Trump cancels Iran Strike - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 3.34am post the following, " Donald Trump says the US is "ready to go" and launch strikes on Iran, but has decided to halt the strikes for the "future benefit of the world". " 

Let's Get Real:

Here is Trump being erratic again, planned bombing stopped because there is peace deal in the works, we have heard this before, and nothing happens! The Tehran Regime is playing Trump, they know that he is weak, he wants of the Iran War, he is afraid of the Democrats taking the House, more througher investigations and of course Impeachment again and a pointless Impeachment trial in the Senate.  Then the 2028 Presidential cycle starts, Trump will hate it, the media will move to cover that than him, he will go crazy!

Former VP Harris and the 2028 Presidential race - Update

Guardian: Reports in its 7.59pm post the following, " Kamala Harris says she has "not made a decision" on potential 2028 run "

Let's Get Real:

It would be surprising if former VP Harris becomes the Nominee again, she lost it 2024, this blog can only think of 2 Presidents who came back from losing the general election, they were Nixon in 1968 after losing in 1960 and Trump in 2024 who lost it 2020, whatever he says on the subject.  In 2028, the 1st Democratic Primary will be South Carolina, a large African American vote, that should help Harris and Senator Booker.  The former is not a good candidate, one hopes the Democrats chose a moderate nominee like Bill Clinton or Obama at a push, the 2028 cycle should start after the Mid Terms, there a long list of potential Democratic candidates.

SA and the US attack Iranian terrorists in Iraq - Update

BBC News: Reports the following, " Saudi Arabia and the US have carried out strikes against Iran-backed militias in Iraq, ..."

Let's Get Real:

Thus while the Trump Oval talks peace again, the Tehran Regime gets allied terrorist groups to do their bidding, and export terrorism. The Trump Oval must accept that it cannot win a war, with its start and stop war, the Tehran Regime is playing him, they know his VP is against the War and so are the American people.  The great deal maker Trump has not sold the war to the American people or the MAGA base in the Republican Party, and the political cycle never stops, the Mid Terms in November and the 2028 Presidential cycle starts in 2027.  Time is not something Trump has to spare.

Trump warns Israeli PM and Iran - Update

Daily Mail: Reports " Frustrated Trump sends a chilling message to Netanyahu and vows to 'take out' Iran's final untouched nuclear site if deal is not reached "

Lets Get Real:

The Trump Oval does not like to be shown in up public by a friend, specially if that friend is Israel telling him that Iran has been placing its nuclear stockpile in another mountain after Trump bombed Iran last year over the fear of its nuclear stockpile.  The Trump Oval has given peace talks with Iran a chance, its never the last time with Iran, they have talks, shoot at tankers and then have further talks, they are playing Trump for a fool.  The Trump background is real estate and reality TV, he does not understand the Iranian mind set or how to win a WAR.  The President as stated in previous post is listening to his Vice President, J.D Vance, who more concerned about the 2028 race and if he can win the MAGA base and win the General Election.  LBJ made sure his VP kept to the script, he bugged his plane as to know in advance if his VP was about to break with him over the Vietnam War, while that was going on the FBI was bugging the South Vietnam Embassy and discovered that the Nixon Campaign was telling South Vietnam not to go the Paris peace talks.  It would be fair to say that LBJ kept quiet about it, as would cause a constitutional crisis and it would be something that LBJ had over Nixon, the Watergate caper of Nixon trying find out what the Democrats had on the affair, thus the fall of Nixon.

Trump gives peace talks chance with Iran but threatens ACTION if they FAIL - Update

BBC News: Reports in its 4.28pm post the following, " Trump continues threatening Iran if deal is not reached "

Let's Get Real:

Would would Tehran take any notice of Trump and his threats.  The Trump Oval has never followed through with any of its THREATS, Trump is listening to his VP who wants to run in 2028 Presidential cycle, the MAGA faction has an Isolation policy, thank God they were not around in 1940s.  The Afghanistan and Iraq WARS have put off the American voters off from supporting Liberal intervention, JFK or Reagan would have sold the Iran War to the voters, Trump never did, thus a stop and go War in Iran, Trump is weak and thus the US is seen as weak, Trump does not have the time to play games with Iran.

The Biden Tapes - Update

CNN: Reports " Newly released Biden audio recordings include references to ‘classified’ material and struggles with memory "

Let's Get Real:

The tapes show why the Special Prosecutor did not bring charges against President Biden, the tapes showed he knew he had classified documents and told his ghostwriter that fact.  There is also fading memory, this shows that the Prosecutor was right.  This does rise an interesting question, who is writing Biden's Presidential memoirs, from reports its a mighty 500 page memoirs.  That is a hundred pages per year of the Biden Presidency, will he tell the complete truth about him losing the plot, how his inner staff protected him and thought he would need a wheelchair in his 2nd term if he got re-elected.  How he had a disastrous debate with Trump, and how the Democrats pushed him out, who had bloody hands in the affair.  The central question should he have run at all for a 2nd term.  VP Harris thought it was a mistake! The Democrats are trying to write Biden out of the picture before 2028.

The Left of the Democratic Party - Update

BBC News: Reports on the raise Socialist Democrats and the election hopes of the Democratic Party.

Let's Get Real:

The Democratic Party is being taken over by the LEFT, Trump calls them Communist, this faction has no understanding of the US, one can argue that they don't like the US much, J.Edgar Hoover would have had a field day with them, this faction could do with being bugged.  They are dangerous, as Trump took over the Republicans, the hard left is trying to take over the Democratic Party.  The question is can LEFT wing Candidates win in the fly over States, then we come to 2028 schedule for Presidential Primaries, the Democrats have decided to keep South Caroline as the 1st Primary, due to the African - American vote, last time this was done was to help President Biden in his re-election in 24, and we all know how that ended, they forgot that Barack Obama won the Iowa caucus in 08, a majority White state, it showed he could win White votes, the rest in history.  Then we have the problem of Iowa and New Hampshire, NH has a legal requirement that they go first in Primaries, so who will break first, NH or the Democratic Party.  Thus the same issue with Iowa, they tend to go first, small States that can road test candidates, many a candidate has been broken in Iowa and NH or seen their campaigns rise in the polls, Clinton in 1992.  The Democrats could be creating their own defeat in 26 and 28.

Tanker Decline in Strait of Hormuz - Update

Guardian: Reports the following in its 11.02am post, " Traffic through strait of Hormuz plummets after US-Iran strikes "

Let's Get Real:

This can't go on, it will effect the Western economy sooner or later.  Tehran has shown its word cannot be trusted, it lies as it talks, the are playing a crafty game of waiting out Trump and the US Navy.   The Mid Terms are coming and the Democrats should win the House of Representatives, then we have two years of Trump investigations and Impeachment, followed by the 2028 Presidential cycle.

Mere 2% bounce for Labour under Andy Burnham - Update

Daily Mail: Reports that the Labour has only gained 2% in the polls since the expected Coronation of Andy Burnham as PM, a YouGov poll found Reform on 20%, Conservative on 20% and Labour on 20%.

Let's Get Real:

Thus there will be no quick election, Burnham will never risk losing so many Labour backbencher MPs, only got the job as PM because Labour MPs fear losing under under Sir Keir Starmer.  Thus Opposition Parties will have to wait in till 2029/30.  If WW3 does not break out before that due to the Ukraine War, and Putin on the backfoot in the Ukraine.  There is always the erratic President in the White House, you never know with Trump!

UN's IAEA back in to Iran - Update

Fox News: Reports the fallowing, " Trump says Iran must agree to major weapons inspections to ensure future ‘nuclear honesty’  " 

Let's Get Real:

This is good sign, in less Tehran cheats, they have in the past, VP Vance is a dove, opposed the WAR, LBJ would have been appalled, if deal works, Vance will take the credit if the deal works, will help him in 2028 Presidential cycle, if it fails, Trump will blame him.  The omens are good, but as Reagan said, Trust but Verify! 

J D Vance and the 2028 cycle - Update

CNN: Reports the following, " Vance’s new book puts his Catholic faith at the center of his story — and his political future "

Let's Get Real:

Thus 2028 Presidential cycle starts, Vance wants to be Trump's successor in the Oval Office, as the article notes being Catholic faith has grown in the US; still an requirement to be religious in the Republican race;  but still on long term down in American culture.  Both Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio have impressed Trump.  After the Mid Terms should flush out Republicans and Democrats who want to run.  Please no more billionaires or self centered individuals, Trump is enough.

IRAN wary about singing deal tomorrow - Update

BBC News: Reports the following, " President Donald Trump has said a deal to end fighting between the US and Iran is scheduled to be signed on Sunday, after Iran cast doubt on the timing. "

Let's Get Real:

It's all about Trump, his birthday tomorrow and it's all about him, no wonder that Tehran is playing about with signing the deal.  Enough is enough, after 2028, non billionaire is need in the Oval please, for the sanity of the World.

US hits Iran after helicopter Loss - Update

Fox News: Reports the following, "  US begins 'self-defense strikes' against Iran, CENTCOM says  "

Let's Get Real:

If the Tehran Regime is sane, that is open to question, they will not react to the US counter attack because of the helicopter loss, they will carry on with talks they are winning, the TACO President wants a way out before the Mid Terms in November.  The erratic President sees the Memorandum of Understanding as the goal no matter the consequences for the Gulf States, Israel and the World.  Trump will go down as another Neville Chamberlain, an appeaser who did not see the threat out there.  The Iranian nuclear issue will face the next President, in that time the Tehran Regime could have a nuclear weapon.

Trump WARNS Israel - Update

Fox News: Reports the following, " Trump warns Netanyahu to 'be very careful' as Israel risks losing US backing in Iran conflict "

Let's Get Real:

This is an empty threat from Trump, the Republican Party as a whole supports Israel, the Democrats have gone far left, in other words the base of the Democatic Part is very firmly anti Israel and pro Palestinians, the candidates in the 2028 Presidential cycle will have to appear to the left to get elected and move to the centre to get elected, not an easy move for the Democrats, easier for Republicans to move from the right to the centre.  

US could take Iranian nuclear stockpile any time - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 7.09am post the following, " Trump warns US doesn't need a deal with Iran to get enriched uranium "

Let's Get Real:

Another delusional statement by POTUS, that the US could take Iran's nuclear stockpile anytime, as there is no need for a deal, as the stockpile is entombed after the US bombing.  This could be a way for Trump to end the War before the November Mid Terms, the TACO President is delusional and erratic. One can't wait for the 2028 cycle to start, even then Trump will want to be in the news.

President Trump on US Attacks - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 6.17am post the following by President Trump, " Just sit back and relax': Trump claims critics undermine him in Iran negotiations "

Let's Get Real:

President Trump is feeling the heat of the WAR he started, there is economy and the rise in gas and groceries due to inflation, this is hitting Republican chances in the Mid Terms in November, if the Democrats take the House and Senate one can expect endless investigations and another Impeachment case before the Senate.  Then 2028 Presidential cycle starts, poor people of Iowa and NH will have endless candidates visiting.

Iranian Red Lines - Update

Fox News: Reports the following, " Ebrahim Azizi, head of the Iranian parliament’s national security committee, wrote in a post on X that Iran’s red lines include the country’s right to enrich uranium, maintain stockpiles of enriched uranium and control the Strait of Hormuz "

Let's Get Real:

These conditions the Trump Oval could never accept, it would make Trump a BIG LOSER in US and World Terms.  Is Tehran trying to sink any memorandum of Understanding before any deal.  Are the hardliners trying to assert control of the process, they also want the US to lift sanctions. The US hawks, Republicans in the US Congress would oppose such a deal and the Democrats would have a field day before the Mid Terms.  Trump must consider bombing Iran again.  The 2028 Presidential cycle will start soon, VP Vance must be worried about his chances of winning.

Great Deal or No Deal on Iran - Trump

Sky News: Reports in its 11.19am post the following, " Trump: 'Iran peace will either be a great deal or no deal - and better than Obama's' " 

Let's Get Real:

Trump is obsessed with Barack Obama, he spent most of his first campaign on the LIE that Obama was not born in the US.  Thus Trump wants to show that he can get a better deal than Obama.  The new deal still leaves Iran with its nuclear stockpile, and more talks, Tehran will play that out for ages, in time for 2028 Presidential cycle.  The Tehran Regime know now that they can wreck the Western economy, by closing down the Strait of Hormuz, and Trump is a chicken, who will not follow through with threats.

I don’t make BAD Deals - Trump - Update

Guardian: Reports in its 7.33pm post the following, " If I have make a deal with Iran, it will be a good and proper one,'  " 

Let's Get Real:

Trump is a weak President who did not sell the War to US voters. BUSH 43 did with the Iraq war, and was supported by the US Congress.  Thus no support for Trump when the war become a stand off, gas prices have risen, also inflation from the War has driven other prices.  The Mid Terms are coming, the Democrats could take the House, they will impeach Trump again, and then 2028 cycle starts.

US - Iran Deal - Update 2

Guardian: Reports the the following, " Trump to meet with US negotiators to decide on Iran’s ceasefire proposal......US president says it’s a ‘solid 50/50’ on either making a ‘good’ deal with Iran or striking the country anew " 

Let's Get Real:

This blog is betting that POTUS will go TACO, what concessions will he give Iran, keeping their nuclear stockpile or control of the Strait of Hormuz.  Cowardice in the face of the enemy will shatter Presidential Credibility.  The US VP will have to explain this in the 2028 cycle, Reagan and JFK are turning in their graves if Trump gives concessions.