HERE WE GO AGAIN? Trump suggests birther theory about Harris - US Presidential Election

BBC News: Reports " President Donald Trump says he has heard Democratic running mate Kamala Harris "doesn't qualify" to serve as US vice-president, amplifying a fringe legal theory critics decry as racist.  "

Lets Get Real:

Thus POTUS is up to his OLD TRICKS, after going after Barack Obama with his birther theory, he is NOW going after Senator Kamala Harris, the Democratic nominee for Vice - President.   The 2020 will be a battle in the trenches, all sides will play dirty, but to use  a racist theory against the Senator is foolish, as all she has to say is look at my record, a tough Attorney General in California, the issue would have come up by now if it was reality.  If this is the best that the Trump/Harris campaign can do, the Biden victory will be BIG in November. 

The Democrats ATTACK Trump - US Presidential Election 2020

BBC News: Reports " Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden and running mate Kamala Harris have attacked "whining" President Donald Trump as an incompetent leader who has left the US "in tatters".  " 

Lets Get Real:

This blog is nominally supporting Biden/Harris, but let's be clear, that is because Biden is the lesser evil here, any country that can have Trump vs.  Biden is in deep trouble.  It does remind one of the last days of the Roman Republic, who will be the new Augustus, will it be Kamala Harris, one shall see.  The Senator has the charisma, but does she have the chops for a Presidential campaign, we shall see, her run for the Oval Office fell flat, and of course it depends what Trump DOES, he will do something, let's hope it's not WAR with IRAN.   The US really needs a JFK or Reagan, it has not been lucky at present, it has Trump vs. Biden. 

It's Kamala for Biden - VP pick choice - US Presidential Election 2020

Politico: Reports " Biden picks Kamala Harris as VP nominee.Harris, the daughter of immigrants from Jamaica and India, was the wire-to-wire frontrunner for Biden’s No. 2 job.  "

Lets Get Real:

Thus the next US VP will be Senator Kamala Harris, this is a good move by Biden, she has a record as tough prosecutor and not afraid to show elbows when it comes to debates, she went after Biden in one debate.   Let's hope Biden has gotten blood oath from her that she will be loyal, while he is the Oval he does not want to worry that his VP has measured the drapes for the Oval Office when she moves in.  Thus the Presidential fight starts today!!

Who will Biden chose as his VP? - US 2020 Presidential Election

BBC News: Reports " Joe Biden extends lead over rival Sanders in Democratic presidential race "

Lets Get Real:

Thus as stated in my post on Monday, Biden took Michigan and is on the way to become the Democratic Nominee, the next step for Biden, is who will be his VP.  It can be taken for granted that Biden has the African - American vote, and more so when Obama comes out to support him.  Thus a President Biden is looking for a younger VP, one that brings something to the table,  thus Beto can bring Texas into play, while Kamala Harris would bring in ethnic vote, also she is a tough former Prosecutor, that always looks good in a general election.  Thus this blog's favourite candidate for the post, Mayor Pete, he  is gay and married, that would bring in the gay vote and uber liberal voters.  It can be argued that Biden will beat Trump, it would be good to have a steady hand in the Oval Office, no more crazy actions.  A No Drama Biden would be good for the US. 

Joe Biden will be the Democratic Nominee, Michigan will be a walk over - US 2020 Election

BBC News: Reports " Democratic presidential hopeful Joe Biden has picked up another prize endorsement from a former rival, Cory Booker.  "

Lets Get Real:

The Democratic race is over, after Super Tuesday and winning a majority of the States the former VP is on course for a big win in the State of Michigan.  The failure of the Sanders campaign to get the YOUTH VOTE has undermined his campaign theme,also the Democratic Establishment is NOW fully on board.  It can be argued that Joe Biden is the biggest comeback kid of American politics, most commentators and this blog thought Biden was TOAST, but South Carolina was his firewall and the black vote came out to support the former VP to Obama.   Thus we know enter the general election, Trump vs Biden.  It is going to be a SHOW, like no other. 

Kamala OUT of the 2020 Election - US Election 2020

Guardian: Reports " Kamala Harris drops out of Democratic 2020 presidential race...California senator had started strongly before fading and had lately focused all efforts on Iowa "

Lets Get Real:

It is a pity that Senator Harris is OUT, she was an impressive candidate who seems could not make her mind up if she was on the left or the right, a track record as Prosecutor who make you think she was on the right, but her attempt to out Liberal Warren and Sanders was a mistake.   The rot started when she said that the US should abolish private health cover, this went down like a lead balloon with voters and since then she has tried to repair the damage.  There is always 2024 if Trump wins in 2020 or she could be the VP choice for Biden in 2020. Kamala will be back, it took the Gipper three attempts before he won the Oval Office. 

Trump to be Impeached - US 2020 Election

BBC News: Reports " Evidence for impeaching US President Donald Trump for misconduct in office is "overwhelming", according to the panel leading the impeachment inquiry. "

Lets Get Real:

Thus the Democratic held House WILL impeached Trump before Christmas and then it goes to the Senate, the Senate is run by the Republicans, they will not convict and thus Trump will be declared innocent of ALL CHARGES and the Democrats have just handed Trump a 2nd term.   The last impeachment was in 1998, when the Republican House impeached Bill Clinton and he was found not guilty in the Senate, in the 2000 elections the Republicans lost Seats in the House and Vice - President Gore had to pay the political cost for Bill Clinton by losing to Bush 43.

Sanders and Warren lead in New Hampshire - US Election 2020

CNN - Politics: Reports " Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders (21%) and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren (18%) are in a close race among likely voters in New Hampshire's first-in-the-nation Democratic presidential primary, according to a new CNN poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire.  "

Lets Get Real:

The question that has to be asked, is VP Biden finished, he leads in some national polls but in the States he has been overtaken by Sanders or Warren.  One has to assume that President Obama might need to have a word with his former VP, either to get in to the game or considering getting out of the race.  It can be postulated that Barack Obama legacy was hurt by the fact that Hillary Clinton did not win 2016, he does not want to see his VP defeated.   The only thing keeping Biden in the race is the support of the African - American vote, but will last if he loses Iowa and New Hampshire.  It can be argued that the Democratic Establishment should start thinking of getting another candidate, thus we come to HRC, she did win the popular vote in 2016 and she needs something to do, also one would have hoped she would have learned the lessons of 2016, listen to Bill Clinton more, he knows about winning elections. 

Warren LEADS in Iowa, Biden 4th in a new poll - US Election 2020

The Hill: Reports " Warren beats Buttigieg; Biden in fourth in new Iowa poll "

Lets Get Real:

If the Biden Campaign is taking comfort in the their lead in a recent national poll they are making a great political mistake.  At the end of the day it is down to the States, and these polls have not been good for Biden when it comes to Iowa and New Hampshire.  The Biden Campaign can not afford to lose Iowa and NH, this would give great political momentum to Warren if she can win both States.  The great lead that Biden has in SC due in part to the African - American vote could fall fast if Warren is seen as the winner.  Also Biden has to worry about Mayor Pete, he is 2nd in this new poll from Iowa.  Senator Harris who placed all her bets on winning Iowa and is no show.  Biden has to hit Iowa and NH hard, otherwise he will become yesterday's man fast.  Let not forget that the impeachment of Trump and his Senate Trial will take up the early months of 2020, a political distraction, the Democratic candidate need all the free TV coverage they can get. 

Hillary vs. Tulsi - Part 2 - US Election 2020

Fox News: Reports " 2020 Dems dismiss Hillary Clinton’s attacks, rally to Tulsi Gabbard’s defense over Russia accusation "

Lets Get Real:

As stated in my previous most, either HRC has lost the plot or is planning to get in to the 2020 race, why attack a candidate so low in the ratings, we all respect to Rep, Gabbard's she is not in the top tier and at least she has served her Nation, unlike Bill Clinton or Bush 43 in Vietnam ( let's be be fair, Bush 43 was in the Texas national guard as a flyer and had a uniform).   It is interesting to see from the article that the feud between the two ladies goes back to 2016 when Gabbard supported Senator Sanders, the Clintons NEVER forget or forgive.  If HRC is going to make such statement from the touch line then she should expect to be attacked, if she really thinks the above she should get in to the race, she did win the popular vote in 2016 and did not grandstand over the issue, unlike Al Gore in 2000 over Florida.  Run HRC, the Crown could still be yours. 

Has HRC LOST Her Marbles? - US Election 2020

Sky News: Reports " Democratic candidate Tulsi Gabbard calls Hillary Clinton 'embodiment of corruption' over Russia-bots slur...The presidential hopeful attacks the former US secretary of state after suggestions Ms Gabbard is "a favourite of the Russians".  "

Lets Get Real:

In normal process Presidential LOSERS, either fade away or are made Ambassador to Japan.  It seems that there is still fire in the belly of Hillary Clinton, it was all meant to be different, he was supposed to be Democratic nominee in 2008, and then again she was on the road to the Oval Office in 2016, she had had a speech ready, and in the end in 07 she lost to Barack Obama and then she won the popular vote in 2016 but lost the electoral college to Donald Trump of all people.   IF HRC really feels that Gabbard is a favourite of Russia she herself should get in to the race, it is not to late and it would spark more media attention on the field.  The Clinton Camp could argue that she won the popular vote in 2016 and VP Biden is hitting the skids, due to lack luster stage performance and the attacks by Trump on his son's business dealings in THE Ukraine.   If Reagan can run three times, 1968, 1976 and 1980,  why not HRC in 2020, if she is that rattled by the field, she should either get back in to the presidential race or spend more time with her grandkids, shouting from the touch line does not help. 

Mayor Pete SURGES in Iowa - US Election 2020

USA Today: Reports on a new poll that finds Mayor Pete Buttigieg surging in Iowa, the poll states, " The poll, taken Wednesday through Friday, put Biden at 18%, Warren at 17% and Buttigieg at 13% among 500 likely Democratic caucusgoers.  "

Lets Get Real:

It would not shock this blog if Mayor Pete could WIN in Iowa and NH, he is a war hero, he is young and he is gay, if that does not tick all the boxes for the LIBERAL Democrats then nothing will.   It can be postulated that VP Biden has hit the skids, the attack on Biden and his family by POTUS might have caused damage, and the fact that Warren is seen as being evasive on how she would fund her medical reform has not helped her.   The fact that Senator Sanders had a heart attack and did not tell the press for three days has pricked his balloon as representing the left and honesty.   It is still far too early to predict who will win Iowa, and let's recall New Hampshire likes to go its own way, so winning Iowa does not mean you have a shot in NH.  The front runners , Biden, Warren and now Mayor Pete have to spend the next the next three months in Iowa, they have to feel like a resident.   Of course the impeachment investigation is over shadowing the race, that is why Democratic leaders want it quick and finished by Thanksgiving.   Advice to candidates, wear heavy coats, its very cold in IOWA and NH in December and January. 

Does former President Obama want to see Biden as the nominee? - Election 2020

Fox News: Reports " Axelrod claims Biden 'serially distorting' record, 'in danger of creating more damaging' trend with gaffes "

Lets Get Real:

One does wonder if a former top adviser to President Obama, would write this if not having been given approval by the former POTUS.  This blog has noticed that on CNN David Axelrod has been more critical of the former VP than other guests, sometimes he is the only one who can bring a CNN panel back to earth with the political reality.   It did come as surprise to this blog that President Obama did not want Biden to run in 2016, he thought that HRC had a better chance of winning the White House, its shows that the political skill of Obama is pretty much about himself, at least the Great Reagan helped get his VP elected in 1988.   Does Obama want a different candidate to Biden, a younger, ethnic candidate, and that does not include Senator Warren.  How many gaffes can Biden get away with before his numbers being to fall. 

Biden the GAFFE MACHINE - Election 2020

CNN -  Politics: Reports on the latest major gaff by former VP, Joe Biden, " The Post reported that Biden got "the time period, the location, the heroic act, the type of medal, the military branch and the rank of the recipient wrong, as well as his own role in the ceremony" in the story about the Afghan veteran.  "

Lets Get Real:

The US voter can forgive gaffes if they have a fondness for the candidate, the Great Gipper while in Office had a few gaffes, on a mico once, he was testing the mic, the President declared he had signed a bill to abolish the USSR and the US was about to start bombing.  Of course the LIBERAL press made sure it got in the headlines, in a way Reagan did get rid of the USSR, he spent them into oblivion through SDI and Afghanistan.  The question is can VP Biden make the US voter fond of him, as they were of Reagan, let's be clear Biden is NO REAGAN, but when it's a match up between Biden and Trump, you go with the lesser evil, that is  a Biden White House.  Of course Robert Gates, the former Defence Secretary has stated that Biden has been on the wrong side of national security issues for decades, that would be the cost of Biden.  It's funny old world. 

Is Biden FINISHED? - Election 2020

Daily Mail: Reports " Joe Biden slumps into three-way tie with Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren in new 2020 primary poll that gives more than HALF of the Democrats 1% or less  "

Lets Get Real:

Folks, you need to be cautions with any poll, does it start a TREND or is it a snafu, in the campaign.  If this starts a trend then Biden is FINISHED, and let's be clear, at this moment in time the State polls are more important, national polls can be the last to find a trend.  It seems that Biden is not having a good time, he is making gaffes you expect from a man of his age, that is a PR disaster, and Biden is no Ronald Reagan, the TEFLON President or JFK.  One moderate or conservative voters start to feel that Biden is not going to win they will transfer to other candidates, either to Warren or Sanders on the LEFT or someone one like Senator Harris to represent moderate side of the Party.  If this blog was in the Biden Campaign, it would send its candidate to Iowa and New Hampshire and keep the national media at some distance, they do not seem friendly to Biden, well if CNN is the example. 

Warren says SORRY again for claiming to be a Native American - Election 2020

BBC News: Reports on the latest remarks by Senator Warren as she runs for the Democratic Nomination for 2020, " At a forum in Sioux City, Iowa, the Massachusetts senator and Democratic presidential candidate publicly apologised for her claims to indigenous heritage.  "

Lets Get Real:

The problem for Senator Warren is not her claim to have Native American Ancestry, it is the FACT that she shares most of her votes with Senator Sanders, if Warren wants to be the Democratic Nominee she has to go after Sanders when they are on the debate stage, otherwise the left will split its vote between Warren and Sanders and allow the more moderate Joe Biden to take the nomination.  The Twitter base might be left wing, but the more moderate and Conservative Democrats want a candidate who can beat POTUS.   In their heart of hearts the Democrats really want Warren but she is a vote LOSER in 2020, she is FAR TO LEFT WING and she worries the base that the Country would rather vote for Trump than a left wing candidate.  It should be stated, this still August, and it's not national polls that matter but State Polls, one poll had Warren ahead in Iowa, thus far no other polls have followed that TREND. 

The Republican PITCH in 2020 - Election 2020

Fox News: Reports on remarks by President Trump at a rally, " Trump tells NH rallygoers 'we have a bunch of socialists or communists to beat' -- as Dem rivals gather nearby  "

Lets Get Real:

The problem for POTUS in head to head matches, all the main Democratic candidates beat him, of course they getting more press attention, and the liberal media is acting as part of their campaigns.  The question is how the actually nominee handles himself or herself in the general election.   Senator Warren has stated that she is a Capitalist, that she is different from Senator Sanders who is a socialist Democrat or the other way around.   One can expect a dirty brutal fight in 2020, Trump will go areas that no other candidate will, he does not turn up to a knife fight with a knife, he goes for the nuclear.  Thus ALL the policy papers released by Warren  if she is the nominee will be gone through to show that she is unfit to be President.   Thus the Republicans will define the Democratic nominee as a socialist or a communist, very FAR LEFT, this campaign has a long way to go.  It is to early for this blog to call the Democratic race, we will have to wait for who is left standing in Iowa and New Hampshire in the early months of 2020. 

Is Senator Warren the REAL THREAT to POTUS - Election 2020

The Hill: Reports " Trump pledges to 'revive' Pocahontas nickname for Warren "

Lets Get Real:

Is VP Biden a busted flush, has his gaffes on the campaign trail come around again to sink him in the 2020 race.  The latest poll has Senator Warren ahead in Iowa, a big win in Iowa could lead to her winning New Hampshire, if she did that then the Sanders supporters it can be postulated would move to back Warren.  But then we have to recall this August, the silly season when it comes to politics, mos pols are on holiday, expect those Democrats running for President.  In most of the national polls and State polls Biden is still leading, his gaffes have become more common, this in itself is not a disqualification, the Great Gipper made a few mistakes in his time, these gaffs can endear a candidate to voters, if they trust he is on his game most of the time.  There is a Democratic debate in September, that should see Warren and Biden on the same stage, also Sanders, this blog is calling the race over for Sanders, he has not made the impact that he did in 2016 against HRC, sooner or later the money will dry up for him.   Of course if he comes out fighting in September and can take out either Biden or Warren then he still might have  chance, this blog is not holding its breath on that coming to pass.   POTUS will love to fight Warren, or has he calls her Pocahontas, Warren has great support on the extreme left wing of the Party, her nomination would play in to the hands of Trump, he would call her a socialist, the Republicans could retake the House and keep the Senate in 2020.  But let's recall its August 2019 not 2020. 

Warren LEADS in IOWA - Election 2020

Its August Folks, some REAL NEWS from Iowa:

Iowa Starting Line ( They take donations ): Reports on a new poll, " Warren was the top pick of 28% of likely Iowa Caucus-goers in the poll, an 11-point lead over the nearest competitor. Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders were both tied for second with 17% each.   "

Lets Get Real:

This is one poll from Iowa, could be a trend or a snafu, it will be interesting to see other polls from Iowa.  In 1980 Bush 41 won Iowa against Ronald Reagan, ( the Reagan Campaign decided not to play in Iowa and therefore Reagan did not debate Bush 41 ), the win for Bush 41 was a shock, Bush 41 claimed the BIG MO was with him in the run up to New Hampshire, well Reagan won the debate and the State, thus his famous line to a debate moderator, " Mr Green I paid for his microphone ).  The rest is history.  In 2008 the Senator Barack Obama won in Iowa, thus showing he could get the white vote ( Senator Harris really has to spend ALL HER TIME in Iowa ), this forced HRC to win New Hampshire.  It can be argued if ONE candidates takes Iowa and New Hampshire, there is no stopping them.  It would be fun to see Trump vs Warren, Trump would win, as Warren is far to left wing even for Democrats. 

POTUS goes after poor Immigrants who seek Federal support - Election 2020

BBC News: Reports " Trump targets legal migrants who get food aid "

Lets Get Real:

This blog can be tough as anyone when it comes to immigration, but stopping people getting food or housing is JUST WRONG.  The State is there to protect people that fall due to economic other circumstances below the common net for people, it is these people that require government support, is the Trump Administration saying that families should not get ANY FOOD from the Federal State or that they should be housed in the gutter, what happen to Christian values of helping people who have fallen.   One is shocked that the Republicans have not come out against the move, one is sure a JFK or Reagan would never employ such action.   This new rule is going to the Courts, one hopes that the Courts or Congress negate this rule, it's bad for the image of the US and for the reality of immigrants in the US.