US OUT of long range precise missiles - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 6.09pm post the following, " US has used 'virtually all' of its long-range precision missiles during war, sources say "

Let's Get Real:

This is what happens when you only use bombing, Trump should have taken Kharg Island and close Iran's tap for oil at the start! It is not to late, to use ground troops and finish this WAR.  The use of ground troops is the one thing that would frighten the theocracy in Tehran.   Trump has lost all Presidential Credibility when it comes to the WORLD, no one is afraid of Trump anymore, he is loser, up there with Richard Nixon and LBJ, at least these two Presidents had major achievements, Nixon with China and better relationship with then then USSR and LBJ with the Great Society, Civil Rights and voting rights act o 1965. Trump has nothing to compare!

Former VP Harris and the 2028 Presidential race - Update

Guardian: Reports in its 7.59pm post the following, " Kamala Harris says she has "not made a decision" on potential 2028 run "

Let's Get Real:

It would be surprising if former VP Harris becomes the Nominee again, she lost it 2024, this blog can only think of 2 Presidents who came back from losing the general election, they were Nixon in 1968 after losing in 1960 and Trump in 2024 who lost it 2020, whatever he says on the subject.  In 2028, the 1st Democratic Primary will be South Carolina, a large African American vote, that should help Harris and Senator Booker.  The former is not a good candidate, one hopes the Democrats chose a moderate nominee like Bill Clinton or Obama at a push, the 2028 cycle should start after the Mid Terms, there a long list of potential Democratic candidates.

Trump warns Israeli PM and Iran - Update

Daily Mail: Reports " Frustrated Trump sends a chilling message to Netanyahu and vows to 'take out' Iran's final untouched nuclear site if deal is not reached "

Lets Get Real:

The Trump Oval does not like to be shown in up public by a friend, specially if that friend is Israel telling him that Iran has been placing its nuclear stockpile in another mountain after Trump bombed Iran last year over the fear of its nuclear stockpile.  The Trump Oval has given peace talks with Iran a chance, its never the last time with Iran, they have talks, shoot at tankers and then have further talks, they are playing Trump for a fool.  The Trump background is real estate and reality TV, he does not understand the Iranian mind set or how to win a WAR.  The President as stated in previous post is listening to his Vice President, J.D Vance, who more concerned about the 2028 race and if he can win the MAGA base and win the General Election.  LBJ made sure his VP kept to the script, he bugged his plane as to know in advance if his VP was about to break with him over the Vietnam War, while that was going on the FBI was bugging the South Vietnam Embassy and discovered that the Nixon Campaign was telling South Vietnam not to go the Paris peace talks.  It would be fair to say that LBJ kept quiet about it, as would cause a constitutional crisis and it would be something that LBJ had over Nixon, the Watergate caper of Nixon trying find out what the Democrats had on the affair, thus the fall of Nixon.

US to Iran tonight - Trump at NATO Summit, - Update

Guardian: Reports in its 6.00pm post the following, " Donald Trump warned the US is preparing to launch more strikes against Iran, after he said he considered the US-Iran truce to be “over”. " 

Let's Get Real:

This Trump playing games, will he carry through with his threat, this blog has its doubts, he has threatened Iranian civilization before and backtracked before the attacks.  The Trump Oval has to follow through, he has no Presidential Credibility on Iran, how many u - turns have we seen, more u turns than Sir Keir Starmer.  The American people support winners, appeasers and failures do not have good reviews, just ask Richard Nixon or LBJ.  Trump needs to win in Iran.

Trumps Deadline for Iran - Update

Guardian: Reports in its 5.55pm post the following, " Trump also cryptically posted “Tuesday, 8:00 P.M. Eastern Time!” on Truth Social on Sunday afternoon, probably referencing his new deadline for Iran.  "

Let's Get Real:

Will this be another TACO moment for Trump, or will convince himself that peace on hand.  If he was silent that would be strategic benefit, he is boxing himself in, what if Iran does not surrender, will he follow through to bomb Iran back to the stone age, the Democrats will go mental, they are already calling for the US Cabinet to invoke the 25 Amendment, a device to remove the President and replace him with VP, not going to happen, the Cabinet is spineless and YES men.  We live in interesting times. Is Trump following Nixon's Mad Man Theory, convince the other side that POTUS is mad and they better deal.  Nixon did it over Vietnam.

More Troops to the Middle East - Update

 

Guardian: Reports in its 8.23pm post the following, " Trump approves deployment of more than 1,000 extra soldiers to Middle East - reports  "

Let's Get Real:

This is an interesting development, the question is WHY, if the US has has a deal with Iran, why the extra troops, is he as cunning as Richard Nixon, just in case Iran says NO to the 15 points, POTUS can argue he tried his best before sending in Ground Troops to Kharg Island and switching the Iranian oil off, collapse the Regime by switching off the money.  

The VP Vance to the resue - Update

Guardian: Reports in its 12pm post the following, "  JD Vance could lead Iran peace talks for US side in Pakistan if negotiations go ahead - sources  "

Let's Get Real:

The VP it is reported against the War with Iran, if Trump wants to TACO ( see previous post )it would be good to send Vance to Pakistan for talks with Iran.  If the US has to appease Iran, better for the VP to do it, he said YES to be Trump's VP, thus must have known how erratic Trump is on the World Stage. VP's are there to be the image of the Administration if things go wrong, there is always the chance they could get the Oval via death, Resignation or impeachment of POTUS.  Vance needs Trump's support in 2028, for his run for the Presidency, thus he has cover for Trump over Iran, those are dues to being VP.

Is Greenland an ISSUE because the Donald "The Wimp " did not Get the Nobel Prize

BBC News: Reports in its 9.13am post the following, " Trump references lack of Nobel Peace Prize in letter to Norway's PM "

Lets Get Real:

So this is down to the Donald not getting the Nobel Peace Prize, POTUS is the last person who should get this prize, the Nobel Committee makes mistakes, it gave it to President Gorbachev but not to Reagan, on other hand they gave it Henry Kissinger, without Nixon, let's be fair they were a double act.  So the Donald does not think International law is a concerned to him or the role of Allies.   The US Cabinet and the US Congress should think about invoking the 25th Amendment, to replace Trump, he has lost the plot, his wanting Greenland could be a threat to NATO, one is sure VP Vance would not mind replacing a crazy President.  What about the Ukraine, they need a stable POTUS, and World Security is at stake.

Trump threats on Countries that do not support the US taking over Greenland - Update

Guardian: Reports in its 3.46pm post that US President Trump has threatened to place Tariffs on Countries that do not support his take over Greenland.

Lets Get Real:

This is a daft idea, even by Trump's standards, NATO would fall apart if he annexed Greenland, as he would have to place Tariffs on the whole of Europe.  Trump is a wimp, as shown by Iran policy.  Even Trump would not destroy NATO, if he did,  the US Congress would impeach him, and the Senate could force him out! Does he want to be another Nixon, one has doubts!  The Oval is turning in to blowhard of ideas that are not meet by reality.

VP Harris is running in 2028 OR I will eat my words - 2028 Race

 Fox News: Reports "Kamala Harris hints at possible 2028 run, says some call her 'most qualified candidate ever'....Harris said she was 'just speaking fact' after claiming some called her the 'most qualified candidate ever' to run for president  "

Lets Get Real:

The former VP and the Democratic Nominee is running in 2028, as if that is wise, the simple answer is NO, she is not the most qualified candidate ever, let's see from the modern period, the nuclear age, Truman in 1948, he dropped the bomb on Japan, the only President that has used nuclear weapons, Eisenhower planned D - Day and was a crafty President, he gave the impression that he played golf all the time, his hand was on the tiller so to speak.  Then in 1960 Nixon was the most qualified to be Ike's successor, Vice - President for 8 years and had a great mind, but he lost to the charming JFK.  LBJ has been President for a year before 1964 and was firm supporter of civil right, Senator Barry Goldwater was to right wing, in 1968 Nixon came back and beat LBJ's VP, of the two on cv it was Nixon. Thus Nixon swamped the Democratic Nominee in 1972.   In 1976 Reagan nearly beat President Ford for the nomination but lost by a 100 votes, Ford was beaten by Carter, neither was fit to be President.   In 1980 Reagan beat Carter by 44 States, he had been Governor of California and  and was more suited to being President since 1968, he was a dark horse candidates but lost to Nixon.  In 1984 Reagan beat former VP Mondale by 49 States, 525 Electoral College votes and 59% of the vote.   In 1988, Bush 41 Beat the Democratic Nominee because it was seen as Reagan's third term.  No future President has managed that kind of victory not even Obama.  In 19992 Clinton was the better politician if not the best man for the Presidency.   In 2000 VP Gore lost to Texas Governor Bush 43, either would have been a good fit for the Oval.  The 2004 election saw Bush 43 beat Senator Kerry, he was the better politician and he had been President on 9/11.   The age of Obama came in 2008 when he beat a WAR HERO, ego better than actual President, in 2012 he won re-election even if he had misjudged  Putin.  Thus we come to 2016, the election of Trump 45, he lost in 2020 to better candidate at the time, former VP Biden.   The President made a mistake of running in 2024 and the rest is history.

POTUS revokes Joe Biden's security clearance- Trump47

CNN Reports President Trump has revoked former President Biden's security clearance.

Lets Get Real:

Thus petty politics at play, Biden did the same to him and Trump won in 2024 and not VP Harris, so this is payback time, neither men understood at the time, that the club of former Presidents is very limited, so Presidents used to take care of their predecessors, as they would become former Presidents in time.   The advice of former Presidents is valuable, they are the men who have held the office.  Reagan valued the political advice and foreign viewpoint from Richard Nixon.  At the height of Iran - Contra Nixon wrote a note to Reagan, not to talk about the issue.  Reagan placed the note in his diary.  This is a lesson that neither Trump or Biden have learned.

Jimmy Carter's coffin at the US Capital- Trump 47

Guardian: Reports in its 9.37pm post that President Carter's coffin has arrived at the US Capital.

Lets Get Real:

I wonder if the press will be so nice to Trump when his day comes, it comes to all humans.  IT was said that politicians came to Nixon's funeral to make sure he was DEAD, they still feared Nixon.  President Clinton stated that Nixon should be remembered for more that one thing, WATERGATE,  the same thing could be said about Clinton and his affair with an intern, that happened a few years after Nixon died.  At lest Americans can do ceremony.

Judge closes down Federal case againsr Trump47- Trump47

BBC New  Reports that a Federal Judge has  closed a federal case against Trump47.

Lets Get Real:

AS sitting or future President  cannot be triad is a result for Trump47, let's hope he has learned his lesson and keeps inside the law for his second term as POTUS, I would not bet the house on it, Trump loves to cross the Line,, and see what the Establishment does, at least he is not the worst POTUS in history, Nixon and LBJ are, he won a 2 term, thank God for the 22 Amendment that stops Presidents serving mote than 2 terms.

What is the future for POTUS ? - 2024 Candidates/2024 General Election - Biden Era

BBC News - Live Blog: Reports on the speech by President Biden at a election rally in Michigan, the 12.57am post is as follows, " Biden: 'Stop treating politics like reality TV'..."It's not a joke. It's time for us to stop treating politics like entertainment and reality TV," says Biden.  "

Lets Get Real:

This shows how out of date POTUS is, the American election process has become part reality show since the 1960 election, JFK was better on  TV than Nixon, thus the Camelot years, even if it was all PR.   It was conformed by the elections since 1980, the candidates good on TV won, Reagan, Bush 41, Clinton, Bush 43, Obama, Trump, the exception you can argue was 2020, and Biden was hiding in his Delaware Bunker and the press covered for him, they hated Trump.   This blow does not like Trump but does not hate him, there is a difference.   The 1st Trump and Biden debate was a disaster for Biden, thus 12 days later we are still stalking about it, the process is like Chinese water torture, we watch to see if Biden makes a mistake, he did during the NATO Summit, he called the President of the Ukraine, President Putin and called his own Vice President, VP Trump.  The rally speech was okay, POTUS did mumble a  few times, but he had a teleprompter, he has NBC interview set for Monday, that will be another test, Trump must be laughing his backside off, the Republican Convention starts on Monday, one does hope the Democratic mess comes to end, one way or another!! 

Big Win for Trump at the Supreme Court - 2024 Candidates/2024 General Election - Biden Era

BBC New: Reports " Trump has some immunity from prosecution, Supreme Court rules....The justices found that a president has immunity for "official acts", but is not immune for "unofficial acts", and referred the matter back to a trial judge. "

Lets Get Real:

This is a big win for Trump, the various Federal Cases will be affected, we wait to see what the Courts and Prosecutors so with the case, the general opinion is that the Court cases will start after the election, of course Trump as President could pull them if elected.   This Judgement by the Supreme Court does ask a few Questions of Presidential history, lets look at the examples, was JFK and the CIA'S attempt to kill Castro in the early 1960s was that official or Kennedy's need for revenge after the Bay of Pigs.  Then we move to 1968, was Nixon's sabotage of the Paris Peace Talks, semi official as he become President or private action that should have seen him Court.   Let's forget that LBJ bugged Nixon with the help of the FBI,  was the legal, its an open question, then we go to Nixon again in 1972 with Watergate, it can be presume that Nixon after the LBJ files on the Paris Peace Talks.  Thus would Nixon have had to resign in 1974.  The next case in Iran - Contra of the late1980s, it was Reagan's believe that the Contra freedom fighters had to be supported, after the Congress cut off official aid, he wanted the Contra fighters funded, no matter what it took, thus a diversion of funds to the Contra's.   As with JFK, there is doubt if Reagan knew this was happening, even if he did, it would not matter as it was official policy by Reagan to fight communism. In 1998 we have Bill Clinton, this was a private affair and thus the President would not have been immune from the Courts.   It seems the Court would have agreed with Nixon.   Interesting Court days ahead!!

Will Biden Survive the Week? 2024 Candidates/2024 General Election - Bide Era

CNN - Politics: Reports " Biden appeared onstage with a soft, halting voice and an open-mouthed, staring look. He struggled to finish thoughts at points, and ceded ground on issues like abortion where Democrats have an edge. "

Lets Get Real:

This blog watched the debate drunk, it was best, if you think about it, it was 1960 all over again, charisma over substance, POTUS looked tired and ill, that was the reason that the campaign used after the debate.  The CNN view of the debate above is being kind, what the reporters can not understand is how bad Biden was during the debate but was on form after the debate, that is simple, that is the real Biden when faced with pressure, God help the US and the West, while on the campaign is relaxed with supporters and has a teleprompter.   The Democrats will not replace Biden, he is the Democratic nominee, ALSO it would look like the Democrats were trying to steal the election with a new candidate.   If you had Mrs Obama it might work or Hillary Clinton, it might just work, the stress is might, neither women would want to be in this mess.  Also who would tell POTUS its OVER, no on has the backbone or cares enough about the US, so the US and the West might need to get ready for a 2nd Term for Trump.

How the Gaza Protesters will effect the November Election in the US - 2024 Candidates/2024 General Election

Guardian: Has an analyses of how the US Protests of Gaza will effect the November Election is the US, " 

What do the US campus protests mean for Joe Biden in November?...Thousands of students have rallied for Palestine, after hundreds of thousands of Democrats declined to vote for Biden in the primary "

Lets Get Real:

This is a smart essay from the Guardian, the Biden Base is varied at best, the Biden Oval can not afford to lose the YOUTH VOTE, what will mothers in the suburbs think if their children getting arrested or worse getting kicked out of University with those student loans to pay back with no degree after three or four years.  The article worries this could be 1968 all over again, LBJ lost the youth vote and Richard Nixon won a close race.   The Biden Oval has to place pressure on Israel not to take more action in GAZA, but also get Hamas to release the hostages it has, that could stop Israel taking action, the Biden Oval needs Gaza off the front pages and the region to go back pre 7th of October if possible.  Trump leads in the Swing States, he might get thrown in to jail with one of his Court Cases, the US and the West might get lucky.

POTUS warns Iran over threats to US troops in the Middle East - Israeli - Gaza War - Biden Era

BBC News - Live Blog: Reports in its 0.03am post the following, " Biden warns Iran in rare direct message.....The White House says Joe Biden has warned Iran against targeting US personnel in the Middle East, via a rare message to Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.  "

Lets Get Real:

Israel and the US want to keep Iran out of the Israeli - Gaza War, also they want to make sure that Iran does not allow its allies in the Middle East to start attacks should Israel go in for a tough land invasion of Gaza.  The thought of Biden dealing with the Ukraine War and major regional war in the Middle East would age POTUS and bring him a critical reaction from the left wing of the Party.   On the other hand Israel cannot allow itself to be told by the US if and when it goes in to Gaza, let's recall that October 7th was their 9/11, fifty years after the last major war in 1973.  One does think that Karma is putting Biden behind the 8 ball, think of all mistakes he has done in the past when it comes to foreign policy, on doubts that Biden thinks that, look at his mistakes with Afghanistan.  It is matter of waiting for the ISRAELI Government to decided when is the best time for an invasion to take out Hamas.

Trump in COURT TOAY - 2024 Candidate/General Election 2024 - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports " Defiant Trump turns up at $250m New York fraud trial to blast 'scam'....... Former President Donald Trump has attacked a judge and prosecutor in a day of courtroom drama as he attended the opening of a fraud trial that could threaten his business empire.  "

Lets Get Real:

Of all the Courts that Trump faces, its this civil trial that gets to him, his image is his money and the success he has had in business.  The prospect of jail time does not seem to unnerve him much, that will never happen, the job of the Secret Service ,is to protect the President and the former President for up to 10 years.  The Secret Service could never allow Trump to be taken to a prison, that would make him a martyr on the right wing of the Republican Party, and the Democrats would pay a heavy price, there in no Gerald Ford in the White House who could  stop these Federal Trials with a stroke of his pen.  The 2024 match up looks like is it on, in less one of the Republican candidates can take Iowa or New Hampshire in 2024.  Trump would a disaster in a 2nd Term, in less US voters want to put two fingers up to the press and the liberal elite, it could happen.

POTUS loses to Trump, Haley and Scott in NEW POLL - 2024 Candidate - Presidential Election

The Hill: Reports "  Biden trails Trump, Haley, Scott in 2024 race: poll...The poll found that 44 percent of respondents said they would vote for Trump when asked about a hypothetical match-up between him and Biden in 2024, while 40 percent said they would back the current president.  "

Lets Get Real:

This will make Trump somewhat happy, but the fact that also Ambassador Haley and the only black Republican Senator, Tim Scott can also beat POTUS, makes them more effective candidates to the challenge Trump in the Republican nomination fight.  This blog would support either Haley and Scott, they would support the Ukraine in their War with Russia. Trump likes Putin to much as was shown in his Meet the Press interview on Sunday.   Trump caves being liked, a bit like LBJ on that front, Nixon did not like people, thus his remoteness over the Oval Oval years, thus Watergate.  One would hope to see a surge in Biden' s polls after his deal with Iran to get US hostages back, even if it cost 6 billion.  A year and half of US politics, what fun, even if it is a rematch of Biden vs. Trump is not wanted by anybody sane.