Wednesday, October 26, 2022

The Lame Duck Session of Congress after the Mid Terms - Biden Era

CNN: Reports on the fear that the Republicans could take the House, thus block or waterdown support for Ukraine, thus after the Mid terms the Democrats, " might try to pass a mammoth bill during the lame-duck Congress, which they will still control after the midterms even if the GOP wins, to carry Ukraine through next year’s fighting.  "

Lets Get Real:

Thus the Kremlin perspective might be two fold, hope that WINTER is harsh, and that will force the West to beg for Russian gas, to warm houses and keep business going, the price would be the removal of Western support for the Ukraine.  On the US Mid Terms the Russians have their fans within the Republican, stage entrance DONALD TRUMP, the question has to be asked, will the defeated Democrats really want to explain to their voters why they have just given billions to the Ukraine, with inflation in double figures.  Also when the Republicans come in January they will not be pleased that the Democrats have used the delay in changing power to fund the Ukraine for MONTHS.  Thus Putin might be MAD, but he is not a fool, he could still WIN, and then he might try to take KYIV again, and will they WEST really stop him, if they need Russian Gas, it's going to get tricky folks. 

Biden drops to 40% Approval in new Gallup Poll - Biden Era


Lets Get Real:

This blog will be doing more about the Mid Terms are they get closer, if your a Democrat in a RED STATE, you will not be happy, once a POTUS gets to the above low number, then his coattails will not help you win your House or Senate Seat.  POTUS really damaged himself with the withdrawal from Afghanistan, there was no one their to STOP HIM, when he was Vice - President it didn't matter, that President could overrule him, well Biden is NOW POTUS, and his foreign policy has been a disaster, as stated he withdrew from Kabul and managed to get 13 US Military personnel killed, he did not add troops that could have protected the area.  With China there is the growing THREAT that they will invade Taiwan, POTUS has gone off the reservation by stating that the US will defend the Island.  The White House has had to walk back those remarks. Then we come to the Ukraine, POTUS could not protect the Ukraine from being invaded.  Thus the present WAR in the Ukraine.  Then we come to Iran, it can be argued that Tehran has already stated that it is nuclear armed power, but the Oval does not want to hear that, if they did get the message they would have to take action.  Then we come to North Korea, they want attention, they want to the West to accept they are a nuclear armed power and remove the sanctions, one can expect a nuclear test by North Korea, then what POTUS.   Let's be honest POTUS is passed it, he cannot keep his mouth shut or keep to the teleprompter, the White House must be on alert every time he opens his mouth on China and Taiwan.  The Democrats might lose the US Congress in November, that could damage support to the Ukraine and benefit Putin in Russia.  The Democrats need a new candidate in 2024 or the Republicans will take the house. 

Nuclear DRILLS by the Russians - Ukraine - Russian War - Biden Era


Lets Get Real:

The above annual exercise could be a Russian WARNING, we are serious when it comes to the threat of using nukes to defend areas of Ukraine taken by the Russians since the February invasion, also the Russians could be planning to use a dirty nuke bomb in the Ukraine, if for example Kherson was to fall to advancing Ukraine Forces.  Putin is in a corner, the West is not going to do another Munich 1938, we are not going to appease Putin and sell out the Ukraine.  The Kremlin must be hoping that the Republicans take control of the US Congress in the November Mid Terms, and thus delay funding from the US to the Ukraine.  Also doing another 1962 when JFK sold out Turkey in secret is not on the cards, everything like that leaks these days.  The Russians are up to something, just what is the question, dirty bomb, sending more troops to Kherson, or attacking a NATO Country to see the Western reaction. 

Tuesday, October 25, 2022

PM Sunak on the Ukraine - Ukraine - Russia War - Sunak Era/After Brexit


Lets Get Real:

This is more important than ever, the Russians want to escalate the War, thus the stories pushed out by the Russia that the Ukraine is trying to a do a false flag operation by the explosion of a dirty bomb in the Ukraine.  The West has warned Kremlin about such a move on there part.  Also there is the worry that in the US Mid Terms the Republicans will take the Congress, or at least one Chamber, and thus try to reduce US support for the Ukraine, the Republican Party is still under the influence of Donald Trump the former President, if that happens, Europe might be called up to give more money to the Ukraine Government.  The Russians have to be STOPPED in the Ukraine, this is the right move by the new PM. World War 3 has to prevented, this is Europe's 1938 moment again. 

The Sunak Cabinet - The Return of Suella Braverman as Home Secretary - After Boris/After Brexit


Lets Get Real:

The sending back to the Home Office of Suella Braverman will please the right wing of the Party, it shows that the Sunak Government will be tough when it comes to migration.  It reported that few days before she was forced to resign from the Truss Government she had a 90 minute row with the then PM over migration.  Braverman wants to send those that come to the UK in a illegal manner to Rwanda , the left, well BBC News, Guardian, Channel 4 News hate this policy, they will be keeping a close eye on the new Home Secretary, they will be after her to make another mistake.  It should be noted that Sunak voted to leave the EU, and promised during his campaign against PM Truss to get EU laws of the UK books.  It should be noted that the European Research Group, the right wing of the Party will be keeping the expensive shoes of the PM to the fire over the Northern Ireland Protocol, also the DUP.  The watch word for the new Sunak Government is Unity, thus a lot of former Ministers are going back to their former Departments. Let's judge the Sunak Government by its actions. 

Monday, October 24, 2022

A Profile of Rishi Sunak, the UK's NEW PM - After Brexit/Cost of Living Crisis


Lets Get Real:

Mr Sunak is VERY CLEVER, a first class degree from Oxford, and worked in the City, BUT better known to the UK population through his furlough scheme that kept business going through Covid - 19.  The PROBLEM was the cost, we are talking about four hundred billion, yes BILLIONS, also there is the Cost of Living Crisis, due to inflation, post Covid ramficiations, the WAR IN THE UKRAINE.  It is reported that Mr Sunak has a picture of Lady Thatcher in his OFFICE, that means the new PM will not have tax cuts in till the UK can afford them, also it means that there will be CUTS in welfare, that will have the Conservative MP's crying in their cheap pints in the House of Commons.  On Brexit, Mr Sunak took a risk, he supported Brexit while the UK Establishment wanted to REMAIN.  The question has to be asked, what will he do with the Northern Ireland Protocol, will he carry on with the Bill to allow the UK to overrule parts of the DEAL, the ERG in the Conservative Party are happy with him, well they did not support his Opposition after Boris left the field.  The speech as PM - Elect did not impressive, I have seen more charisma on a DALEK and Cyberman, in other words boring, that what the UK might want, a government that is boring, does it job, but also keeps supporting Ukraine, that could be difficult if the US Mid Terms give the Republicans control of the whole of Congress or just one Chamber. Let's not forget his biggest political sin, he backstabbed Boris, the PM that had made him Chancellor, thus can Mr Sunak be trusted, we shall have to see, let's see what he does in the future. 

A Dirty nuclear bomb and the Ukraine - Ukraine - Russian War - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports on the allegation by the Russians that Kyiv is about to do a false flag operation by using a dirty nuclear bomb in the Ukraine as to blame the Russians, the article notes the following, " On Sunday the UK, US and French governments issued a joint statement on the Russian government's claims. They rejected what they called "Russia's transparently false allegations" against Kyiv, adding: "The world would see through any attempt to use this allegation as a pretext for escalation. We further reject any pretext for escalation by Russia." 

Lets Get Real:

The Russians could be using the above argument should they decide to use a dirty bomb in the regions they are losing to the Kyiv Forces, they are about to lose Kherson back to Kyiv, they are moving their people out, from their imposed civic structure to military forces.  The Kremlin is fighting this, because Putin has put the nation into partial call up of men to serve, a third time since 1914, 1941, over three hundred thousand men have done a runner over the border, this has lead to Putin imposing martial law on areas under its control, also it has move its nuclear command train to the Ukraine border, thus allowing it to launch a low yield nuclear bomb.  This they would blame on the Kyiv Forces and make the area a no go area for years, like Chernobyl.  The Kremlin thinks that POTUS is weak and that the UK has a very new PM, thus strike when the time is right.  Thus do not be shocked if a nuke is used in the Ukraine or over the Black Sea, were a recent Russian plane released a missile close to UK Military Planes, that could have been a TEST by the Russian to Western reaction.