2nd Batch of Classified Files found for the time POTUS was VP to Obama - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports " Second batch of classified Biden documents found...US President Joe Biden's aides have found a fresh batch of classified government records at a second location, in a growing political embarrassment for the White House.  "

Lets Get Real:

POTUS has found himself in a glass house, he was critical of former President Trump for keeping files and now a 2nd batch of his files while in the Obama Administration has been found.  Thus one can assume that these files are six years old, how come to the National Archives did not ask for them before, its gets very murky.  The Attorney General must appointee a Special Counsel as he has done with former President Trump, anything else and it will look like political and payback from the AG for his Appointment to the post, after not getting on the US Supreme Court, the Republicans blocked him for the post. The House Republicans will NOW have POTUS and his son Hunter in their sights, the President might want to have a second look at running for a 2nd term, if he does the Republicans will him make pay a heavy price, there will be endless House hearings on these two batches of files held by POTUS after leaving the VP in 2017.

The suspension of Corbyn by Starmer could lead to Starmer as next PM - Labour Party and anti-Semitism

BBC News: Reports " Labour has suspended Jeremy Corbyn from the party over his reaction to a highly critical report on anti-Semitism.  "

Lets Get Real:

The removal of the Parliamentary Whip from former Labour Leader, Jeremy Corbyn might just have unlocked the door to 10 Downing in 2024 for Sir Keir Starmer.  The new leader might not have planned to remove Corbyn, but the fact that the remarks by Corbyn left the leader with no other option, Corbyn as the Deputy leader of the Labour Party has stated has a blind spot when it comes to anti - semitism, ( the Deputy leader herself was in trouble for calling a Conservative MP scum in the House of Commons ).  For those voters in the middle who could never vote for Corbyn, the fact that Sir Keir stood up and took action will show he is ruthless, although Sir Keir was in the Shadow Cabinet lead by Corbyn for years.  The removal of the whip could start a civil war in the Labour Party, Starmer has to stand tough, If the new leader does this then he might just be the next UK PM.

Obama's and the Future - Obama Era

The RIGHT in the White House - Trump Era

BBC News: Reports " US President-elect Donald Trump's new chief of staff has defended the choice of right-wing media man Stephen Bannon as chief strategist, calling him a "force for good". "

Lets Get Real:

Donald Trump WON, he can have who he likes on his staff in the White House.   The Chief Strategist main job is to keep POTUS aware of the views of the base and getting his agenda through the Congress.   Also let us recall the White House will want to win the Mid Terms in 2018 and the re-election in 2020.   The main stream media should chill, otherwise it is going to be a LONG four years for the media elite and foreign policy elite.

The LIMBO before HRC becomes President - Elect - HRC Era

CNN - Politics: Reports " The most dramatic and unpredictable presidential election in decades is suddenly slipping into a strange state of suspended animation....But unless there is an abrupt Trump revival, another October surprise that could once again upend the race or a cataclysmic miss by the majority of pollsters, the Republican nominee seems to be on a glide path to defeat on November 8. "

Lets Get Real:

This blog called the election ages ago, the press can now move on from the election and look at what the first HRC term will look like, the domestic and foreign policy problems that the new President will face in January.   On the domestic front we have ObamaCare falling apart, the OVAL will need the new Congress to reform the Act, then we come to the international field, HRC will have to be tough with Russia and Putin, the US could enforce a new no fly zone in Syria, also Putin might try something between the election and the new Administration taking over in January, thus lets hope NATO is on alert.    It  will not be boring, that is for sure.

Fidel Again!!! - Obama's Legacy

Guardian: Reports " Fidel Castro rails against 'Brother Obama' after US president's trip to Cuba..Country’s former leader responds to Obama’s visit with long letter in state media, saying: ‘We don’t need the empire to give us any presents’ "

Lets Get Real:

One can only hope that the next US President rips up any agreements between the US and Cuba/Iran, the appeasement policy of President Obama has allowed Cuba and Iran to gain and the US and the West has gained NOTHING from the deals.   The Tehran Regime will use its 150 million to fund its terrorist supporters and keep President Assad in power in Syria.  The CIA should track the movements of Iran after it gets its money back, also does Cuba cut its terrorist links, this blog has its doubts.   In President Obama the World has found a new Neville Chamberlain. 

Obama in Cuba - Obama's Legacy Tour

BBC News: Reports " President Barack Obama has arrived in Cuba for a historic visit to the island and talks with its communist leader. "

Lets Get Real:

This visit by Obama is an attempt to cover up his failed Presidency, in the eight years of Obama the allies of the US have been let down by a Presidency who thinks he knows it ALL and does not.    Thus Obama left Iraq in 2011, this allowed for the birth of Daesh, in Iraq and Syria.   The President failed to enforce his red lines with Assad 's Syria, thus showing that Obama treated the enemies of the US better than its allies, in this case moderates in Syria.   The secular rebellion turned religious and allowed Daesh to take controls of large parts of Syria.   In East Europe Obama allowed Russia to take over the Crimea and did not defend East Ukraine.    No one will ask this former President for advice on foreign policy when he leaves office in 2017.

Trump's First 100 Days in the Oval - Election 2016

Guardian: Reports on the different issues that a President Trump would face if he is elected, on Syria the article notes the following, " President Trump is likely to be forced to proceed more slowly on other aspects of foreign policy. Despite his bluster about making America win again, Trump has been lukewarm on the question of unilateral intervention in the Middle East and shown sympathy toward Russia’s Vladimir Putin..."

Lets Get Real:

Let's hope this prediction is wrong, the Syrian Crisis needs a strong President who will take the fight to the Russians, that does not mean WAR, it means making sure that the Russian Bear understands that there is a new man in the Oval and that his words will be followed by force.   One would wish for  A President Trump that takes an active interest in Syria and allows the US military to WIN in Syria, there needs to be no fly zones, free fire zones that allow the US special forces to take out the terrorist threat.   ON the whole this blog could support a President Trump that followed the outline of this article, not sure the Guardian was looking for that result. 

Clinton and Benghazi - Clinton Era

Guardian: Reports on the appearance of Hillary Clinton before the House Committee on Benghazi, the article notes the following, " Hillary Clinton faces a defining moment in her presidential campaign on Thursday as a long-scheduled appearance in Congress before the House select committee on Benghazi committee presents an opportunity for her to vanquish her fiercest critics, while also giving them a chance to finally show if there is substance behind their complaints. "

Lets Get Real:

This is the final hurdle for Hillary Clinton, if she can spin that the committee is political and there is no there there, then she will have a clear run for the nomination and the Presidency.   This blog expects the Democrats on the Committee to muddy the waters, and frame it as the Republicans against HRC.    In less there is damaging information to come out, the Committee will be shown to be political.   Lets be clear, this blog does not like HRC, does not trust her, thinks she is a bad campaigner, and has issues with the truth and being honest, but of the candidates for President she is the best, and she is not Trump or Carson, and one can postulate she will be more of a hawk in the Oval than President Obama.   Thus after tomorrow more visits to Iowa and NH, the the long race to the Oval.  Lets hope Bill behaves himself. 

The Frostiness of the New Cold War - Cold War 11

BBC News: Reports " Nato has condemned Russia's move to strengthen its nuclear arsenal, saying it amounted to "nuclear sabre-rattling" and was "unjustified" and "dangerous". "

Lets Get Real:

It was said by old hands of the Cold War in the 1990s that they missed the Cold War, well its back!   Putin is pushing in East Ukraine, he has taken over the Crimea, he is supporting Assad in Syria and pushing for Iran to get a good deal from the UN.   The Oval Office under Obama has forgotten that the threat of American power only lasts as long as those enemies think that the US will act, when the US says there are red lines and then does nothing it weakens Western security.    The new US President in 2017 will have a desk for of foreign policy problems that have been created by President Obama. 

Hillary Clinton and Libya - Libyan Arms

Fox News: Reports " Recently released emails detail then-Secretary of State Hillary Clinton's interest in arming Libyan opposition groups using private security contractors before the fall of Muammar Qaddafi in 2011 – though at the time, the opposition was not formally recognized by the U.S. or United Nations, which prohibited arming without following strict guidelines and oversight. "

Lets Get Real:

At least Hillary Clinton was tough, more a hawk than dove, and lets face after President Obama the Oval Office could do with a tough hawk, the problem seems to rise when there is a question of those arms being send to Syria to arm the Syrian opposition, did they end up the arms of IS.  One can understand why the Obama Administration and its officials are not to keen to discuss the issue, it would be a PR disaster if arms sent to support the Libyan opposition ended up with the enemies of the US.    One suspects in this case it is better to let sleeping dogs sleep, one might not like the answer and the problems for the US and for the Hillary Clinton in 2016.    That is why any such secret operations are done in the manner that allows the White House and other Departments to state they knew nothing, that is a lot better than a paper trail through emails.    In this case it might be wise for the Republicans to let the issue drop, the Republicans do not need to create flak for themselves. 

Are the French TOUGHER on Iran than the US - Middle East

Guardian: Reports " France: no Iran nuclear deal if military site inspections are blocked..French foreign minister Laurent Fabius urges other negotiators to take a tough stance if ayatollah Khamenei continues to resist inspections "

Lets Get Real:

Who would have thought that is would be the French who were tough on Iran, the Obama Oval can smell a deal, it wants a deal at any cost, the French should stand up to Obama,  he will be out of Office in 2017, any failed deal will be left to the powers, thus better to be firm NOW, not later.   That kind of mess can lead to WAR.    The Gulf States are using their money and influence to make it clear to the French, that should they be tough they will gain long term economic and political influence that once the US held.    If POTUS wants to give up the leadership of the West, that is fine, but he does not get to say who takes over, its only an ego maniac who thinks he can control those kind of events.. 

Is Islamic State the fault of POTUS ? - New War on Terror

Telegraph: Reports " Have any words come back to haunt President Obama so much as his description of Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant last team as a “JV” - junior varsity - team of terrorists? "

Lets Get Real:

The Oval Office has one strategy when it comes to Iraq, pass the problem over the new President in 2017, the problem is that history does not wait, if IS get close to Baghdad then the US will have use its own troops, if Baghdad falls then Iraq falls, it is that simple and brutal.   It must be a nightmare for President Obama, he ran as a anti Iraq War candidate and he kept his promise to bring the troops back, the problem is he might be forced to send them back, so in 2017 the US will have troops in Afghanistan and Iraq.    The Oval is stalling waiting for an exit when it comes to Iraq, but none of the options look good, just a different level of bad.   This blog is predicting that the US sooner or later, and it looks sooner will have to place troops back in Iraq. 

IS Update - New War on Terror

Guardian: Reports " Iraqi PM warns Isis could become unstoppable as key city threatened...City of Ramadi ‘on verge of falling’ says adviser to Iraqi government  "

Lets Get Real:

It is time for the US and the UK to send in their special forces, at the end of the day the battle will be won on the ground, the Iraqi Army needed the help of Iran and US airplane attacks to get rid of IS from Tikrit, these two Countries in the case of IS are on the same page, but even then there are lines, Iran will not have US giving air support to its forces as they do not want to share victory with the US, while the US while wanting the Tehran Regime to take on IS does not want it to grow more of its power in Iraq, Syria and Yemen.   The backdrop to the fight in Iraq is the nuclear deal between the US and Iran, either its a good deal or President Obama has not read the fine print, the US Congress will read the fine print and see the secret parts of the deal.   The War with IS will take more than three years, thus the next US President will have to deal with Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran, Yemen,  other areas that have not blow up yet, there is enough time for more Crisis points before President Obama leaves Office in 2017. 

Does Blair still have IT in political terms - Election 2015

Telegraph: Reports " Either Tony Blair is an asset to Labour. In which case the constant attempts to “bury” his legacy were a major strategic own goal. Or he is a liability to Labour. In which case his emergence on the campaign trail his morning is a strategic own goal. "

Lets Get Real:

Lets face political reality, in his day Tony Blair was  a rock star of politics, he did win three elections for Labour, of course IRAQ will always be associated with Blair and the Blair Era, BUT should Iraq make everything else of the Blair Agenda seem negative.  The answer is no of course, there was peace in Northern Ireland, there was Western action in Bosnia and Kosovo, and a great economy for most people in the UK.   The modern Labour Party should learn from Blair, he has always argued up in till know that when Labours goes left it losses, lets see who is right, Blair or Miliband, have UK voters gone left or only in the mind of Miliband. 

The US Congress and Iran - Iran Crisis

The New York Times: Reports on the reaction from Democrats and Republicans on the Hill to the deal between the US and Iran, the article notes the following,  " Leading lawmakers from both parties in Congress responded cautiously on Thursday...demanding to review any final agreement but pointedly refraining from a vow to kill the accord. "

Lets Get Real:

Lets get the heart of the deal, the details, in the agreed plan there is no destruction of nuclear buildings, the nuclear material above those agreed by the US and Iran will be stored by the IAEA, thus in Country.   The Tehran Regime will cheat, it always does, the deal was struck by Obama as a press release to end his second term, he thinks he is Nixon and this is his  opening of China. YES POTUS is that out of it, the US has to deal with Tehran causing problems in Yemen, supporting Assad in Syria and supporting the Baghdad Regime in Iraq.  The Oval has just made Iran the major power in the region, once Obama is gone after 2017 Iran will rush for the bomb, this will cause an arms race in the Middle East, the Gulf States will want to the bomb, once you have the bomb no side will take you on, this was found in the case of the Ukraine, once they gave away their missiles the Russians had a free hand, this was shown by their actions in the Crimea and East Ukraine, the Gulf States do not trust the Obama Oval, in this they are supported by Israel.   The US Congress should place sanctions on Iran and force Obama to veto them, make him their defender of Iran.  Obama in his own mind thinks that he can make Iran Regime better, in that he is foolish.   The Tehran Regime is a major threat to the Middle East and the World. 

US/Iran talks Part 2 - Iran Crisis

Guardian: Reports " Iran nuclear talks: diplomats cite progress in attempt to seal deal..

• Sources at talks say draft understanding is two or three pages long "

Lets Get Real:

The uber liberal left wing press want a deal, they have learned nothing from Munich of 1938, they will not ask the tough questions, Will Iran Cheat? YES. Will Iran lie, YES, Will Iran play a role in the troubles of the Middle East, YES.    The Obama Oval wants a legacy and is willing to sell out the Gulf States and Israel.   These two very different allies should form an alliance to take out the nuclear threat of Iran, call the Oval Office's bluff, the US Congress will support an attack, and any sanctions ideas by the Oval will get a veto from the US Congress.    The Obama Oval is playing a game it does not understand and will not be around when it falls apart after 2017.   History has away of repeating itself,  Putin's Russia and Tehran are a threat to the entire World.   Putin wants a Greater Russia and Iran wants a greater Iran and for its neighbours to pay homage to it.   Weakness breads war, Obama is no Kennedy or Reagan. 

Saudi Arabia and Iran - Yemen Update 3 - Yemen Crisis

CNN - Politics:Reports " The Saudi Ambassador to the United States would not rule out the possibility of the Saudis creating their own nuclear bomb to counterbalance a nuclear-armed Iran "

Lets Get Real:

This is a clear threat to the Obama Administration, if Obama does a bad with with Iran then the Sunni Gulf States will start to make sure they are secure, and the only way to make sure your safe is to have a nuclear missile yourself.   Lets recall SA has the money to buy a nuclear weapon or get the best people on board to allow SA to develop a bomb faster.   The US Congress has to ACT, it should make sure that the Obama deal comes to Congress before the UN, if the Oval says not then the Congress should pass an Act of Congress to force him, one doubts that Democrats will want to see Iran with the bomb, Obama will be gone in 2017, and Dems will want support from the Israeli  Lobby, this US/Iran deal has a long way to go before it comes in to force, all politics is local. 

The Two State Solution - Israel and a Palestinian State - NEVER

The New York Times: Reports that Israeli PM, Benjamin Netanyahu has stated he now supporters a two State Solution to the Palestinian issue, after stating on the campaign trail that it would not happen while he was Prime Minister.

Lets Get Real:

The idea of a two State solution is dead in the water, and the Obama Administration will not push for one as it knows the political ramifications would make it sure that the next President would be a Republican.   The liberal left, New York Times, BBC, Guardian, have one aim, the creation of a Palestinian State no matter the result for the Jewish State of Israel.    Even if a Palestinian State was created, it would not be a real State, as Israel will not allow a State to have any military defence, the foreign policy would be set by Israel, and Israel would allow itself the take military action should any State become a threat.   The Israeli Lobby has to get its supporters out, place pressure on the Hill to make sure that Obama does not go through the UN route to create a State, the Jewish State of Israel is under threat and needs protection of its friends now, thus time for the Israeli Lobby to start spending money on those that support Israel through campaign funds, and TV adverts.  Netanyahu will be PM after President Obama leaves Office in 2017, one can expect a more friendly Oval Office at that time. 

US, Iran vs. Israel - 2nd Obama Term

The New York Times: Reports on the diplomatic style of US Secretary of State John Kerry, the article notes the following, " To critics, Mr. Kerry’s eagerness is an open invitation for the Iranians to press for concessions as the talks enter the final stage. "

Lets Get Real:

One gets the impression that Secretary Kerry is following the path of British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain who thought he alone could prevent War with Germany, thus the Munich agreement allowed Hitler to take over part of then Czech Republic, before marching in to Prague later.  Chamberlain like Kerry and President Obama was arrogant, clever people always think they know best, its others who suffer when they turn out to be wrong.   Thus Israel should make it clear to the Oval Office if they think the deal is wrong they will take action no matter what the Obama wants or thinks.    A Israeli attack on Iran would force US politicians to make a choice, would they support Israel or Iran, if they want to get re-elected they will support Israel, Obama will be out of Office in 2017, the Israeli lobby will be around for longer.