Impeachment, The Democratic Base vs. The Leadership - Election 2020

Daily Mail: Reports " Democratic leaders prepare to hear from rank-and-file lawmakers eager to impeach Trump in first caucus-wide call since the Mueller report  "

Lets Get Real:

CNN has been pushing impeachment since the Mueller Report came it, the problem is that voters on the whole seem disinterested, you have the fanatical liberals who just want to impeach, the wiser heads the LEADERSHIP establishment know what happened to the Republicans when they impeached Bill Clinton 1998, they lost seats in the Mid Terms of that year.  Speaker Pelosi after getting her old job back does not want to lose it because some political fanatics just want political porn, the House with a Democratic majority could impeach, the question is will a new members from Conservative States support the move, could it lead to a split within the Democratic Party.   If the Democrats do impeach, it could be a bonus for POTUS, he could argue that the Mueller Report and the US Attorney General found his innocent of collusion and obstruction of justice and that liberals have gone more unhinged after that.   Even if the House does pass Articles of Impeachment, the Senate will say NO, then POTUS will be found innocent.   Then Trump will tarnish those Democrats running for President who support the move. This could lead to the Republicanas retaking the House and keeping the Oval Office.  ARE THE DEMOCRATS THAT STUPID. 

No State of the Union - Trump Era

Guardian - Live Blog: Reports in its 4.58pm post the following, " Steny Hoyer, the Democratic majority leader in the House, makes plain “the State of the Union is off” in an interview with CNN.  "

Lets Get Real:

One doubts that POTUS wants to go to a Democratic controlled House, but the FACT that the Democrats have called off a State of the Union could be thrown back in their faces, what if Trump does it from the Oval Office.   The Democrats should be careful not to overplay their hand, whatever one thinks of Trump he is the President of the United States, you have to respect the Office if not the man.   It will be interesting to see how POTUS reacts to this news, one can be sure CNN will be ALL over the story, of course taking the side of the Democrats.  This is just the start, once the Democrats start to investigate Trump, expect constant live hearings on the TV, the good news for Trump is the FACT that the Democrats do not control the Senate.   Fun times ahead in Washington. 

President Trump's THREAT to close the US and Mexico Border - Trump Era

BBC News: Reports " Donald Trump has threatened to shut down the border with Mexico over illegal immigration if Congress fails to fund his proposed wall.  "

Lets Get Real:

This is HARDBALL politics from the Trump Oval, the President if he wishes to be taken at his word should keep the Government closed and close down the border between Mexico and the US.   As of January the Democrats control the House, make them OWN the shutdown, most US civil servants it can be argued are liberals, how long will these voters allow the Democrats to STALL over funding of a WALL.  The Trump Oval has to be TOUGH, it has to make the Democrats eat crow, make them look weak, make the candidates for 2020 support every Democrat move, time for Trump to be ruthless if he wants to get re-elected in 2020. 

The Florida Senate Result - US Mid Terms - Trump Era

BBC News: Reports " Florida's outgoing Republican Governor Rick Scott has declared victory in a contested Senate race in the state.  "

Lets Get Real:

Thus the Republicans have 52 Seats in the Senate while the Democrats have 47, there is still one race outstanding.   This result means that the Republicans can push through Trump Judges and confirmations for the Cabinet.   The Republican Majority Leader will have to listen less to moderates in his ranks, even more so if the Republicans can add another Seats to their ranks.  The Republicans can expect the Democrats to try and impeach President Trump, this will NEVER happen as the Republican Senate will never convict, their voters would never support the idea.  The political fun starts next year, the Democrats have the House and the 2020 cycle starts.  

The New US Attorney General - Mid Terms Update 4 - Trump Era

Guardian - Live Reporting: Reports in its 8.15 post the following, " Last year, the new acting attorney general, Matthew Whitaker, wrote a CNN opinion piece arguing special counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation of Trump “is going too far.”  "

Lets Get Real:

IF your the White House you must be thinking you have two months to ACT, the Democrats do not take over in till January, thus in that time Trump could sack the Special Prosecutor, close down the Russian investigation, and dare the Democrats to impeach him, let us recall that the Republicans control the Senate, there will be no impeachment.   If the Oval Office was very ruthless and smart, it would act now, the Democrats will go through the roof but they can not do anything for a while, while the Republican can be expected to go along.   The Republican Party is now the Party of Donald Trump, and he gets Republicans elected to the Senate. 

Sessions Update - Mid Terms Update 3 - Trump Era

Sky News - Live Reporting: Reports in its 8.01pm post the resignation letter of Attorney General Jeff Sessions, the letter states the following, " At your request, I am submitting my resignation. "

Lets Get Real:

The Oval Office must know be tempted to sack the Special Prosecutor, the Republicans hold the Senate, one doubts that ANY will actually defend the Special Prosecutor, also they know that the Republican Party is know the Trump Party, they will be looking forward to their own re-election.   The two Republican moderates in the Senate will have less power as the Republicans have increased their number, it could lead to an interesting clash between the House and Senate.   It will be interesting to watch the moves of POTUS over the next few days. 

POTUS on the Mid Terms - Update 2 - Trump Era

BBC News: Reports " US President Donald Trump has hailed "tremendous success" in the mid-term elections after a night of mixed results for his Republican party...The Republicans are on course to increase their representation from 51 to 54 in the 100-seat Senate upper chamber.  "

Lets Get Real:

The President was as combative as ever, having a go at the liberal press, that will go down well with the Republican base.   The base will be overjoyed that the Republicans have kept the Senate, they can carry on to appoint Conservative Judges, and could get another Supreme Court pick.   The Attorney General Jeff Sessions has already gotten the CHOP, then POTUS will pick a AG who will do as he is told when it comes to the Special Prosecutor.    The President can be expected to move to foreign policy in his last two years of the first term, the Democrats will block his domestic agenda, on the international front the Oval Office has more power.    On the Democratic side it will be interesting to see how new Speaker Pelosi deals with the fact that her hard liberal base will want to impeach Trump while those just elected will be looking at 2020, they will want to show that they have done something for two years, just going after Trump will not cut it in moderate States.   Thus we shall see how good a deal maker POTUS  is when faced with a divided government. 

The 2018 Mid Term Results - Update - Trump Era

RealClearPolitics: Reports on the results of the 2018 Mid Term results.   The Democrats have taken the House with 220 Seats while the Republicans have held the Senate by 52, there are two outstanding results that could also go Republican, giving them 54 Seats.  

Lets Get Real:

It was a LONG NIGHT, but the results followed expectations, even the Republicans gaining more Seats than expected.   The results showed two Americas, there are VERY red States and blue States.   POTUS got his vote out in these States thus the better than expected results for the Republicans in the Senate.   In the Blue States Middle Class women with a a degrees sent a rebuke to the White House,  thus some of the unexpected gains by the Democrats.   The Trump White House can expected investigations from the Democrats, even the threat of impeachment.   This could work for POTUS, he could say that he is working on the agenda of the American people while the Democrats are feeding their base.   The race of 2020 started last night, it will be interesting to see who the contenders are, will HRC run again, one has doubts, it is a BIG FIELD.   The Democrats need some younger, female and from a ethnic background, that should appeal to voters who voted Democratic in 2018.    One has doubts that any real Republicans will run against Trump, in less the Special Prosecutor finds something really damaging.    The the fun of divided Government starts today, that is healthy for US democracy. 

Trump and Iran - Trump Era

Sky News: Reports " US vows to be 'relentless' in pressuring Iran after vow to break sanctions..Hassan Rouhani compared Donald Trump to former Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein as his military kicked off air defence war games.  "

Lets Get Real:

The 2018 Mid Terms could have an interesting reaction in the field of foreign policy, if the Democrats take the House, they will try to block or roll back the Trump Agenda, thus the Trump Oval might move to foreign policy, that has been the practice in the past.   The Oval Office has more room to ACT in foreign policy and does not need the approval of Congress to ACT.  An American President can go to war without the okay from Congress, the War Powers Act states that a President after a limited time must ask for Congressional support, as in money, but in that time the Oval is in charge.   The Trump Oval might decide to take on Iran, force the Democrats in the House to oppose, make it an issue for 2020.  As someone once said, everything is political. 

Mid Terms 2018 - Update - Trump Era

BBC News: Reports " Race-baiting allegations have mired the homestretch of the US mid-term elections, turning it into one of the ugliest campaigns in recent times.  "

Lets Get Real:

IF the polls are right then the Democrats will take the House, while the Republicans keep the Senate.   In looking at 2020 this might be good for POUTS.  This blog is not interested in what you want to hear, from either liberals or conservatives, it gives you its best review of outcomes.   A Democratic House will have tons of investigations in to the Trump White House, if the Republicans can keep the Senate then they can block most, nearly all Democratic actions, the Democrats will part of the Government machine, they will have to justify their actions and policy , the Democratic nominee in 2020 will have to support a Democratic House.  Thus the fun starts after the election. 

Donald Trump and Migrants - Trump Era

Sky News: Reports " Donald Trump details plan for tougher US entry for migrants..The president said that if migrants "throw rocks at our military" then US soldiers should "consider it a rifle".  "

Lets Get Real:

This is the rhetoric of HATE from POTUS, one can only assume that the White House political operation have given up on the House and want to make sure that they keep the Senate Republican.    This blog is from the hard school of politics, winning, but this is FAR to FAR by a US President.  One can only hope that the US voter rejects the language and supports the Democrats in the House and Senate.   All those that take an interest in US politics seem of the view that the Democrats will take the House, but the Republicans will keep the Senate, in other words the White House can block the House and its investigations.   My ruthless political gut is telling me the House will be a lot closer than people think, ( but then this blog supported HRC through 2016, but placed a £5 bet on Trump winning ) It will be interesting to see if my brain is right or my gut is right on the money. 

The US Mid Terms 2018 - Trump Era

BBC News: Reports " The US mid-term elections in four days' time will help define the rest of Donald Trump's presidency.  "

Lets Get Real:

The general view of those that comment and write about US politics is that the Democrats will take the House and the Republicans should keep the Senate.  POTUS needs to keep the Senate as to block Democrat moves in the House, also if the Democrats try to impeach Trump the Republican Senate can block them.   When the Democrats take control of the House the Trump White House can expect more investigations, more pressure from the left of the Democratic Party to impeach POTUS.   President Trump has stated many times that he is a good businessman, well he will have to deal with Speaker Pelosi, who will be US Speaker for the 2nd time.  A Democratic HOUSE might help Trump in 2020, he can argue that the Democrats have done NOTHING, that the US voter to guard the economic success of the Trump Era should give Trump a 2nd term as President.   The fun starts after next Tuesday/Wednesday morning. 

Trump on Today's terror attempts - Trump Era

Guardian - Live Reporting: Reports in its 7.33pm post the following, " President Trump called the attempted bombings “despicable” and vowed that the federal government would not rest until the perpetrators are found.  "

Lets Get Real:

At last POTUS is acting Presidential, one wonders will he tone down  his attacks on Democrats and the media, of course the question is how long can keep himself quiet, there are the Mid Terms coming up, he does not want to lose the House or Senate, he favourite targets are HRC and the uber liberal press, one can postulate that his attacks on the media such as CNN have been seen by those on the extreme right as giving a green light for such terror actions.   This is of course what the media will say, then the opposition forces will go back to fighting on the airwaves and on social media.   Everything these days is POLITICAL. 

Terror Threats to Bill & Hillary Clinton, President Obama and Others - Trump Era

BBC News: Reports " Suspected explosive devices were sent to former US President Barack Obama and ex-Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, the US Secret Service has said.  "

Lets Get Real:

The FBI, Homeland Security and other US intelligence and law enforcement agencies will be after the terrorists would sent these bombs.   The threats were aimed at Democrats or those supporting Democrats, thus one has to assume that the would be terrorists are loony right wing extremists.   The FACT that the White House was not a target points the finger at the extreme right.   One would hope the FBI, State and local Police Forces will catch these terrorists and throw them in to jail and throw away the key.   A Democracy is about debate, even heated debate, but the use of terrorism can never be accepted.    NOW let's get to the politics, this brazen terrorist attack should get the liberal base out, also one can expect the liberal press to be ALL over the issue.  This is a say day for US Democracy, thank goodness for the US secret service and other Police authorities. 

Justice Kavanaugh on the Bench - Trump Era

BBC News: Reports " Brett Kavanaugh confirmation: Victory for Trump in Supreme Court battle "

Lets Get Real:

This blog is happy that Justice Kavanaugh was confirmed and has been sworn on to the bench, but Republicans and Conservatives have to be careful, the Democrats in the House have said that they might try to impeach the Justice, Republicans and Conservatives need to vote in the November elections.   The Democrats will try anything to subvert the Supreme Court, as one Democratic  Senator has said, an accused must prove he is innocent, not the other way around.   The Republican Party and the President need to get the VOTE out, the Democrats could still win the House, and try to subvert the Trump Agenda. 

The Kavanaugh Confirmation Hearing - Update 2 - Trump Era

Guardian - Live Reporting: Reports the following in its 7.38pm post, " The Republican senator, Lisa Murkowski, says she supports the proposed one-week delay to the US Senate’s Kavanaugh vote...The committee cannot force such a delay but Republicans hoping to push through the nomination in a full Senate vote will need all the support they can get, meaning it would be difficult for them to steamroller wavering the likes of Murkowski and Flake and win.  "

Lets Get Real:

The White House and the Senate Majority Leader should be placing pressure on Republican Senators to fall in to line, those that are seeking re-election should be reminded that a angry President can make sure that any requests from a Senator for funding in her or his State can be rejected.   That fund raising for the next election could be hit, the American election cycle is never over, it is endless.   The Democrats have stalled the process for a week, they can not be allowed to derail the process.   The election of 2016 has results. 

Cohen on Trump and Russia - Trump Era

BBC News: Reports " US President Donald Trump's ex-lawyer, Michael Cohen, is said to be "more than happy" to speak to the inquiry into alleged collusion with Russia.  "

Lets Get Real:

The worry for POTUS is the fact that his former personal lawyer will talk to the Russian investigation and his lawyer is a well known Democrat, something most of the press on this side of the Atlantic seems to have missed, he has spent years in the defence of Bill and Hillary Clinton.   The next major step is the Mid Terms, if the Democrats take the House they could impeach Trump but the issue then moves to the Senate, that is a different matter, it would need Republicans to get rid of Trump, that will not happen if there is not more from the Russian investigation.   

Michael Cohen Guilty - Trump Era

Sky News: Reports " Donald Trump's former lawyer says he and the president arranged hush money payments to influence the election.  "

Lets Get Real:

More Bad news for the Trump Oval, the President's former personal lawyer has done a DEAL with the FEDS over hush money to alleged women who had affairs with the President.   The use of campaign funds to keep the women  from telling their story is  against the law, the question is what happens NEXT.   The Democrats will use the issue in the Mid Terms and 2020 election.   The left in the Democratic Party want to impeach Trump if they win the House, the case would then go to the Senate, there the chances of success are slim. The left wing press are ALL over the story. 

The THINKING of Trump behind his latest Tweet - Trump Era

Guardian: Reports " Trump’s lashing out Wednesday morning appeared to be prompted by the trial of former Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort, which began on Tuesday and which is being prosecuted by Mueller’s team....“These old charges have nothing to do with Collusion – a Hoax!” Trump tweeted in reference to the Manafort trial.  "

Lets Get Real:

The Trump Oval must be afraid that Paul Manafort will turn on him, Mr Manafort faces a LONG jail term IF convicted, it has been argued that the Special Prosecutor is waiting for that thus the heavy chagres bough by the prosecutor.   The President could pardon Mr Manafort but that would not look good and the Democrats would run on the issue in the Mid terms and in 2020.   It is said that POTUS is watching the trail with an eagle eye, always asking for updates and the advice of his lawyers.    Manafort case is the top issue at the White House, interesting days ahead for the Trial. 

POTUS on the Russian Investigation - Trump Era

Daily Mail: Reports " Trump tells Jeff Sessions to put an end to Russia probe as he claims prosecutors doing Robert Mueller's 'dirty work are a disgrace' to America  "

Lets Get Real:

If the Trump Oval has the backbone it would sack the Special Prosecutor, the President has the power, the reason that he has not acted is the fact that the reaction on the Hill would not be good and it would help the Democrats in the Mid Terms in November.   The President should take the risk, it can be argued that most Republicans will stay quiet on the subject, while the Democrats will go to town on the issue.    Does POTUS have the backbone, is he man enough to do the job?