGRESS, the US voter did not trust the Republicans in charge and under the influence of Trump, thus the vote in the Mid Terms for the Democrats.  Both Parties have a lot of soul searching to do before 2024.

Republican House Control ? - US Mid Terms - Biden Era

NBC News: Reports  on its projection for control of the House, " Though NBC News cannot project control of the House at this time, the Decision Desk has released its estimate for the U.S. House of Representatives as a whole, which reflects the most probable outcome for partisan control.."

Lets Get Real:

In their projection based on the present vote the Republicans take the House my a very small majority, in fact 4 SEATS, thus the if the NEW Speaker is a Republican he will have to keep a tight control on is members.  It only takes four or five of them to join the other side on different issues for the majority to disappear.  One can assume that Ukraine funding is SAFE, the Democrats it would assume can count on old style National Security Republicans, not followers of Trump to support the AID from the US to the Ukraine.  Also with such a small majority it will survive for two years, people resign, get ill etc, thus the Democrats should be ready to take back control.  The Biden Oval will be very happy, if the results follow through this will be smallest loss by President in decades, one can assume that the Senate will go Democratic, either by Seats or by the VP have the final vote should it be a 50/50 split.  Thus the race for 2024 starts NOW, Biden might like his chances for re-election, even more so if the Republican nominee is Donald Trump, that would be a mistaken conclusion, two years is a long time, and Biden might lose support, thus POTUS really has to think, does he want a 2nd term, what if the Republicans chose the newly re-elected Governor of Florida, younger than Biden, more the Trump agenda, without the FLAWS of TRUMP.