US to reduce military drills with South Korea - Update

BBC News: Reports the following, " President Donald Trump has said the US will "substantially reduce" joint military exercises with South Korea, citing his "very good relationship" with North Korea's leader Kim Jong Un. "

Let's Get Real:

Trump needs to get impeached by the US Congress, this will have to wait in till the Democrats take the House in November.  The Republicans should agree as they get VP Vance, a true believer in the MAGA movement and gives them a shot at keeping the White House in 2028.  The reason that Republicans should agree to Impeachment  is the fact that Trump is a danger to US National Security and Asian security as shown by the above.

US and Iran Exchange THREATS - Update

BBC News: Reports the following, " US President Donald Trump and Iran's senior officials have traded new threats of further action, after the two sides exchanged strikes. "

Let's Get Real:

Either the sides have REAL talks or its all out War again.  Of course both sides could be bluffing, a TACO President and a divided Tehran Regime.  The US will have no better chance to take out the Iranian Regime before it gets Nukes, the lesson of North Korea should be in the minds of policy makers in the Trump Administration, US Administrations before Trump failed to stop North Korea, thus the threat to Asia and the World today.  Thus who will blink first in this stand off, more likely Trump, he wants out of the WAR before the Mid Terms in November, Trump is always chicken.

Trump, China and the Strait of Hormuz- Update

Sky News: Reports in its 1.15pm post the following, " I'm opening Strait of Hormuz for China, says Trump - and Xi will 'give me a big, fat, hug'"

Let's Get Real:

This will make China happy as long as their tankers can get through the blockade at some point.  Trump's view of World Politics is the strong powers agree on a issue and the rest of the World follow suit, that has not worked out in the Ukraine, that is why President Trump is peeved with Zelensky of the Ukraine, as he infamously said that the Ukraine has no cards in its war.  In many respects Trump is from the Imperial Era, the age of Gunboat Diplomacy, were might is right.

Iran's threat to the US after 48 houre ultimatum from Trump - Update

Guardian: Reports in its 12.52an post the following, " Iran threatens retaliation against US energy infrastructure if its facilities are attacked "

Let's Get Real:

The question is who will blink first, Trump cannot afford too, its about Presidential Credibility, he does not want to lose that before the November elections.  Also the World is looking, China will be concerned about Taiwan, North Korea and its threat to South Korea and the Region. Does Trump have the backbone to carry through with his threat. Interesting hours ahead.

Explosions heard in Iran - Update

Sky News: Reports that 2 explosions have been heard in Iran.

Lets Get Real:

This not the American attack, so far its only Sky News running this story, nothing on the BBC or CNN.  Also the UK PM is in Japan, the Oval would not mount an operation with the British PM out of the UK.   The explosions could be a gas leak or an attack by MOSSAD or the CIA.  Of course it could be resistance to the theocracy! We await further details.

Update: BOTH explosions were a gas leak, that is reports from Iran.  Confirms that Trump is WIMP, one doubts that Trump will strike, you need a strong backbone, while Trump47  has an aversion to WAR that lasts longer than a news cycle.

Ukraine Update - Ukraine - Russia War

BBC News: Reports " Putin has rejected calls for a truce and his troops have intensified attacks on Ukrainian cities. More than Russian 500 drones and 24 cruise missiles were launched on Wednesday night alone. "

Lets Get Real:

The new Axis of Evil that meet in China on the anniversary of the end of the WAR is Asia in 1945, it shows that the West is faced with Russia, China and North Korea as the counter to Western Democracy.  Trump has to get his head out of his backside and do something about Russia, they will not give up in till the US puts more weapons and men if needed on the front line in the Ukraine.  The Russians see Trump as a lap dog to Putin, the only way out for Putin is to win in the Ukraine, anything else and he faces a coup in Russia.  Thus Russians will only come to the peace table on their terms, a Ukraine that in many respects sees it back within the Russian fold, thus to prevent WW3, Europe must give security guarantees  to Ukraine, and in some way the US must face pressure to do the same.

Trump would like Putin - Zelensky to meet First - Trump47

Guardian: Reports in its 6.05pm post that President Trump has stated he would like Presidents Putin and Zelensky to meet first before he joins them.

Lets Get Real:

Trump has stated his worthless threat to see what happens in the next two weeks.   The Kremlin will play Trump for a fool, play along and win on the ground in the Ukraine.  PUTIN can out last Trump and his successor, Putin is a tyrant and killer, he wants the whole of the Ukraine.  CHINA wants Taiwan, also a tyranny, and Trump considers them friends.

  

Tinderbox that is BORDER between Israel and Lebanon - Middle East - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports " Golan attack leaves border war's unspoken rules in tatters....The fear from the outset has been that a big attack on either side’s civilians would cause uncontrolled escalation and in turn, cause a much worse war, as both Israel and Hezbollah bring their full force to bear. "

Lets Get Real:

As the article notes, both the US and France have tried to make sure that there is no big escalation from Israel and Hezbollah, but what is more important is the how the American voters feel about any War, the hard left of the Democrats wants to abandon Israel and support the terrorists if recent Demos is the example of the left, burning American flags, American Universities have a lot to answer for, there is no free speech in the US about supporting Israel.  The LEFT has won that battle, the US Government let is happen, and VP Harris is tied to the left.   One does hope that should a bigger war break out, that the US will support Israel over Hezbollah in the North, who are supported by Iran.  The US or the Biden Oval could face North Korea doing a nuclear test just before election say in the US.  The World wants US attention when there is an election on.

North Korea launches Ballistic Missile at Sea - Developing Asia Crisis - Biden Era

Sky News: Reports " North Korea fires ballistic missile towards sea, South Korea says...South Korea has accused North Korea of firing a suspected ballistic missile towards the North's east coast.  "

Lets Get Real:

It seems that North Korea wants to make  a double impression, the US has sent a Aircraft Carrier to the region for military games with South Korea, and the North wants to make an impression, also there is the Presidential Debate coming up on Friday, they might want to draw the attention of US voters to the crisis developing in Asia.  The US voters should not be shocked if there are other actions by the North Korea, before the US election in November, they might try something during the debate itself, force to the candidates to deal with the issue of North Korea.  Thus far only Donald Trump has visited North Korea, they leaders met on the DMZ, after that the talks become frosty. Thus North Korea might be trying to help Donald Trump.

Taiwan sees China WAR Threat - Biden Era

Sky News: Reports ( Home Page ) that Taiwan sees a real threat from China after its President met the US House Speaker at the Reagan Presidential Library in the US.

Let's Get Real:

China could be serious this time, they see the US weak with Biden in the Oval, and distracted by the Russian WAR in the Ukaine, and the best time to invade as the US supplies Kyiv with military kit.   The US should be on ALERT for future developments in Asia. Of course China could wait in till 2024 to see who wins the 2024 Presidential Election, and hope of better results.  It should be noted neither Republicans or Democrats have a positive view of China.

Russia OFFERS Food to North Korea in return for weapons - Ukraine - Russian War - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports " Russia to offer food for  North Korean weapons - US....Russia is sending a delegation to North Korea to offer food in exchange for weapons, US national security spokesperson John Kirby has said.   "

Lets Get Real:

How the mighty have FALLEN, the Russians due to the Ukraine War are running out of weapons, and they have to offer a DEAL to North Korea, Moscow must have thought Ukraine the would be Austria 1938, the people would come out to streets to applaud, in fact they they come out to fight, and thus Russian and Putin are stuck in War that they cannot win and can not afford to lose, NATO has made the Ukraine the bridge that they will stand on, thus the West will carry on supporting the Kyiv Government in less Trump wins in 2024, that is a long time away, AND Putin needs a quick win, or his tenure as President might be under threat.   The US Navy should check any cargos going to Russia from Asia, the North Korea Regime needs the food for their starving people, its a ugly world, butter for weapons. 

One Year Anniversary of Russian invasion of Ukraine - Ukraine- Russia War - Biden Era

Sky News  ( TV ) reports that China might arm Russia.

Let's Get Real:

THIS would be a major mistake by China, they might be thinking that they need Russia to depleted US defence stocks, thus they then could invade Taiwan, it would be a risky move, can the Biden Oval handle two hot Wars, US military would be needed in Taiwan, to prevent a Chinese invasion being successful.  

ANY peace deal suggested by China is meant to help Russia, freeze Russian occupation and negate Ukrainian sovereignty.  The West needs to send a tough message to China, back off.  The World could be on the road to WW3, thus China should not push its luck.

Sky News reports that Poland has delivered its first Leopard tanks to Kyiv, come on West get a move on, we are ALL citizens of Ukraine NOW! 

US President and the PM of Canada SPEAK over latest Shootdown - Biden Era/X - Files

White House: Reports on telephone call between POTUS and the PM of Canada, " Readout of President Biden’s Call with Prime Minister Trudeau of Canada....Earlier today, President Biden spoke with Prime Minister Trudeau on the unidentified, unmanned object in North American air space. The object was closely tracked and monitored by North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD) over the last 24 hours and the President has been continually briefed by his national security team since the object was detected. Out of an abundance of caution and at the recommendation of their militaries, President Biden and Prime Minister Trudeau authorized it to be taken down. President Biden authorized US fighter aircraft assigned to NORAD to conduct the operation and a US F-22 shot down the object in Canadian territory in close coordination with Canadian authorities. The leaders discussed the importance of recovering the object in order to determine more details on its purpose or origin. President Biden and Prime Minister Trudeau commended NORAD’s and U.S. Northern Command’s strong and effective partnership and agreed to continue their close coordination to detect, track, and defend our airspace.  "

Lets Get Real:

Thus we have had the Chinese spy balloon, and then a object shot down over Alaska and NOW Canada, the question is are they the same, in other words Chinese spy balloons, or are they from another Country, what about North Korea, or are they private business balloon or weather balloons that have gotten lost.  The fact that with the two latest shoots down Washington D.C has gone very quiet on the subject, either by now they know or its is a X - FILE, in other words the Governments hope that the press lose interest.  One would have to assume that that China would not try to pull the same event three times, that would be pushing diplomacy to its edge.  The question is WHY, China has satellites in orbit, that is the usual way that Countries spy on other Countries, WHY make is a big issue.  Is China looking for a reason to escalate its plans for Taiwan, is China waiting to see how far they can push the US, POTUS has made it CLEAR that the US will defend Taiwan,  also the US Congress will defend Taiwan should China take action. If it's a X - FILE, we will never know, sometimes it's better not to know, the Biden Oval has enough problems without Aliens from Mars turning up!! 

US Shoots down object over Alaska - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports " High-altitude object shot down over Alaska, US says...A "high-altitude object" was shot down over Alaska earlier on Friday, the White House has said.  "

Lets Get Real:

If this is a Chinese balloon then the China has learned nothing from the previous shoot down, of course the White House has not called it that, they want some reaction from China before taking it that far. The worry is that China might try to react by taking action over Taiwan, if it is from China.  This is a developing story, always wait more details before coming to a firm conclusion.  The Object could be from North Korea, it is a possibility, or it is from some other Country, the details are sparse at this movement. DEVELOPING.  At least the Biden Oval has reacted in a quick manner, they have learned the lesson of waiting, it does not go down well with the voters.

Political HEADWINDS facing POTUS - State of the Union - Biden Era

CNN: Reports " Polls show many Democrats are unenthusiastic about another Biden candidacy. The ABC News/Washington Post survey indicated 58% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents would prefer someone other than Biden as the nominee in 2024.  "

Lets Get Real:

Thus the political problems for POTUS as two fold, his age, he is seen as to old, and the economy that should be helping him, is not working for most Americans, inflation is still to high for them, and the repeat by the White House and liberal CNN that the US has the lowest unemployment in 50 years does not make up for the costs of living faced by Americans.  Of course the White House will point out the fact that the two years that the Democrats controlled the Congress they pushed through the Biden Agenda, the problem is that NOW that the Republicans have the House, they Bidne Agenda is DEAD on the Hill and the Republicans hard right have a might influence over the Republican Majority in the House, thus they will say NO to agenda aims of the Biden Oval.  Thus the President has talk about his WINS, but also make the case that he is the candidate that the Democrats should want in 2024, of course that only works if Donald Trump is the Republican candidate, if not the Democrats and the Biden Campaign have a major problem.  On foreign policy it can be argued by Democrats that POTUS has done a good job, they will stress the Ukraine and shooting down the Chinese Balloon, while the Republicans will talk about the humiliation of the US leaving Kabul in Afghanistan and the days that the Chinese balloon spent over the US.  President Biden does not have an easy speech, let's recall that POTUS has a habit of letting his mind wonder, and looks like he has lost the plot, he cannot afford those kind of mistakes in the State of Union.  It is reported in the LIBERAL New York Times that POTUS will request a billionaire tax, that is going nowhere fast, the Democrats in the Senate might pass it, but the Republican House will kill it, whenever Democrats start talking TAX HIKES, they lose the public, they American people KNOW, that there are not that many billionaires, and it's the Middle Class that gets dumped on for tax hikes, this billionaire TAX might work with the Democratic base, never works on the American people. 

China's THREAT over its BALLOON - US - China WAR ? - Biden Era

Sky News: Reports " China threatens 'further actions' over US downing of suspected spy balloon...Several days of intrigue as the mysterious white aircraft flew over US airspace were brought to an abrupt end when President Joe Biden ordered it be shot down - and his decision has not gone down well in Beijing.  "

Lets Get Real:

The question has to be asked, would China go to War with the US over a bloody balloon, NO is the simple answer, will they escalate, this blog's prediction is NO, will they send more planes in to the air space of Taiwan, the answer is YES.  Beijing might be thinking that US has its hands full with the WAR in the Ukraine, thus this might be the perfect time to increase the threats on Taiwan or even take some real action, such as a invasion, the Chinese Government in coordination with North Korea could cause massive problems for the Biden Oval, what is North Korea make a direct missile hit on South Korea and is backed up by China, while China tries something with Taiwan, let's recall the 1951 - 53 Korean War was an Armistice, should North Korea take action, that would dragg in the rest of the West, the UK lost troops in the Korean War, and other Allied Countries.  Thus the Biden Oval could could be woken up one day, with North Korea on the march in South Korea and China in Taiwan, also the Russians might start a major new offensive, does anyone think that US and Bidne could cope with that, this blog has its doubts, sometimes events might force the hands of North Korea and China, a weak President Biden who ran out of Afghanistan and is taking his time to arming the Ukrainian Army, might just be worth that open window. 

When is a Chinese BALLOON just a BALLOON ? - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports " The US has shot down a giant Chinese balloon that it says has been spying on key military sites across America.  "

Lets Get Real:

This blog could not get het up over the Chinese Balloon going over the US in the last few days.  If China wants to find something out it will use its Satellites in orbit, modern intelligence Satellites can take a picture of a car plate, and can listen to very private talks that go through the air.   The fact that the balloon went over sensitive areas shows it was meant to be seen, it could be argued that the balloon was a TEST BALLOON, to see how the Biden Oval would react, also the fact that China has promised a reactions shows that China might be thinking that since the Biden Oval has the Ukraine - Russian War on its plate, it might not have the bandwidth to deal with a possible Chinese invasion of Taiwan, does any really think that the Biden Oval could cope with 2 WARS, and the US would be directly involved in the defence of Taiwan, the Biden Oval has made that clear, it does not matter how many times the White House has gone on to say that the US policy is the same, that is ambiguity, it is not, the Biden Oval will defend Taiwan, even if Biden himself did not want to , he would be forced by the US Congress to fight China.  Thus tense times for US and Chinese relationship. 

Trump LEADS Biden is 2024 poll - 2024 General Election Poll

The Hill: Reports " Trump leads Biden in hypothetical 2024 matchup: poll....Forty-four percent in the poll said they would support Trump in the 2024 presidential election, compared to the 41 percent that said they would back Biden..."

Lets Get Real:

This will not be good news for the Biden Oval and for Democrats in general, the classified documents scandal is starting to hurt Biden NOW, and the scandal has just started.  Former President Trump has already announced that he is running in 2024, President Biden is expect to announce in a few weeks that the will seek the Democratic Nomination.  One does really have to ask what the US has done to get Trump and Biden, their combined ages is nearly 160, and one is a dangerous idiot while other is just an idiot, there should not be that much speculation as to who is the most threat to the Democracy of the US.  It is a close run thing, there must be other worthy candidates out there, there must be a Democratic JFK or a Republican Reagan somewhere who needs to be discovered.  The thought of two years with President and former President on the campaign trail is surely enough to make people drink a lot!!  Let's not forget the crisis that might come, what if the Ukraine goes bad, in other words Putin wins, also Iran could go nuclear, and North Korea and China could cause problems in Asia, with another nuclear test or an invasion of Taiwan, it's going to be tough two years. 

North Korea to have a Nuclear Test - South Korea - North Korean Crisis - Biden Era

Sky News: Reports " North Korea 'ready' to test a nuclear weapon, claims South Korean PM Han Duck-soo...The comments come in the closing weeks of a year that has seen the isolated state fire more missiles than at any other time since leader Kim Jong Un came to power in 2011.  "

Lets Get Real:

North Korea already a rogue natio, has gone further this year, North Korea has fired missiles and has tested a ICBM that could have reached the US this year. The North Korean nuclear test will be another crisis for the Biden Oval, North Korea also plays in to the the Ukraine War, the North Korean Government is giving military kit to Russia in the form of ammo, and one does wonder what the Kremlin is giving North Korea. One can assume that North Korea is getting political cover from China and Putin's Russia. The new South Korean Government was elected on being tougher with North Korea, the border between South and NorTH is full of tension most days, so what can South Korea really do, send more planes to the air border, increase it Naval protection of its borders.  One would think that South Korea and the US allies in the area, that would be Japan would agree on how to react to a nuclear test, the worry is that both South Korea and Japan might want to go nuclear, as they fear a nuclear armed North Korea.  Let's recall that the end of the Korean war in 1951 was an Armistice, no peace deal has ever been signed, thus should a WAR break out UN States would be dragged back in, this includes the UK, that would affect how much support the West would give to the Ukraine if the US and the UK faced a War in Korea again!!

Surrender Terms for Putin from the West ? - Ukraine - Russian War - Biden Era

Daily Mail: Reports " Putin 'has been offered surrender terms by the West' as he loses control of Kherson - and 'his cronies have reacted positively because it allows them to stay in power and avoid criminal charges'...Plan would see Russia give up all territory in Ukraine except Crimea, which would become demilitarised zone  "

Lets Get Real:

One doubts that Putin would agree to such a DEAL, he would be finished in Russia, how will he explain the deaths and wounding of at least a hundred thousand soldiers.  This is the kind of number that is HARD TO COVER UP, and the idea that he would give up the Crimea is for the birds, Putin invaded the Crimea in 2014 and he sees CRIMEA as the real part of Russia, it was only given to the Ukraine in 1954 as a matter of friendship.  Also the Ukraine was part of the USSR, thus Russia was the USSR in political terms.  Of course Putin might want to take such a DEAL, the sanctions would go away, and he could rebuild his Army, the destruction of Russian Forces in the Ukraine has greatly damaged Russian stores of tanks etc, they are getting drones from another terrorist state, that being Iran, also North Korea is helping them out with ammo.  The War with the Ukraine has shown that Russia is no longer a superpower in the convention sense, it has nukes, but one hopes that never comes up for discussion in the Kremlin.