Friday, July 27, 2012

Aleppo Massacre ? - Syrian Update


BBC News: Reports that the UK Government has warned of a potential massacre in Aleppo, the 2nd City of Syria.

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks we shall see if the West, and in this case the Obama Administration has the backbone to go around the UN Security Council and prevent a bloody massacre in Aleppo, in Libya after a UN resolution the West in the shape of NATO bought down the Gaddafi Regime, much to the horror of Russia and China, the Russians with their Port in Syria are not going to move, and China on this issue goes along with Russia, lets face China had its own massacre of those seeking democracy, thus they have reasons to prevent the UN looking at the internal affair of other States. The question is will the Oval take action, or are we looking at another Bosnia, thousands killed before the US takes action, of course Obama has a problem, its an election year, how many innocent people getting killed on our TV screens can Obama put up with before he has to take action, with or without UN approval. The US left will never support another War in the Middle East, thus many poor Syrians might have to die before President Obama finds his backbone. Harsh but TRUE folks.

Greece on the Edge - Eurozone Crisis


Daily Mail: Reports that the Greek PM Antonis Samaras is meeting the troika of the EU/IMF/ECB to persuade them to give Greece the final part of the bailout agreed between Greece and the EU.

Lets Get Real:

The Germans are worried that they are going to be conned again, they give the green light to the bailout then Greece comes back later and asks for money money, also the Germans are worried that the Spanish will be next with their begging bowl, and if you include Italy that would cost trillions. It can be argued that Germany is looking for a reason to kick Greece out of the Euro, the lack of reforms in Greece could be the perfect reason. If the troika gives Greece this final part of the bailout it can be postulated that Berlin is hoping it will work, in betting terms folks that is betting on long odds. The Greeks will never reform, they know that the Berlin is scared of the effects of a Greek exit, thus the view from Athens is that they have the Germans over a barrel, the problem is that the German tax payer has had enough, all politics is local folks, at the end of the day German politicians might have no choice but to cut Greece adrift, lets see who has the best poker hand folks.

Obama vs. Romney - Friday Polls



It is that time of the week folks, the Friday Polls. The usual warning its only July folks, we still have the national conventions to go and Romney has to pick his VP. Then we have the debates.

Rasmussen Reports ( LV ): Reports on its daily tracking poll, today Governor Romney leads President Obama by 49% to 44%. A 5% lead.

Gallup ( RV ): Reports on its daily tracking poll, today both President Obama and Governor are tied at 46%.

Lets Get Real:

If your in the Romney Camp you will be spinning the Rasmussen Poll, this shows Romney with a 5%, what is good for this blogger about this poll is that counts likely voters, people who on the whole will get off their backsides and VOTE. The Registered Voter Poll might have those that support Obama or Romney but will never go out and vote. In essence folks neither candidate as defined the other, the Obama Camp has thrown enough dirt but it has just kept them in the game, it has not removed Romney as a threat. In the Romney Camp they have started to fight back, they have been helped by the political gaffes of the President, his remarks that the private sector is doing fine and that individuals do not build their own business will help those that were suspect about Obama to go to Romney. Also older people tend to vote in larger numbers that younger people, thus lets see the effect of the Supremes stating that ObamaCare is a tax, this could really hurt Obama on election day. Thus folks it might come down to the Presidential Debates, in that Obama should be the favourite, but that could be a problem, as long as Romney does not fall over he could win by default. Lets see folks.

Wednesday, July 25, 2012

Obama vs. Romney - Mid Week Polls


Lets have a look at the Polls as Governor Romney heads for his oversees trip, the Republican Nominee will visit the UK, Poland and Israel.

Rasmussen Reports ( LV ): In its latest daily tracking poll it finds that Governor Romney leads President Obama by 47% to 44%, a 3%.

Gallup ( RV ): In its latest daily tracking poll it finds that Governor Romney leads President Obama by 46% to 45%.

Lets Get Real:
Thus folks the candidates are tied, neither has defined the other enough to gain a big lead, thus we come down the the National Conventions and the debates. The talk in the D.C beltway is the the discussion as to the nature of this race, is this 1980 again with Romney as Reagan or 2004 with Obama as Bush 43, thus far to be honest folks its very hard to judge, the Obama Camp has used the 1996 play book of Bill Clinton trying to define Romney before he can define himself, thus following the example of the Republicans in 2004 who defined Senator Kerry and thus his defeat. Although the Chicago Re-Elect Committee has kept the Oval in the race it has not managed to build on its image of Romney as a out of touch rich guy, in fact POTUS has made a few political gaffes, he stated that the private sector was doing fine and that individuals do not build their companies. This has taken the pressure of Romney and his business record. As to the Romney Camp it has started to fight back, but it has to get in to the trenches, pick a attack dog for VP, then really go after the Oval with adverts and at the Convention. Thus down to the debates folks, can Romney do a Reagan and pass that line of looking Presidential, or will be be Ford, and look out of touch. The debates could decide this race folks, fun times ahead folks.



Tuesday, July 24, 2012

Obama and Business - Obama Advert


Lets Get Real:

This advert shows that POTUS knows that he made a great political gaffe by stating that individuals do not build a business. Simple question folks, which Obama statement do you believe, when he is says what he thinks in a speech or this advert.

Greece and the EU


Guardian: Reports on the reaction of the Troika; EU/IMF/ECB; on their latest visit to Greece, the article notes the following, " ..warned that Greece had failed to keep to the deficit reduction plan agreed earlier this year. ".

Lets Get Real:

The Germans see Greece as a toilet for THEIR money, an endless flushing of German tax payer money down the toilet. The Greeks will NEVER reform, in their heart of hearts they think that the Germans will always bail them out, if it was only Greece they might have a point, but Spain and Italy are on the horizon, at the end of the day Greece can be chopped off, it will be painful but the EU will go on, if Spain and Italy fall its over, the Germans might need all their spare cash to save these two Countries, and folks we are talking in the trillions here, not just billions, the Greeks have become a cancerous pest on the body of the Euro, its time to cut them off, the EU has tried to save them, but it can not be done, just will not happen, Greece is set for a depression that will last for years if not decades, that is just the TRUTH. Time to move on and deal with the Spain and Italy, you lose some battles in a War, the War is Spain and Italy.

Syrian Crisis - Syrian Update


Telegraph: Reports that Syrian rebels have stated that the Assad Regime has moved its WMD'S to airports on the borders of Syria.

Lets Get Real:

If true this is a troubling development folks, one can assume that the Israeli Mossad, the US CIA and the UK's MI6 will be looking very careful at the actions of the Assad Regime, should the Regime be trying to send these weapons to its terrorists allies then Israel would have to take action, this would be a mortal threat to Israel. Of course the information is coming from the rebels, thus has to be suspect, they might be wanting the West to take action as they took in Libya. The rebels might want the West to enforce a No Fly Zone as to prevent air attacks from the Assad Regime, that is what this blog would do if in their position. Thus lets hope the Western intelligence networks have their eye and ears open, in other words, people on the ground and listening to internal Syrian government communication. Israel and the West can not afford to be wrong when it comes to Syria.